Michigan at Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Michigan at Iowa odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan Wolverines (9-6, 3-1 Big Ten) face the Iowa Hawkeyes (10-6, 2-3) on Thursday at Carver-Hawkeyes Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Wolverines lost 59-53 to Michigan State on Saturday, failing to cover as 3.5-point road underdogs. Michigan had won its first 3 conference games before losing to Michigan State.

The Hawkeyes secured a 76-65 win over Rutgers on Sunday to cover as 5.5-point underdogs on the road. Iowa has now won back-to-back conference games after losing its first 3.

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Michigan at Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Iowa -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan +5.5 (-105) | Iowa -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Michigan at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 77, Michigan 71

Moneyline

I’ll go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this game despite Iowa being favored at home. Taking Iowa straight up isn’t advised at the current odds as you won’t get much in return for the Hawkeyes winning.

Against the spread

IOWA -5.5 (-115) feels like the correct choice in this game with the Hawkeyes desperate to secure a conference win. The last 10 meetings between Iowa and Michigan have all been decided by 5 or more points.

The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Michigan and Iowa.

Over/Under

Even though we’ve seen some high-scoring affairs between these programs, UNDER 154.5 (-115) is an intriguing bet. Michigan has been involved in 4 straight games where there were 148 or fewer points scored.

The Under is 4-1 in Michigan’s last 5 games following a loss.

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Michigan at Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan Wolverines at Iowa Hawkeyes odds and lines, with NCAA expert picks and predictions.

The Michigan Wolverines (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1, 1-0) clash in Iowa City Saturday. Kickoff at Kinnick Stadium is scheduled for noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Michigan vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Michigan defeated Maryland 34-27 last Saturday. RB Blake Corum rambled for 243 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Corum is the lead edge of a Wolverine attack that has already produced 17 TD on the ground. UM has run for 230 yards or more in 3 of its 4 games and is averaging a robust 6.0 yards per attempt.

The Hawkeyes got by Rutgers in a defensive battle last week. Iowa won 27-10, with its defense scoring 2 of its 3 touchdowns. The Hawkeyes have allowed just 5.8 points and 236.3 yards per game through 4 contests.

These two programs clashed in the 2021 Big Ten Championship Game, and Michigan bludgeoned Iowa 42-3 (Dec. 4). The Wolverines have held the Hawkeyes without a touchdown in their last 2 meetings.

Michigan is No. 4 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Michigan at Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Michigan -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Iowa +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -10.5 (-110) | Iowa +10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Michigan at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan 27, Iowa 21

Money line

True odds are lost in the juice here. However, the midweek buy-in here has been perhaps a bit too tilted toward the visitors who will be in a Kinnick Stadium which has seen many a top-10 upset over the years.

Back the Hawkeyes if the tag hits +415 for the value. Otherwise, PASS.

Against the spread

Michigan played a bottom-of-the-barrel group-of-5 slate over its first 3 games and then had Maryland at home last week. It’s in a tough environment contest for the first time this season, and the Wolverines may well be talented enough to take the offensively-challenged Hawkeyes by 14 to 20 points.

However, Iowa’s defense could very well add to some 1st-half problems for UM — and enough so to make the home side the lean here.

It’s a small lean: but consider a partial-unit play on IOWA +10.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Michigan’s offense cranked out a combined 107 points in Week 1 and 2 while converting just 5-of-16 3rd downs. That offense was slowed a bit in its first real-speed, big-boy tackle football game last week vs. Maryland.  Look for adjustments and a relative-to-the-competition strong performance by the UM offense Saturday.

Both these teams allow plenty of havoc and can convert on special teams. Look for some short-field scores and maybe defensive touchdowns.

It all makes for enough back-and-forth for there to be a moderate amount of value on the OVER 42.5 (-110).

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Michigan vs. Iowa odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan vs. Iowa odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (11-1, 8-1 Big Ten) face the No. 12 Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2, 7-2) Saturday for the 2021 Big Ten Championship Game. Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind., is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Michigan vs. Iowa odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan is coming off its biggest win in years, a 42-27 victory over rival No. 7 Ohio State last Saturday. The Wolverines have a College Football Playoff berth on the line so while there normally might be some letdown potential you can expect them to be fully focused here.

Michigan’s success has been built on a top-15 defense (4.8 yards per play) and a running game that’s averaging 224.9 yards per game (10th nationally).

Iowa won the Big Ten West last week thanks to its 28-21 victory over Nebraska and Wisconsin’s 23-13 loss to Minnesota. The Hawkeyes have one of the few defenses in the country that has been better than Michigan’s—the Hawkeyes are allowing just 4.5 yards per play (sixth nationally). The offense has been a major problem, however, as they’re not even averaging 300 yards per game (299.3 yards per game, 123rd nationally).

Michigan at Iowa odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Michigan -520 (bet $520 to win $100) | Iowa +370 (bet $100 to win $370)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -10.5 (-108) | Iowa +10.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Michigan vs. Iowa odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan 24, Iowa 14

Money line

Iowa’s defense gives them a faint shot to win this game outright as a double-digit favorite, but we can’t reasonably make a case for it given what Michigan has on the line.

The payout for the Wolverines isn’t lucrative enough though, so PASS on the money line and target the spread.

Against the spread

Michigan is peaking at the right time entering this one — the Wolverines have covered the spread in each of their last four games with double-digit wins over Ohio State and Indiana in that span.

Iowa’s defense is good enough to keep this close, though. The Hawkeyes are giving up just 17.3 points per game (10th nationallY0 while the offense has at least had a pulse over its last three Big Ten games, scoring 21+ points in each of those contests.

Take IOWA +10.5 (-112) to cover.

Over/Under

Points will be at a premium for three reasons. First, Michigan’s offense isn’t very explosive (226.3 passing yards per game; 68th nationally), second, Iowa hasn’t allowed more than 27 points in a single game this year, and finally, Michigan’s defense should keep a stagnant Hawkeye attack off the scoreboard.

It’s a low number, but we’re still taking the UNDER 43.5 (-108).

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