Michigan State at Maryland odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan State at Maryland odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan State Spartans (2-2, 0-1 Big Ten) and the Maryland Terrapins (3-1, 0-1) meet Saturday at SECU Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Michigan State vs. Maryland odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Spartans rose quickly in the rankings with a pair of impressive wins over two MAC teams to open. The offense was fire, the defense was solid, and things were looking up. However, Michigan State has slipped to .500 with 2 losses in a row at Washington (39-28) and home to Minnesota (34-7).

The Terrapins opened the non-conference schedule with a 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS record, but they lost their conference opener 34-27 at Michigan last Saturday. However, it did give the No. 4 Wolverines a very difficult time in The Big House and cashed as a 17-point underdog.

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Michigan State at Maryland odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan State +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Maryland -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +7.5 (-110) | Maryland -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Michigan State at Maryland picks and predictions

Prediction

Maryland 31, Michigan State 26

Moneyline

As impressive as Maryland (-300) was last weekend in Michigan, playing a top-5 team to a 1-score game, you cannot risk 3 times your potential return. It’s just too much risk for not enough of a reward.

PASS.

Against the spread

MICHIGAN STATE +7.5 (-110) is a proud team that still has the pieces to be very good. It just needs to pull out of its nosedive.

QB Payton Thorne and the offense should find plenty of open spaces to operate against a Maryland pass defense that has allowed 260.3 yards per game to rank just 98th in the country. That will keep it in the game until the end, and that 7 and a hook is big.

Over/Under

The UNDER 58.5 (-115) is worth playing slightly.

The Under is 4-1 in the past five games for the Spartans and is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings with UMD.

The Terps have cashed the Under in 3 of 4 games overall, including last week’s near-miss in the conference opener. This game won’t be confused with a defensive slog, but it won’t be a shootout, either.

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