In a welterweight bout on the main card, Michael Chiesa and Sean Brady meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 198 – also known as UFC Vegas 43. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 198: Chiesa vs. Brady odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 3 p.m. ET and the main card at 6 p.m. ET.
Chiesa is looking to rebound after a first-round submission loss at UFC 265 against Vicente Luque Aug. 7. That snapped a four-bout win streak, which included three consecutive unanimous-decision victories.
Brady has registered back-to-back submission wins, including over Jake Matthews at UFC 259 March 6. He has gone the distance in two of his four fights at the UFC, going 4-0 since arriving Oct. 18, 2019.
UFC Fight Night 198 Chiesa vs. Brady: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Chiesa +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Brady -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under -101)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +102 | No -140)
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UFC Fight Night 198 Chiesa vs. Brady: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Chiesa (18-5-0) | Brady (14-0-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
CHIESA (+140) is a tremendous value as a moderate underdog, and the veteran will get it done against Brady (-180). This will be Brady’s most challenging opponent to date in the UFC.
The southpaw Chiesa will look to use a 3.5-inch reach advantage to keep Brady at a distance, picking and choosing his spots to get close. He also holds a 3.62-to-2.69 takedown average, although both are rather even in the wrestling department. Chiesa’s best bet is to go toe-to-toe, keeping this fight upright, trying to outpoint Brady.
Over/Under (O/U)
CHIESA ON POINTS (+300) is worth a roll of the dice for a chance to triple up if this fight goes the distance. He has won three of the past four fights, all via unanimous decision.
In addition, play YES (+102): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE, which is great value at plus-money. OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-135) is a strong value play as well.
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