Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.
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The Miami Dolphins (5-1) take on the Philadelphia Eagles (5-1) at Lincoln Financial Field Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Eagles odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Tua Tagovailoa has had a remarkable season in 2023. He’s averaging 295.4 yards per game (YPG) and 9.5 yards per attempt while playing with the elite WR duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. On top of this, the Dolphins also lead the NFL in rushing with 181.8 YPG.
This balanced offense has led Miami to the No. 1 offense overall in the NFL and on pace to break many records for a season. The Dolphins are playing so well on offense that their YPG average is further ahead of the No. 2 team than the No. 2 team is ahead of the No. 32 team in the league.
Miami, which beat the Carolina Panthers 42-21 last week, faces a much stiffer test. The Eagles will be only the 2nd team with a winning record that the Dolphins have faced this season. The other was the Bills and Miami lost 48-20 in Buffalo. Philadelphia boasts the 2nd-ranked run defense in the NFL (65.8 YPG).
QB Jalen Hurts must recover from a 3-INT game against the New York Jets which led to 14 points and the Eagles’ 1st loss of the season, 20-14. This game will be key in finding out how Philadelphia matches up against the best teams in the NFL. Miami is clearly one of those teams in 2023.
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Dolphins at Eagles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:53 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Eagles -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +2.5 (-104) | Eagles -2.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Dolphins at Eagles key injuries
Dolphins
- RB De’Von Achane (knee) out
- OT Terron Armstead (knee) out
- CB Xavien Howard (groin) questionable
- CB Jalen Ramsey (knee) out
- OL Connor Williams (groin) questionable
Dolphins
- FS Reed Blankenship (ribs) questionable
- DT Jalen Carter (ankle) questionable
- TE Dallas Goedert (groin) questionable
- LT Lane Johnson (ankle) questionable
- WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring) questionable
Dolphins at Eagles picks and predictions
Prediction
Eagles 30, Dolphins 28
LEAN EAGLES (-142).
This is one of the games which has a close margin in Week 7 so the moneyline is not not out of hand and can be played. If you want to make a small play on a side here, rather than risking the spread, the Eagles are the correct side.
TAKE EAGLES -2.5 (-118).
This is a tough wager to make. The Eagles are 2-0 at home, but have failed to cover the spread in either game (Pushing against the Minnesota Vikings and winning by 3 as 10-point favorites against the Washington Commanders). Despite this, Philadelphia is the right side here.
Miami has only played 1 team with a winning record in the season. Miami can beat up on lesser teams. When faced with a team of similar ability, the offense is not as good as the 498 YPG would presume.
With the weather in Philadelphia expected in the high 40’s to low 50’s and windy, Tagovailoa may find it difficult to find his talented receivers. This will lead Miami to rely on the run game more, which Philadelphia has been stellar against, ranking No. 2 in 2023.
Coming off a bad showing against the Jets, Hurts will look to get back on track. Going against a weak Miami defense, he should have his way. 2.5 points does not scare me off the Eagles and they are the side to wager on.
OVER 51.5 (-110).
This is the highest Over/Under of Week 7. But this is with good reason as Miami comes into the game ranked No. 1 in total offense, rush offense, pass offense and yards/play. For the Eagles part, although they are a full 103 yards behind the Dolphins in total offense, but they still rank No. 2 in the NFL. The Eagles are also No. 2 in the NFL in rushing YPG at 150 and rank No. 9 in the NFL with 245 passing YPG. This is to say both teams featured will move the ball.
Philadelphia comes in with the No. 9-ranked defense and the Dolphins come in at No. 20. Some stops will be made. But not enough to keep this one from going the OVER 51.5 (-110) total being offered.
With injuries in the secondary plaguing both sides, what passing game the teams can get going in the windy conditions, will be successful in moving the ball. When in the red zone, both teams have elite players in Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown who will be able to find the end zone. Expect a lot of scoring in the city of brotherly love on Sunday.
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