The 2022 Miami Marlins scored 3.62 runs per game last year while allowing 4.17 en route to going 69-93 and placing 4th in the National League East. The Fish have made a few changes in the offseason. On balance, they may turn out to be good moves — hiring Skip Schumaker as manager and bringing in 2B Luis Arraez — but the Marlins are still swimming in dangerous waters in the NL East.
Let’s analyze the the Miami Marlins’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and NL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
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Miami Marlins World Series odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday, March 21, at 10:05 p.m. ET.
Odds: +7000 (bet $100 to win $7,000)
Miami is in the bottom of the pack as far as odds to win it all. The Houston Astros (+600) are the favorites, followed by the Los Angeles Dodgers (+700), New York Mets (+700) and New York Yankees (+750).
The Oakland A’s have the longest odds at +40000. The Washington Nationals are next at +30000. Six teams are between +8000 and +20000
At +7000, Miami has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 1.41% or 70/1 fractional odds.
Even if putting together a group of long-odds flier picks in an MLB futures package, a Miami team short on big-time pitching and consistent offense would not be included. PASS on the Marlins as a World Series proposition.
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Miami Marlins playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +500 | No -350
No is a lean, but MLB’s new schedule format will remove 24 NL East games for Miami. It’d be wise to seek out a bigger payout, as the Fish could make waves with extra games against the NL Central. PASS.
Miami Marlins win total
Over/Under: 75.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)
Look for Miami to get between 75-78 victories this season. The Marlins will be a contact-hitting pain to play. There are just so many young pitchers who may struggle later in the season as they are stretched into the long MLB season.
PASS, but see if perhaps this pricing swings lower. A partial-unit play on the Over 75.5 would be recommended at -120 or better.
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To win NL East Division
- New York Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Atlanta Braves +140 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Philadelphia Phillies +300 (bet $100 to win $320)
- Miami Marlins +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
- Washington Nationals +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)
Miami’s implied probability of winning the NL East is 1.96% or 50/1 fractional odds. Marlins are fast, but this is a 3-horse race. PASS.
To win National League
Odds: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4000)
There are too many NL clubs a couple or 3 years down the road from where Miami is right now. They may well be headed toward being a legitimate longshot, but the Marlins are not there yet. AVOID.
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