Michigan State at Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Michigan State at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan State Spartans (14-7, 6-4 Big Ten) visit the No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (20-1, 9-1) Sunday. Tip-off from Mackey Arena is set for 12:15 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Michigan State beat the Iowa Hawkeyes 63-61 on Thursday, but did not cover as 2.5-point home favorites. The Spartans have won only 2 of their last 5 games. The Spartans will have their hands full going against C Zach Edey, who scored 32 points and had 17 rebounds in the Boilermakers’ 64-63 win at Michigan State on Jan. 17.

Purdue has won 7 straight games since their lone loss at Rutgers on Jan. 2, the last a 75-70 win over Michigan on Thursday as 5.5-point road favorites.  In 15 of Purdue’s 21 games Edey has led both teams in scoring, and in 18 games he has led both teams in rebounds.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Michigan State at Purdue odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan State +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Purdue -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +7.5 (+100) | Purdue   (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Michigan State at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 63, Michigan State 58

Moneyline

AVOID.

Purdue holds the edge in offense, defense, field goal percentage, rebounding, and blocks and should win this game at home, but Michigan State is always a tough opponent. Purdue can get sloppy with the ball at times and can even be a bit 1-dimensional, but they are simply too good for this Michigan State team to beat. Either way the risk in this bet is not worth the reward so steer clear.

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Against the spread

BET MICHIGAN STATE +7.5 (+100).

All trends lean toward the Spartans making this game close. Tte underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups between these 2 teams . Michigan State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 away games vs. teams with winning records, and Purdue is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 130.5 (-110).

The Under is very obviously the more trendy bet for both teams. The Under for Purdue has been almost a lock lately as the Under is 6-0 vs. teams with a road losing record. For the Spartans, the Under is 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.

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Big Ten Tournament: Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan State vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The seventh-seeded Michigan State Spartans (22-11) and third-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (26-6) clash in a Big Ten Tournament semifinal game Saturday in Indianapolis. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Michigan State vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Michigan State advanced to the Big Ten’s semifinal with a 69-63 win over second-seeded Wisconsin Friday. The Spartans have shot the ball well and been terrific on defense across three straight wins. MSU has allowed a mere 38.4% mark from the floor over that stretch.

No.9 Purdue defeated Penn State 69-61 in Friday’s quarterfinal. The Boilermakers are 11-3 over their last 14, but one of the three losses in that stretch was a 68-65 setback at MSU Feb. 26. That loss snapped a four-game Purdue win streak in the series. PU is 5-3 SU and 6-1-1 ATS against the Spartans since 2017.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Michigan State +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Purdue -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +5.5 (-112) | Purdue -5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 77, Michigan State 71

Money line

Purdue is a lean — albeit an expensive one — near -200 or -205. However, that price is locked up here. PASS.

Against the spread

The Boilermakers and Spartans were engaged in a seesaw battle Feb. 26, but host MSU went on a 9-0 run in the middle of the second half to take control. Purdue managed a late comeback but spent all its momentum capital getting back within a single possession and eventually lost by the 3-point margin.

Expect the Boilermakers — who hit just one triple that day — to play well in this revenge spot. Look for PU to win the exchanges in turnovers, rebounds, and free throws.

TAKE PURDUE -5.5 (-108).

Over/Under

High-scoring Purdue (80.7 points per game, seventh nationally) has played in four straight Unders. Against a faster Michigan State squad and with the Boilermakers due for positive regression to better shooting, the play in this one is the OVER 142.5 (-112).

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