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The NASCAR Cup Series races Sunday at the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 at to Michigan International Speedway. Green flag is slated to drop shortly after 2:30 p.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.
2024 FireKeepers Casino 400: What you need to know
- RFK Racing’s Chris Buescher won last season’s race in Michigan with an average speed of 131.159 mph, starting from the No. 4 position
- The winner in 10 of the past 14 Michigan NASCAR Cup Series races has started 4th or higher, including 4 wins from the pole during that span
- Ford has dominated this race recently, winning 9 consecutive NASCAR Cup Series starts since June 10, 2018
- Chevrolet last went to Victory Lane at MIS when Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson won Aug. 13, 2017
- Toyota hasn’t taken checkers in the Irish Hills since Matt Kenseth won for Joe Gibbs Racing back on Aug. 16, 2015
- JGR’s Denny Hamlin is on the pole after rain washed out qualifying Saturday
- Hamlin has won twice at MIS in his NASCAR Cup Series career, posting 12 top-5 finishes, 18 top-10 runs and a 12.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP), although his most recent win here was in 2011
- Larson goes off from the 4th spot in the starting grid. He has 3 wins, 7 top-5 finishes and 222 laps led with a 10.9 AFP in 15 career Cup starts
- TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain has struggled over the years in Michigan, posting a dismal 26.0 AFP in 6 Cup starts
- Penske Racing’s Austin Cindric has managed finished of 12th and 37th (a DNF) in his 2 Cup starts in the Irish Hills
- Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has had tremendous difficulty in a Cup car at Michigan, posting a 24.1 AFP with just 3 top-10 finishes and only 19 laps led in 14 Cup starts with 3 DNFs
- Richard Childress Racing’s Austin Dillon, who had a controversial win in Richmond last weekend, starts 10th. He has 2 top-5 finishes, 38 laps led and a 17.4 AFP in 20 career Cup starts in Michigan
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2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 – Expert pick
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.
RYAN BLANEY (+1100) is a tremendous value at Michigan International Speedway, as Ford just always seems to find a way to cross the finish line 1st. In the past 9 races, Ford has brought the manufacturer a victory. It’s a super important race just down the road from the Motor City of Detroit, and it seems to just mean more for manufacturers Ford and Chevrolet.
Blaney, who starts from the 8th position in the grid, is the highest starting Ford. He has a win in Michigan in 15 career Cup starts, posting a 5 top-5 finishes, 8 top-10 runs and 59 laps led with 1 DNF and a 14.1 AFP.
2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 – Contender
Penske’s JOEY LOGANO (+1800) is also a strong value, if you don’t want to back Blaney, or you’d like to pick a couple of teammates to back.
Logano was intentionally wrecked last week in the final lap at Richmond, as he appeared to be on his way to a win until Dillon spun him in Turn 4.
As long as Logano keeps his head, and doesn’t put revenge over a potential win, he has the ability to take checkers in Michigan. For the chance to multiply up by 18 times your initial wager, it’s a bold play, as the temper and revenge situation is a risk.
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