The Miami Dolphins (9-5) visit the Las Vegas Raiders (7-7) Saturday for a Week 16 matchup at Allegiant Stadium kicking off at 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we give you five player/team prop bets to consider from the BetMGM game menu.
Also see: Dolphins at Raiders odds, picks and prediction
Dolphins at Raiders prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:40 p.m. ET.
Raiders RB Josh Jacobs OVER 71.5 rushing yards (-105)
Dolphins head coach Brian Flores is gaining a reputation for scheming up Miami’s defense. However, it is just 24th in rush defense DVOA, according to Football Outsiders.com.
The Dolphins rush defense has looked good recently—allowing 94 rushing yards or less in three of the previous four games—but that was against bad rushing teams. The Raiders rushing attack is having a down year, but this is in a must-win game and Las Vegas wants to be a run team at its core (eighth in rush play rate). They are going to feed Jacobs early and often.
Dolphins RB Salvon Ahmed anytime touchdown (-105)
While I am sure Miami is excited to get RB Myles Gaskin back in the lineup, that doesn’t mean Ahmed won’t get his opportunities. Ahmed is leading the Dolphins running backs in yards per rush and has scored a touchdown in two of his four games this year. Furthermore, the Raiders are tied with the most rushing touchdowns allowed (17).
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Raiders TE Darren Waller OVER 55.5 receiving yards (-115)
Las Vegas has been force-feeding Waller targets recently as the 2021 Pro Bowler has 39 targets in the past three weeks. In those three games, Waller has gained 200, 75 and 150 receiving yards. Also, this being a back-against-the-wall game for the Raiders means they’ll be relying on their best players to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Raiders QB Derek Carr OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110)
Carr has been good about not turning the ball over throughout the season, but prior to last week’s game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers in which he exited early with an injury, he threw an interception in four straight games.
The Dolphins have the second-most interceptions in the NFL (16) and Miami’s Pro Bowl CB Xavien Howard leads the NFL with nine interceptions and had a five-game interception streak snapped last week in a 22-12 victory over the New England Patriots.
QB Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins 1st touchdown scorer (+800)
This is my longshot player prop of the Dolphins-Raiders game. Tagovailoa has run for three scores in his seven starts. Flores has shown a willingness to dial up some crafty plays since naming the rookie the starter following Miami’s Week 7 bye.
Additionally, the Raiders have given up five rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks, including 1-yard touchdown runs to QBs Josh Allen, Tom Brady and Josh Allen.
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Also see
- Five bold predictions for the Miami in Week 16 (Dolphins Wire)
- 5 key matchups for Las Vegas vs. Miami (Raiders Wire)
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