The Toronto Blue Jays (25-20) and New York Mets (21-25) wrap-up a three-game series at Toronto’s temporary 2020 home of Sahlen Field in Buffalo Sunday. First pitch will be thrown at 3:07 p.m. ET with the series tied 1-1 coming in. Below, we analyze the Mets-Blue Jays MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Mets at Blue Jays: Projected starting pitchers
LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Hyun Jin Ryu
Peterson: 4-1, 7 games (6 starts), 4.26 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, 4.8 BB/9, 31 2/3 IP
- Has a much better 3.66 ERA through 19 2/3 innings on the road compared to a 5.25 mark across 12 innings at home.
- Went just 2 innings in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies. Allowed 5 earned runs but took a no-decision in a 9-8 loss for the Mets.
Ryu: 3-1, 9 starts, 3.19 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 48 IP
- Allowed 5 runs over 5 innings against the New York Yankees last night but received plenty of run support as the Jays won 12-7. Ryu took a no-decision.
- Has made 3 starts at Sahlen Field this season with a 3.18 ERA over 17 innings. Has allowed 4 home runs in his home park.
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Mets at Blue Jays: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Mets
- RP Dellin Betances (back) out
- RP Robert Gsellman (ribs) out
Blue Jays
- OF Teoscar Hernandez (oblique) out
- 1B Rowdy Tellez (knee) out
Mets at Blue Jays: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Blue Jays 7, Mets 3
Moneyline (ML)
The BLUE JAYS (-154) have the closest thing to a full lineup they’ve had for most of the season. SS Bo Bichette and RP Ken Giles are both back from the injured list to bolster the offense and late-inning relief pitching.
Toronto won 3-2 Saturday in Bichette’s return following an 18-1 win for New York (+140) in Friday’s series opener.
The Mets (.781 OPS) fare slightly better against left-handed pitching than the Blue Jays (.768), but Ryu is the more experienced and better of the two lefty starters.
Take the BLUE JAYS (-154) with Ryu likely to pitch deeper into the game before being relieved by the better bullpen.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Get added value on TORONTO -1.5 (+125) by backing the Jays to win by 2 or more runs with their ace on the hill. Just three of their seven wins with Ryu on the mound have been by multiple runs, but they should be able to chase Peterson early after he went just two innings last time out.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 9 (-110) on what should be a tight line. The first two games of this series have played to totals of 19 and 5 runs, respectively.
Both teams are above average against lefty pitching and Sahlen Field ranks as the fifth-most hitter-friendly park by MLB park factors this season.
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