March Madness: Miami vs. Houston odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Hurricanes vs. Houston odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 5th-seeded Miami Hurricanes (27-7) and No. 1 Houston Cougars (33-3) clash Thursday in a Sweet 16 contest at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. Tip is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Houston odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Miami is No. 15 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Hurricanes have advanced to this Midwest Region semifinal via wins over 12-seed Drake and 4-seed Indiana. The Hurricanes are 11-2 in their last 13 games.

Houston is ranked No. 1 in the nation. The Cougars’ Midwest ride has included victories over 16th-seeded Northern Kentucky and No. 9 Auburn. UH is 15-1 in its last 16 games and 13 of those wins — including both in this tournament — have been by double-digit margins.

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Miami vs. Houston odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Miami +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Houston -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami +7.5 (-108) | Houston -7.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Miami vs. Houston picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 70, Miami 62

Moneyline

PASS: the lean here is on Houston, but that’s more of a big-bankroll play.

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Against the spread

The Cougars are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.

Houston has the better defense in this matchup. UH’s ability to defend inside and out — with length and athleticism on the perimeter and strength and blocked shots in the paint — figures as a difference maker.

But the margin of leverage is tight. A line watch is the suggestion here. PASS for now: grab value on the Cougars if the spread drops to -6.5, even if its priced with a Houston lean (-115, -120).

Over/Under

The Under is 4-2 in UH’s last 6 games and 3-2 in UM’s last 5. The Under is  alos 6-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 7 NCAA games and 4-1 in the Cougars’ last 7 NCAA games.

Houston plays at a slowest-15% pace; Miami figures as a fast/mid-fast group. Both teams have efficient offenses, but look for both to take care of the ball and finish a lot of scoring possessions with 2-point field goals.

The Cougar defense should be trouble for the Hurricanes both inside and out. And UM can be slowed down. Coming from a faster league in the ACC, the ‘Canes slowest conference foes were Duke, Notre Dame, and Virginia. In 6 games against those 3 teams, plus UM’s slowest quality non-conference foe, Rutgers, the Under went 5-1.

BACK THE UNDER 138.5 (-115).

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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March Madness Sweet 16 can’t-miss parlay: Bank on this 3-legger

Analyzing NCAA Tournament betting odds for the Sweet 16, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

The Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament provides us with 8 games to bet, with 4 games scheduled for Thursday, and 4 more games Friday as we pare the field down to the Elite 8. There is still plenty of money to be made before a champion is crowned.

After looking at the Tipico Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines, here is a can’t-miss, Sweet 16 parlay among our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Some of the traditional teams are no longer in the field, although there are still plenty of big names. We have a handful of upstart teams who might not be used to the bright lights of this all-important round. Of course, the national championship is wide-open this season, especially with some of the favorites having already fallen by the wayside.

See Top 25: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 parlay

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:01 a.m. ET. All game times ET.

Leg 1: Gonzaga vs. UCLA OVER 145.5 (-110) – Thursday, 9:45 p.m. (CBS)

The Bulldogs and Bruins renew acquaintances in the NCAA Tournament. This is their 4th meeting in the Big Dance between these West Coast behemoths.

Playing the Over comes with some risk as Gonzaga has cashed the Under in 3 of its 4 postseason games. However, it’s not due to a lack of scoring as the Zags have posted 77 or more points in each of the games.

Defensively, Gonzaga had allowed 73 or fewer points in the first 3 postseason games, but TCU dropped 81 on the Bulldogs in Sunday’s second-round contest. As the competition has become greater, Gonzaga’s defense isn’t nearly as strong.

This is a Zags team which cashed the Over in each of the final 8 regular-season games.

UCLA has cashed the Over in both of its tournament games, averaging 77.0 PPG, while allowing 58.0 PPG. The total is obviously much higher against a Gonzaga team which ranked No. 1 in the nation in the regular season with 88.0 PPG, and 52.9% field-goal percentage, according to covers.com.

The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 games overall for the Bruins, and 14-5 in the last 19 games following a non-cover.

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Leg 2: Miami vs. Houston UNDER 138.5 (-115) – Friday, 7:15 p.m. (CBS)

Leg 3: MIAMI +7.5 (-115) vs. Houston

The Hurricanes have been impressive so far, topping Drake 63-56 in the opening round, before routing Indiana 85-69 as 1.5-point underdogs. The ACC regular-season champs have played great basketball in the last 2 months, going 11-2 straight-up (SU) and 8-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 13 games dating back to Jan. 31.

It’s become a common theme for the ‘Canes in recent seasons as they are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Their also 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games against teams with a winning overall record, too.

Houston saw star G Marcus Sasser (groin) aggravate his injury in the 1st-round win against Northern Kentucky. He made a decision to play against Auburn in the 2nd round, as it was a pain tolerance thing. Sasser was apparently fine, as he scored 22 points on 7-for-14 shooting, including 5-for-9 from behind the arc.

Despite that solid performance by Sasser, the Cougars still shot 42% (25-for-60) overall against the Tigers. It was good enough to win by 17, though, as UH plays great defense.

The Under is 6-1 in the previous 7 NCAA Tournament games for the ‘Canes, while going 7-3 in the last 10 neutral-site games. For Houston, the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 NCAA Tournament games, while going 7-3 in the last 10 neutral-site contests, too.

As such, I like Miami plus the points AND the Under, as 2 of the 3 legs in this parlay.

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Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $56.73 (ticket pays $66.73).

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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Sweet 16 first look: Miami vs. Houston odds, lines and trends

Looking at Friday’s Miami vs. Houston Sweet 16 odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The 5th-seeded Miami Hurricanes (27-7) clash with the No. 1 Houston Cougars (33-3) in a Sweet 16 showdown on Friday. The Midwest Region contest at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City is slated for a 7:15 p.m. ET (CBS) tip-off.  Below, we look at Miami vs. Houston from Tipico Sportsbook. Plus, check out our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Miami is No. 15 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Hurricanes have collected Midwest bracket wins over Drake and Indiana. They are 11-2 since Jan. 31 and over that stretch have averaged 81.4 points per game.

The Cougars are the top-ranked team in the nation and have won 2 tourney games so far without much efficiency on offense. But the defense has been stout. Houston held its 2 opponents to a 32% shooting mark from the floor. Houston is 15-1 since Jan. 25.

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Miami vs. Houston odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Miami +255 (bet $100 to win $255) | Houston -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami +7.5 (-115) | Houston -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

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2022-23 betting stats (including postseason):

  • ML: Miami 27-7 | Houston 33-3
  • ATS: Miami 20-14 | Houston 19-17
  • O/U: Miami 15-18-1 | Houston 16-19-1

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Miami vs. Houston head-to-head

Since 1950, Houston is 9-5 across 14 games against Miami with all of them before 1972.

The Cougars are in the NCAA Tournament for the 5th year in a row the event has been held. They lost in a region final last year and are looking to get to their 7th Final Four. Houston has never won a national title.

The Hurricanes were also ousted in a region final last year and in 12 NCAA Tournaments they have never reached the Final Four.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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