Tag: Mets Nationals betting odds lines picks best bets predictions

It’s the final game of the season for the New York Mets (26-33) and Washington Nationals (25-34), Sunday. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Below, we analyze the Mets-Nationals MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Season series: Washington leads 5-4.

Playoff picture: Both teams failed to make the playoffs.

Mets at Nationals: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Austin Voth

Lugo: 3-3 with a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 35 1/3 IP over 15 G (6 GS).

• Last start: Win, 5-2, with 6 1/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 7 K and 1 BB against the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday.
• Career vs. Nationals: 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 46 K and 16 BB in 49 IP over 24 G (4 GS).
• The current Nationals lineup’s slash line & stats vs. Lugo: .143/.197/.268 with 2 HR and 3 RBI allowed against 56 batters, according to dailybaseballdata.com.

Voth: 1-5 with a 6.25 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 44 2/3 IP over 10 GS.

• Last start: Win, 5-1, with 7 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 7 K and 1 BB against the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday.
• Career vs. Mets: 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 14 K and 7 BB in 15 2/3 IP over 4 G (3 GS).
• The current Mets lineup’s slash line & stats vs. Voth: .269/.321/.500 with 1 HR and 4 RBI given up against 16 batters, according to dailybaseballdata.com.

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Mets at Nationals: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Mets

• OF Michael Conforto (hamstring) out
• SS Andres Gimenez (oblique) out

Nationals

• 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out
• RP Sean Doolittle (oblique) out
• OF Adam Eaton (finger) out
• 2B Howie Kendrick (hamstring) out
• SS Carter Kieboom (hand) out

Mets at Nationals: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Mets 8, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

The Nationals’ (+115) victory over the Mets Saturday eliminated New York from playoff contention. Look for the METS (-129) to at least close out the season with a win for the following reasons.

First, New York has an edge in the starting pitching matchup and has better bullpen numbers. Second, New York’s lineup is more reliable—first in batting average and OPS, 11th in runs scored per game and home runs hit—mainly because of the Nationals’ injury report. Third, the Mets are 12-5 in the last 17 meetings and that’s dating back to last year’s World Series Nationals team.

New to sports betting? You’d have to risk $129 on a Mets ticket for a $100 payout if they win.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals +1.5 (-143) have the best run line record as a home underdog (12-3 RL). Also, the Mets -1.5 (+120) are sub-.500 on the run line overall, in division games and as an away favorite.

Plus, the first three Mets-Nationals games in this series have been decided by a total four runs, including two one-run games. PASS ON THE RUN LINE.

Over/Under (O/U)

I lean OVER 8.5 (-110) because these NL East games have been slugfests in 2020. The Nationals have the highest Over percentage in division games (63.9%) and the next two clubs are also NL East teams (Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins).

The Mets have a 19-18-1 Over/Under record in NL East games. Additionally, the Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings, and four of the last Mets-Nationals games have gone Over the total.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The New York Mets (26-31) plays the Washington Nationals (23-34) in the first of a seven-inning doubleheader, Saturday, in National Park at 3:05 p.m. ET. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mets-Nationals MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Season series: New York leads 4-3.

Playoff picture: New York is 2.5 games behind the Giants for the eighth and final playoff spot, with the Brewers and Phillies ahead of them. Washington is eliminated from postseason contention.

Mets at Nationals: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Max Scherzer

deGrom: 4-2 with a 2.14 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 13.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 63 IP over 11 GS.

• Last start: Loss, 2-1, with 7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 14 K and 2 BB against the Tampa Bay Rays on Sept. 21.
• Career vs. Nationals: 8-4 with a 2.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 150 K and 33 BB in 119 IP over 19 GS.
  • Career in National Park: 7-1 with a 2.60 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 78 K and 15 BB in 65 2/3 IP over 10 GS.

Scherzer: 4-4 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 12.5 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 61 1/3 IP over 11 GS.

• Last start: Loss, 2-1, with 5 2/3 IP, 5 H, 2 ER (2 runs), 6 K and 2 BB at the Miami Marlins on Sept. 20.
• Career vs. Mets:  11-5 with a 2.63 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 191 K and 34 BB in 144 IP over 23 G (22 GS).
• 2020 home splits: 1-2 with a 4.40 ERA (2.93 ERA in road starts) and a 1.30 WHIP (1.47 WHIP at home).

Place your legal baseball wagers in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Mets at Nationals: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Mets

• OF Michael Conforto (hamstring) out
• OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out

Nationals

• 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out
• OF Adam Eaton (finger) out
• 2B Howie Kendrick (hamstring) out
• SS Carter Kieboom (hand) out

Mets at Nationals: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Mets 3, Nationals 0

Money line (ML)

It’s a shame the Nationals (+130) are eliminated from playoff contention because this should be an epic pitchers duel. deGrom is right smack in the middle of his prime and starting to rise the all-time rankings. Scherzer was one of the best pitchers of the 2010s, and a future Hall of Famer, but is having a down year.

It’s an expensive-ish price but deGrom is the best in the biz right now and I refuse to overthink this. BET METS (-143) since they are still alive in the NL postseason race. New to sports betting? A $143 bet on the Mets (-143) pays a $100 profit if New York beats Washington.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I’ll splash on METS -1.5 (+135) for a small play because Scherzer has pitched worse in his home park compared to the road and the Mets’ lineup is legit whereas the Nationals +1.5 (-167) are banged up.

Truthfully, I’d put a 1/4th unit on the run line here say $25 to win $33.75 if New York beats Washington by two or more runs. Aside from Friday’s 3-2 win, the Mets have beaten the Nationals by a combined 13 runs in there other three victories.

Over/Under (O/U)

This will be a narrow runway to land but I’d TAKE UNDER 5 (-121). The market is hammering the Under hence the more expensive price point. They’re two superstars pitchers and their competitiveness alone should keep this tight. This is a rare case when a sports fan will root for an Under.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The New York Mets (26-31) are in the nation’s capital to play the Washington Nationals (23-34) in the second game of a four-game series at National Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mets-Nationals MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Season series: New York leads 4-3.

Playoff picture:  The Mets are three games back of the San Francisco Giants for the 8th and final seed in the NL postseason with three games to play. The Nationals are eliminated from postseason contention.

Mets at Nationals: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Rick Porcello vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Porcello: 1-6 with a 5.46 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 56 IP over 11 starts.

• Last start (Sept. 20): Loss, 7-0, with 7 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 10 K and 2 BB versus the Atlanta Braves.
• Career vs. Nationals: 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 20 K and 3 BB in 27 IP over 4 starts.

Scherzer: 4-4 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 12.5 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 61 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

• Last start (Sept. 20): Loss, 2-1, with 5 2/3 IP, 5 H, 2 runs (0 earned), 6 K and 2 BB at the Miami Marlins.
• Career vs. Mets:  11-5 with a 2.63 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 191 K and 34 BB in 144 IP over 23 games (22 starts).

Place your legal baseball wagers in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Mets at Nationals: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Mets

• OF Michael Conforto (hamstring) out
• OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out

Nationals

• 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out
• OF Adam Eaton (finger) out
• 2B Howie Kendrick (hamstring) out
• SS Carter Kieboom (hand) out

Mets at Nationals: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Nationals 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

The Mets (+125) have beaten Washington in three consecutive meetings, including a 3-2 win Thursday. The Nationals’ (-139) last victory over New York was a 2-1 win in Scherzer’s last start against the Mets (Aug. 11).

The Nationals might be out of it but they still have a former Cy Young winner and future Hall of Famer on the mound looking to end 2020 on a good note.

Porcello looked great in his last start despite holding an L and even had a good outing in his two other 2020 starts against Washington. Everyone is down on the Nationals, and rightfully so, because of cluster injuries and them not being able to replicate their 2019 championship form.

That’s why we are getting such a pro-Washington number here. TAKE NATIONALS (-139) on the money line.

New to sports betting? A $139 bet on the Nationals (-139) earns a $100 profit if Washington beats New York.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals -1.5 (+140) have significantly underperformed compared to expectations as evident in their 3-11 run line record as a home favorite. The Mets +1.5 (-167) are 8-6 on the run line as a road underdog and have covered the RL in five of their seven games against the Nationals this season.

Washington’s lineup is above average in several categories but its injury report has me PASSING ON THE RUN LINE.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the total bet to make. Again Porcello has pitched great in both of his starts against Washington and I am not wasting any more words talking up Scherzer, his resume speaks for itself.

I would be pounding the table and yelling “Under” if the Nationals didn’t have the highest Over percentage in division games in the league. That, plus the Over being 10-4-1 in the last 15 Mets-Nationals games has ballooned the total higher than it should be.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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