Bahamas Bowl: Miami (Oh) vs. UAB odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami (Oh) vs. UAB odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami (Oh) Redhawks (6-6) battle the UAB Blazers (6-6) in the Bahamas Bowl Friday. Kickoff from Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau is set for 11:30 a.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Miami vs. UAB odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Redhawks ended their season with a 18-17 win over Ball State, outscoring their MAC opponent 12-0 in the final quarter to win their 6th game of the season. Miami was 5-7 against the spread (ATS). Led by QB Aveon Smith, who threw 9 TD passes as was team’s top rusher with 503 yards and 6 TDs, Miami was 3-3 straight up on the road.

UAB took down Louisiana Tech 37-27 in its last game, but failed to cover as 18.5-point favorites. UAB was 4-8 ATS this season and just 1-5 straight up on the road. The Blazers’ main strength is in the rushing game, finishing 5th in the FBS with 199.1 rushing yards per game.

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Miami (Oh) vs. UAB odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:44 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Miami (Oh) +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | UAB -410 (bet $410 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami (Oh) +11 (-112) | UAB -11 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U):  44.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Miami (Oh) vs. UAB picks and predictions

Prediction

UAB 27, Miami (Oh) 20

Moneyline

PASS.

UAB has 1 of the best running games in the NCAA, and it is doubtful Miami will be able to keep pace. At (-410), it is unplayable to win outright. I would rather take the points with the Redhawks than the (+320) moneyline odds.

Against the spread

BET MIAMI (OH) +11 (-112).

Yes, the Blazers have an elite run game, but if there’s 1 thing the Redhawks’ defense can do, it is stop the run. The Redhawks ranked 40th in the nation in opponents’ rushing yards per game, allowing just 135.8.

The Redhawks’ strength, using Smith in the run game, is also the Blazers’ weakness as they rank 95th in opponents’ rushing yards per game (171.2).

That strength on weakness on both sides of the ball coupled with the Redhawks having been better than UAB against the spread for the entirety of the season makes Miami (Oh) the better play here.

Back MIAMI (OH) +11 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 44.5 (-112).

The UAB offense ended the season on fire, going over in its last 4 straight games. It scored 37 or more points in 3 of its last 4 games.

The Redhawks went over in 2 of their last 3 and scored at least 18 in their last 4 straight which suggests they should be able to contribute enough to help the Over be the better play.

The Redhawks also give up 371.7 yards per game which the UAB offense, which is averaging 442.3, should abuse.

Combine it all and how well the offenses were playing down the stretch, and take the OVER 44.5 (-112).

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Miami (OH) at Ohio odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami (OH) at Ohio odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami (OH) Redhawks (4-4, 3-1 MAC) and Ohio Bobcats (1-7, 1-3) renew their in-state rivalry Tuesday in Athens. The midweek “MACtion” game at Peden Stadium is scheduled for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we look at the Miami (OH) vs. Ohio odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Miami has won two games in a row, and three of its last four, but will be trying to flip the script on a bumpy road trend. The Redhawks are 1-4 across their last five away games.

The Bobcats’ only win this season came Oct. 2 against a shaky Akron Zips team. Ohio has lost three games since, albeit with all three being of the one-score variety. Despite playing a weak schedule, OU ranks outside the top-100, both in scoring offense (21.1 points per game) and defense (31.1 PPG allowed).

Miami and Ohio did not play last year due to a COVID-19 cancelation, but the Buckeye State neighbors have a storied rivalry that dates back to 1908. The Redhawks lead the all-time series 54-40-2.

Miami (OH) at Ohio odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Miami (OH) -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Ohio +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami (OH) -7.5 (-102) | Ohio +7.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Miami (OH) at Ohio odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Miami (OH) 24, Ohio 17

Money line

The Miami offense ranks 75th in total offense and 98th in points. But it is a better offense when led by QB Brett Gabbert who returned from injury to lead the Redhawks to a 24-17 win at Ball State Oct. 23. Gabbert was 20-for-24 passing for 207 yards and 2 TDs against no interceptions in his return. He’s important to Miami because the Redhawks aren’t a strong running team. They could experience trouble clocking a two-score lead late.

Penalties, turnovers, and third-down problems plagued Ohio in its run of three one-score losses. The Bobcats’ chances in this home tilt are perhaps slightly better than what’s indicated by the won-loss records. However, the tag here doesn’t reflect enough return: PASS.

Against the spread

The lean here is slight but has the BOBCATS +7.5 (-122) worth perhaps partial-unit consideration. A plodding pace and potential for a back-door cover make for just enough ammunition, but it’s ammo for a handgun and not a howitzer.

Over/Under

Neither one of these teams cranks out a lot of plays per minute. The Miami defense is solid and creates havoc; it isn’t as effective on pass defense, but that doesn’t figure to hurt MU in this one.

The Under is: 5-1 in MU’s last six games, 5-0 in OU’s last five games and 5-1 in the last six games of this series.

Look for something in the neighborhood of four touchdowns to stand as the winning score on a cool night in Athens. TAKE THE UNDER 54.5 (-110).

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