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The Phoenix Mercury (15-13) and Atlanta Dream (9-17) meet Wednesday at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Ga., in the front end of a back-to-back set. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mercury vs. Dream odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Mercury lead 1-0
The Mercury picked up an 88-85 win in the 1st meeting in Arizona on May 18 as a 2.5-point underdog as the Over (170.5) cashed.
Phoenix has won 3 of its past 4 outings since July 16, while also going 3-1 against the spread (ATS), to inch back over .500. The Over is on a 5-2 run in the past 7 outings, too.
The Dream have won back-to-back games, both against winning teams, while cashing at a 4-0-1 ATS in the past 5 outings. Atlanta posted an 82-70 win as an 8-point underdog last time out against the visiting Connecticut Sun on Sunday, while topping the Seattle Storm 83-81 on Friday.
The Dream has a 4-3 SU edge in the past 7 meetings since May 29, 2022, while the Dream is 6-2 ATS in the past 8 meetings. The Under also holds a 6-3 edge in the past 9 in the series.
Mercury at Dream odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mercury -132 (bet $132 to win $100) | Dream +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
- Against the spread: Mercury -2 (-112) | Dream +2 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Mercury at Dream picks and predictions
Prediction
Dream 82, Mercury 78
Moneyline
ATLANTA (+108) is a solid play as short ‘dogs at home. The Dream have managed just 9 victories this season, but they’ve won 2 in a row since coming out of the Olympic break. The Dream is aiming for its 1st win streak of 3 or more games since rattling off 7 straight victories from June 30-July 18, 2023.
Phoenix (-132) hammered the Chicago Sky at home last time out, winning by 18 points, but the Mercury is just 2-3 SU/ATS in the past 5 games on the road.
Against the spread
Atlanta +2 (-108) makes little sense instead of the moneyline, unless, of course, you feel that Phoenix -2 (-112) is going to win this game, but only by a single point.
If you like the Dream, just play them straight up on the moneyline for a much better value.
PASS.
Over/Under
UNDER 165.5 (-108) is the way to go in the front end of this back-to-back set in the Atlanta.
The Under has connected in 5 of the past 7 games for the Dream, including 2 of the past 3 outings on their home court.
For the Mercury, the Under is 2-1 in 3 games since emerging from the Olympic break. The Under is 6-3 in the past 9 meetings in this series, too.
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