The New York Mets (13-16) and New York Yankees (16-11) will tangle in two in Yankee Stadium on Friday. The opener is slated for a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Below, we analyze the Mets-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Mets at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Michael Wacha vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Wacha has started three games this season, but he hasn’t logged pitched since Aug. 7. He totes a 6.43 ERA into what marks his second career start at Yankee Stadium.
- The veteran right-hander logged a 4.76 ERA in 126 2/3 IP a year ago.
- Wacha doesn’t have a great history as a road starter. In away games, he posted an ERA north of 4.90 in two of the last three years.
Montgomery has also been on the shelf for a while. (Both teams have had COVID-19-related stutter starts and stops over the last two weeks.) The Yankee southpaw hasn’t pitched since Aug. 17. He owns a 4.66 ERA over 19 1/3 IP.
- Montgomery owns a 3.98 ERA over 40 career starts and one relief appearance. His 2018-19 campaigns were mostly derailed due to recovery from Tommy John surgery.
- The big left-hander has pitched well at lefty-favoring Yankee Stadium. That includes a misleading last start when Montgomery allowed one run over 3 2/3 innings. He was only replaced after an 83-minute rain delay. Montgomery’s career ERA in the Bronx is 3.38 in 22 starts.
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Mets at Yankees: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Mets
- RP Edwin Diaz (leg) questionable
- SS Andres Gimenez (undisclosed) out
- C Tomas Nido (illness) out
Yankees
- RP Zack Britton (hamstring) out
- OF Aaron Judge (calf) doubtful
- 2B DJ LeMahieu (thumb) questionable
- OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out
- 2B Gleyber Torres (hamstring) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Mets at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
This contest – a seven-inning affair due to the doubleheader – comes with a few baked-in, lay-off-and-move-on red flags. The odd team and starter rest intervals and the spate of Yankee injuries are chief among those red flags. But Montgomery is already the lean in the starter matchup, and he gets the benefit of a typically left-leaning Mets lineup. Any drift southward in price would make for a more acceptable edge, but YANKEES -129 is in the ballpark.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Yankees returns a profit of $7.75. A $10 bet on the Mets (+115) would profit $11.50 if they prevail.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The seven-inning game state may turn some off, but consider a play on YANKEES -1.5 (+165). It’s an aggressive line in comparison to the market. The Mets are +1.5 (-200).
Over/Under (O/U)
The weather report calls for a hot one in the Bronx – temps in the high 80s – with a light breeze blowing out to left field. That’s reflected in the figure here. STEER CLEAR of the O/U 7.5 (-110 on both sides).
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