Miami Toledo odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

MAC Tournament: Miami (Ohio) vs. Toledo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami vs. Toledo odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 8th-seeded Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (12-19) meet the No. 1 Toledo Rockets (26-6) Thursday in a Mid-American Conference Tournament quarterfinal. Tip-off at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland is 11 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Miami went 6-12 in MAC play, but since losing to Toledo 89-71 as 16.5-point underdogs on Feb. 14, the Redhawks have gone 4-1. Over that stretch, Miami has displayed improved defense after struggling at that end of the floor much of the season.

Toledo, which also won at Miami 81-78 on Jan. 31 but failed to cover the 10.5-spread, went 16-2 in conference play. The Rockets have not lost since Jan. 10, going 15-0 since that date. Toledo is a tremendous 3-point shooting team; its 40.2% accuracy mark ranks 2nd in the nation.

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Miami vs. Toledo odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:52 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): Miami +13.5 (-115) | Toledo -13.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Miami vs. Toledo picks and predictions

Prediction

Toledo 87, Miami 71

Moneyline

Not available.

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Against the spread

Toledo is 5-1 ATS against Miami since 2021. The RedHawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral-site games.

The spread here is lofty. Miami played Toledo tight losing only by 3 on Jan. 31 as the Redhawks hit 10 triples in that game while Toledo managed just 10 free-throw attempts.

Look for advantages in most areas of the game swaying to the Rockets. And because of that game, Toledo won’t overlook Miami.

Consider a partial-unit play on the ROCKETS -13.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Over is 4-2 in the last 6 series meetings, but this game looks to be fairly numbered. The Rockets and Redhawks play at a mid-pace. Look for a lot of 3s to crank the total into the 155-to-160 range.

PASS.

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Miami (Ohio) at Toledo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami at Toledo odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (8-17, 2-10 MAC) visit the Toledo Rockets (19-6, 10-2) Tuesday. The Mid-American Conference tilt at Savage Arena will tip off at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Miami has not won on the road since Dec. 17 and has not defeated the Rockets since 2011, suffering 18 consecutive defeats in the series. MU enters off a 66-60 home loss to Central Michigan Saturday, despite being a 7-point favorite, and is 1-8 across its last 9 games.

The Rockets failed to cover as 7-point favorites in an 81-78 win at Miami Jan. 31 in the first meeting this season. The MAC co-leaders are seeking their 10th straight outright victory Tuesday. Toledo plays an up-tempo brand of ball and is leading the conference in scoring at 84.6 points per game.

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Miami at Toledo odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Miami +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Toledo -1500 (bet $1,500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Miami +15.5 (-105) | Toledo -15.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Miami at Toledo picks and predictions

Prediction

Toledo 90, Miami 71

Moneyline

PASS.

Toledo (-1500) should comfortably emerge with the victory here, but you can’t risk 15 times your potential return on a straight-up wager. This is even too steep to add to a parlay.

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Against the spread

Toledo has been on-again-off-again in covering spreads in this range, and that’s been part of the Rockets going 5-0 after their last 5 ATS losses. UT is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games.

The Rockets have shot 41.7% from distance at home, and they are up against a porous perimeter defense in that of the Miami RedHawks. Look for UT’s efficient offense to roll up a tidy with by 15-20 points, maybe more.

Miami has recently played Toledo and Akron tough, so it should have the Rockets’ attention. A 20-point walk-over is no sure thing, but TOLEDO -15.5 (-115) is worth a partial-unit play.