Florida climbs into top 15 of ESPN Basketball Power Index

Florida keeps winning, and ESPN keeps moving the Gators up its Basketball Power Index. Florida is ranked 15th in BPI after five weeks.

The Florida Gators continued to climb up the ESPN Basketball Power Index this week with a victory over Virginia, resulting in a three-spot jump to No. 15 after a fifth week of play.

Note: The BPI is updated daily; however Gators Wire provides weekly updates so as not to overwhelm fans with constant changes.

Florida’s BPI is 15.7, further broken down as 9.6 (11th) on offense and 6.1 (44th) on defense. It’s a bit of a give-and-take from last week’s BPI numbers — 15.8, 9.1 and 6.8 — but the offense continues to improve. The Gators jumped up four spots in the offensive rankings and fell nine spots on defense.

“The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” ESPN explains. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

ESPN BPI Projections

ESPN now projects Florida to finish the season with a 22.1-8.9 overall record (0.2 fewer wins than last week) and a 9.9-8.1 record in conference play (0.3 fewer wins) based on results to date and BPI-based projections for remaining scheduled games. Those changes are reflective of strong performances from several SEC teams.

The Gators have 2.2% odds to win the conference, down from 3.2% a week ago. Florida faces the 17th-toughest schedule moving forward. As expected, the conference schedule will be a gauntlet.

NCAA Tournament/Resume

The 9-0 start has the Gators ranked 10th overall in strength of record — up from 12th a week ago — which translates to a No. 3 seed if the season were to end today.

Florida’s overall strength of schedule is up to No. 132 and it’s non-conference strength of schedule is ranked No. 129. The Orange and Blue face two top-100 opponents over the next two weeks — North Carolina (19th) and Arizona State (63rd). The Gators haven’t faced a “quality opponent” (top 50 in BPI) yet.

ESPN gives Florida 0.5% odds of winning the NCAA Tournament and 2.1% odds of making it to the championship game. A Final Four appearance (6.1%) or Elite Eight appearance (15.2%) are more possible, and the odds of a Sweet 16 (33.7%) and Round of 32 appearance (68.0%) remain high.

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Florida basketball at No. 7 in NET rankings after 9-0 start

Florida continued its undefeated streak to start the 2024-25 college basketball season, but the Gators took a one-spot dip in the NET rankings.

Florida debuted at No. 6 in the first NCAA NET rankings of the 2024-25 college basketball season, and the Gators are roughly in the same spot at No. 7 one week later.

The one-spot dip is a result of the Marquette Golden Eagles splitting a pair of Quadrant 1 games over the past week. A road loss to No. 9 Iowa State doesn’t hurt Marquette and a home win over No. 36 Wisconsin helps a lot, especially come Selection Sunday.

“The 2024-25 men’s basketball season marks the seventh season of the NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET) rankings, which replaced the RPI prior to the 2018-19 season as the primary sorting tool for evaluating teams,” according to the NCAA.

While Top 25 polls remain popular, it’s the NET rankings that are used by the NCAA Tournament committee to seed teams in March. The rankings rely on a quadrant system (below), where Quadrant 1 (Q1) wins and Q3/Q4 losses matter the most.

Breaking down Florida’s wins by Quadrant

Before going into Florida’s resume, it’s important to understand how the quadrants are divided. Where a game is played has as much to do with the quadrant as the quality of the opponent. As the rankings change, so do the quality of the wins.

For example, Florida’s win at Florida State was a Q1 win a week ago, when the Seminoles were ranked No. 67 in the NET. Florida State has since dropped to No. 81, making it a Q2 win for Florida.

  • Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75
  • Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135
  • Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240
  • Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353

As mentioned above, Florida State’s dip in the NET means Florida currently has zero Q1 matchups through nine games.

The Gators are 2-0 in Q2 matchups, including a neutral site victory over Wichita State (No. 79) at the ESPN Events Invitational and a road win over FSU (No. 81).

Florida’s home win over Virginia (No. 125) gives UF a 3-0 record against Q3 matchups this season, the others being neutral-site victories over Wake Forest (No. 117) at the ESPN Events Invitational and South Florida (No. 172) in Jacksonville.

Florida is 4-0 against Q4 opponents. All four wins have come at home: Florida A&M (No. 305), Grambling (No. 267), Jacksonville (No. 165) and Southern Illinois (No. 209).

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Gators hoops climbs into AP Poll top 10 after 9-0 start

Florida’s undefeated start to the 2024-25 college basketball season has the Gators ranked No. 9 in the latest AP Top 25 Poll.

Although the jump isn’t as big as the one in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, Florida basketball climbed to No. 9 in the AP Top 25 Poll following a win over Virginia to improve to 9-0 on the season.

The Gators defeated the Cavaliers in convincing fashion, 87-69, on Wednesday to secure the top-10 ranking. The matchup was part of a dominant performance from the Southeastern Conference in the SEC-ACC Challenge. SEC teams won 14 of 16 contests, 11 by double digits and five by 20-plus points.

Similar to the Coaches Poll, Tennessee, Auburn and Iowa State control the top three spots in this week’s rankings, but Duke and Kentucky round out the top five instead of just Kentucky making the cut. The Golden Eagles are No. 6, however, with Alabama, Gonzaga, Florida and Kansas making up the rest of the top 10.

SEC Teams ranked inside the AP Top 25

Nine programs from the Southeastern Conference finished inside the top 25 following Week 5, up from eight a week ago. Besides the five top-10 programs mentioned above, The Oklahoma Sooners (No. 13), Texas A&M Aggies (No. 17), Ole Miss Rebels (No. 19) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (No. 25) made the cut.

The Missouri Tigers are just outside of the top 25 with 119 poll points, making them the de facto No. 29 team in the country, followed by the Arkansas Razorbacks (89, No. 31), Georgia Bulldogs (21, No. 43) and Texas Longhorns (8, No. 45).

Week 5 AP Top 25 Poll

Rank Team REC PTS (1st) TREND
1 Tennessee 8-0 1,544 (58) +2
2 Auburn 8-1 1,438 (3)
3 Iowa State 7-1 1,424 (1) +3
4 Duke 7-2 1,295 +5
5 Kentucky 8-1 1,284 -1
6 Marquette 9-1 1,274 -1
7 Alabama 7-2 1,126 +3
8 Gonzaga 7-2 1,082 -1
9 Florida 9-0 1,030 +4
10 Kansas 7-2 940 -9
11 Purdue 8-2 840 -3
12 Oregon 9-1 784
13 Oklahoma 9-0 567 +8
14 Michigan 8-1 522
15 Houston 5-3 514 +2
16 Clemson 9-1 491
17 Texas A&M 8-2 415 +5
18 UConn 7-3 394 +7
19 Ole Miss 8-1 379 +4
20 Wisconsin 8-2 307 -9
21 Michigan State 8-2 292
22 Cincinnati 7-1 288 -8
23 San Diego State 6-2 276 +1
24 UCLA 8-1 229
25 Mississippi State 8-1 179

Others receiving votes:

Baylor 150, Arizona St 143, Memphis 123, Missouri 119, Penn St. 90, Arkansas 89, Drake 67, Pittsburgh 62, Utah St. 57, Illinois 47, St. John’s 43, Maryland 39, Dayton 38, Creighton 32, Indiana 30, West Virginia 30, North Carolina 24, Georgia 21, Saint Mary’s 20, Texas 8, Rhode Island 3, Loyola Chicago 1.

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Florida basketball cracks top 10 in Week 5 USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Florida basketball’s best start since 2005 has the Gators inside the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll top 10 after five weeks of play.

A ninth-straight win for Florida men’s basketball moved the Gators into the No. 7 spot of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll on Monday.

Florida defeated Virginia, 87-69, on Wednesday to become one of two programs with a 9-0, securing the program’s best start since 2005. That Gators team didn’t lose its first game until late January, going 17-0 (3-0), and finished the season 33-6 (10-6) with a national championship.

The Orange and Blue have steadily climbed the Coaches Poll all year long, beginning the season at No. 21 in the preseason rankings, moving up to No. 19 (Week 1 and Week 2), then jumping to No. 16 (Week 3) and again to No.  13 a week ago. Florida now leads No. 8 Alabama by three poll points and has to make up an 80-point gap to move past the No. 6 Duke Blue Devils.

It was another dramatic week for the top 10 as No. 1 Kansas lost twice and plummeted nine spots. As the Jayhawks barely held on to a top-10 ranking, the Tennessee Volunteers moved into the No. 1 spot. The Auburn Tigers remain at No. 2 with a loss to Duke, who climbed three spots to No. 6 in the poll.

The Iowa State Cyclones moved up to No. 3 with a win over the No. 4 Marquette Golden Eagles, and the Kentucky Wildcats moved into the top five despite splitting the week with a loss to now No. 16 Clemson and a victory over No. 9 Gonzaga. Alabama moved back into the top 10 after beating North Carolina.

SEC schools in the Coaches Poll top 25

In addition to the five top-10 SEC programs mentioned above, the Ole Miss Rebels (No. 15), Oklahoma Sooners (No. 17) and Texas A&M Aggies (No. 18) are also ranked, giving the conference eight teams in the latest poll.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (93), Missouri Tigers (21), Georgia Bulldogs (18), Arkansas Razorbacks (10), Texas Longhorns (5) and LSU Tigers (1) all earned points this week too. South Carolina and Vanderbilt are the only SEC programs not in mild contention for a spot in the rankings.

Coaches Poll Top 25 Week 5 rankings

Ranking Team Record Points Change
1 Tennessee 8-0 770 (26) +2
2 Auburn 8-1 732 (5)
3 Iowa State 7-1 697 +2
4 Marquette 9-1 655
5 Kentucky 8-1 651 +1
6 Duke 7-2 628 +3
7 Florida 9-0 548 +6
8 Alabama 7-2 545 +4
9 Gonzaga 7-2 474 -1
10 Kansas 7-2 468 -9
11 Purdue 8-2 440 -4
12 Oregon 9-1 385 -2
13 Houston 5-3 304 +5
14 Michigan 8-1 275 +9
15 Ole Miss 8-1 258 +5
16 Clemson 9-1 237 +29
17 Oklahoma 9-0 233 +4
18 Texas A&M 8-2 197 +6
19 Michigan State 8-2 177 +6
20 UConn 7-3 165 +6
21 UCLA 8-1 151 +13
22 Wisconsin 8-2 139 -11
23 Cincinnati 7-1 124 -9
24 San Diego State 6-2 105 +3
25 Baylor 5-3 99 -9

Schools Dropped Out

No. 15 Memphis; No. 17 Illinois; No. 19 Pittsburgh; No. 22 North Carolina;

Others Receiving Votes

Mississippi State 93; Illinois 72; St. John’s 51; Pittsburgh 50; Arizona State 45; Maryland 42; Memphis 39; Drake 35; Utah State 32; Penn State 30; Saint Mary’s 28; Missouri 21; Creighton 20; Georgia 18; West Virginia 11; Arkansas 10; UC Irvine 5; Texas 5; Dayton 4; Texas Tech 2; North Carolina 2; Loyola Chicago 2; LSU 1;

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Todd Golden talks about win over Virginia on Wednesday night

Here’s everything Todd Golden had to offer on Wednesday night after his team’s ninth-straight win to open the season against Virginia.

Florida basketball earned its ninth-straight win to start the 2024-25 campaign on Wednesday night, defeating the Virginia Cavaliers inside the O’Connell Center, 87-69, as a part of this year’s SEC-ACC Challenge.

The victory not only marked the first time the program has won this many consecutive games to start the schedule since the 2005-06 campaign, it also represented payback for a three-point loss to UVA last fall in the Hall of Fame Series. Additionally, the Orange and Blue have earned all nine triumphs in double-digit fashion.

Following the big win, [autotag]Todd Golden[/autotag] spoke with the sports media about his team’s performance. Here is what he had to offer.

Opening statement

“Proud of our program, proud of our guys. Being 9-0 is hard to do. You know, I thought the first five or six minutes of the game, we weren’t playing as well as we needed to. You know, I didn’t think we guarded with enough urgency on the perimeter. I didn’t think we rebounded well enough. And it led to us, you know, having a nine-point deficit early on.

“But, you know, from that point forward, obviously, to outscore them by 27 is really hard to do, and I thought we did, you know, we kicked it up a gear, started guarding better, getting clean rebounds and getting out in transition. I thought Denzel (Aberdeen) and Sam (Alexis) were huge for us in the first half. I thought they gave us a big lift off the bench and allowed us to get a little momentum in the game.

“And, you know, obviously some really good individual performances. I thought Walt (Clayton) was fantastic, you know, makes makes me a much better coach when he plays like he does tonight. I thought (Alex Condon), you know, was really, really efficient and effective down on the block. And, you know, against a team that’s a really good 2-point field goal percentage defense.

“So multiple good performances, you know, proud of the way our guys performed through nine games. And, you know, I think we’re excited and looking forward to getting a few days off here before going to Atlanta and playing Arizona State.”

On Denzel Aberdeen’s 12-point performance

“Yeah, he’s just grown up, you know, getting better and the natural progression of a young guy coming into Division I one and sticking with it, and we’ve talked about it a lot, his willingness to stay a part of the program without being promised certain things, was something that we were really excited about.

“Everybody saw at the end of last year what he was capable of, and the fact that he’s been able to do it more consistently has allowed our team to be better. Again, I thought he provided a huge lift in the first half, obviously offensively, but also on the defensive end.

“And you know, I look at that steal he got in the backcourt, where he kind of picked the guy and went up for a dunk. You know, that was a huge momentum play. Hit two big threes, you know, earned every minute that he got tonight.”

On Florida’s scoring runs

“One of the really good qualities of our team is our spurtability, you know, our ability to go on big runs. And, you know, in the Wichita game, I think we went on a 27-0 run.

“Tonight, I think it was 15-0 in the first half. I think we’ve had a double-digit run (to zero) run in pretty much every one of our games so far to this point. I think it speaks to the depth of our team. I think it speaks to the efficiency of the way we play offense and the way we’ve been better on the defensive end. We weren’t great overall defensively tonight. I thought our rebounding was poor compared to how it’s been over the last couple weeks.

“But when we get going and we’re able to put a couple stops together and get clean rebounds, we’re really, really hard to guard in transition and, you know, again, you know, while Alijah, Will our perimeter, pushing the ball up the floor and our bigs running and getting easy layups and dunks, you know, we have the ability to do that to teams.”

On Florida’s 20 points off turnovers

“Against Virginia, they’re a pretty stout half-court defense, you know, and so you got to find ways to create offensive opportunities. Looking at their two losses before they played us tonight, both those teams turned them over quite a bit.

“So that was an area that we felt like we would have to have some success to be able to open the floor for us a little bit and be able to get easier baskets, which we were able to do, and pressure on the defensive end was something that we emphasized quite a bit over the last two days.

“We didn’t guard the three-point line well enough early and I thought that definitely bothered me. I thought it kept us at bay. But once we were able to take the 3-point line away and pressure them and make them play late in the clock, we were able to get some turnovers that way, which resulted in some runouts and allowed us to get some momentum.”

Florida’s frontcourt’s ability to space floor

“Yeah, you know it’s Condo, but also Tommy and Sam has the ability to make it from out there. And, you know, the way we play with multiple bigs, teams generally want to try to clog the paint, make it hard for us, and when they have the ability to step out and stretch the defense, those are back breakers because you’re trying to take certain things away, and you got to kind of pick your poison a little bit.

“But letting Tommy or Condo, you know, shoot open threes probably isn’t a great strategy either. So, you know, trying to find that middle ground against us is tough.

“But you know, his confidence level, his awareness, his understanding of the right ones to take, you know, I think has gotten really, really good. And he started shooting the ball well from 3 at the end of conference play last year, and he’s just continued on that trajectory. And Tommy shot it really, really well over the last, you know, two weeks. And when they can spread it like that, it just makes us really, really hard to guard.”

On Walter Clayton ‘exorcising demons’ from last year’s UVA game

“There’s been a lot of conversation about him playing the point guard position. And again, it’s one of the best defensive teams in America, you look down and he has 27 points, four assists and one turnover in 34 minutes.

“And to be honest, the turnover is pretty fluky, you know? It wasn’t a bad decision. It was just kind of somebody to get his hands in on the ball in a transition play, but he’s a fantastic player and when he plays at a high level like that offensively, it just, it makes us pretty dang good.

“But he, he definitely did exorcise some demons. I thought he did a great job handling the way they guard ball screens with their hard show. He just ran around it. Made some really good decisions on when to drive or when to pass to the big and, you know, transparently, just playing at a really high level right now.”

On Clayton’s improvement at point guard

“Yeah, you know, the other thing about it too is, you know, I think our staff, we had a much better plan tonight against Virginia than we did last year, and our guys executed it, which is the most important thing. But we probably didn’t prepare our guys well enough last year going into that game. We didn’t make that same mistake again tonight.

“You know, I think our guys had a good understanding of how they were going to guard us and then, offensively, what we should try to run to exploit it, and then defensively, I thought our plan was good. I thought Hov — Kevin Hovde — did a great job with our scout and preparing our guys to play tonight. And the results spoke to that.”

On SEC dominating SEC/ACC Challenge

“I think analytically, the SEC is the best conference in college basketball in the last six years, or something like that, six or seven years. And when you look at, you know, a team like South Carolina, for example, that you know, hadn’t played incredibly well over the first couple weeks, and then they go on the road to Boston College and win by 16, that’s really, really hard to do.

“You know, Georgia played really well against Notre Dame yesterday. A&M played well against Wake. LSU beats Florida State. The only, only contest we lost was Kentucky in a really tough game on the road against Clemson. I just saw ‘Bama won by 15 at North Carolina tonight. And a few more games to be played, but there’s no running from it.

“This is the best conference in college basketball and it’s not particularly close right now. And you know, we got four more games in the non-conference that we got to worry about before we get to league play, but there’s no doubt that the SEC is the best conference in college basketball. Every night is going to be an absolute battle once we get to league play.

“And as we’ve talked about before, our conference schedule starts out pretty difficult with at Kentucky, at home against Tennessee, and I think we go on the road to Arkansas. Yeah, so fun three games to start. The great thing is, you’re gonna have an opportunity every night. I think, at least at this point, every road conference game is Quad-I, so you start with nine right there.

“And you know, there’s gonna be probably four more home games that reach that level and there’s a good chance if South Carolina continues to play better that every home game will be Quad-II or better. So opportunities are plenty, you know, once we get into January.”

On Clayton’s confidence

“It’s an incredible talent to have. A rational confidence. You could describe it that way. But for him, it’s not irrational. You know, I think he has a great level of confidence, but he’s also a great competitor.

“And I think, you know, being able to balance those two things, it looks, you know, he’s out there, and he doesn’t necessarily look like he’s moving that fast all the time, but he always finds a way to get that separation. And you know, he’s been much better defensively this year than he was last year.

“He’s competed much better on that end. And there’s stretches throughout the course of the game where, you know, the coaching is keeping him in the game, you know, and just letting him run up and down the floor and let him make decisions in transition, because when he plays in the open court, there’s nothing that we can draw up that’ll get us better looks than what he’s able to provide that way.

“You know, he is playing at the level that we hoped he would and that we need him to if we want to compete for a National Champion.”

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Three key takeaways from Florida basketball’s win over Virginia

The Gators have opened their season with nine straight wins for the first time since 2005.

Florida basketball continued its hot start to the season with an 87-69 win over the Virginia Cavaliers in the SEC/ACC Challenge on Wednesday night inside the O’Connell Center.

After falling behind 18-9 early, the Gators rallied with determination, clawing their way back into the game before seizing control and turning up the pressure. It was a pivotal early-season test for head coach Todd Golden and his squad, as they sought to make a statement and build on their strong start to the season.

Florida leaned on standout performances from Walter Clayton Jr. and Alex Condon, as well as key contributions from their bench, to get the win. As a result of the midweek victory, the Gators are off to a 9-0 start to the year for the first time since the 2005-06 season.

Here are three key takeaways from Florida’s win over Virginia.

Clayton and Condon steer the ship

Clayton and Condon led the charge for Florida, combining for 46 points. The former showcased his scoring ability, pouring in a game-high 27 points on 10-for-19 shooting, including five three-pointers, adding four assists and two steals.

Condon provided a strong inside presence, contributing 19 points on an efficient 7-for-8 from the field while pulling down eight rebounds — including five on the offensive glass. He also played well defensively, tallying two steals and a block.

Gators’ bench provided a spark

Florida’s bench provided a much-needed spark in the game, particularly in the first half, led by junior guard Denzel Aberdeen. The junior had 12 points on a 4-for-5 shooting effort — including a perfect 2-for-2 from beyond the arc — in 21 minutes of action.

Sam Alexis also contributed valuable minutes grabbing six rebounds and adding physicality on both ends of the floor.

This kind of depth not only gives Golden more flexibility in rotations but also underscores the team’s ability to find contributions from up and down the roster.

Defense forcing turnovers

Florida’s defensive intensity was on full display as the Gators forced Virginia into 15 turnovers — a key factor in their victory. Aggressive on-ball pressure and active hands disrupted the Cavaliers’ offensive flow, creating opportunities for transition and quick scoring chances.

The Gators’ ability to force mistakes prevented the Cavaliers from gaining consistent momentum. The 15 turnovers translated into crucial stops and kept Florida in control during key stretches of the game.

Florida converted Virginia’s turnovers into 20 points, providing a crucial boost to their offensive output and helping to secure the victory.

Up next for Florida

The Gators will play against the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday, Dec. 14 as part of the Holiday Hoopsgiving Event in Atlanta, Georgia. Tipoff is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on SEC Network.

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Florida basketball HC Todd Golden talks Virginia matchup

Florida basketball is looking to build off an 8-0 start against Virginia Wednesday. Head coach Todd Golden previewed the matchup on Tuesday.

Florida basketball returns to the O’Connell Center on Wednesday after a dominant run at the ESPN Events Invitational over Thanksgiving week.

The Gators are looking to build off a perfect November (8-0), starting with a matchup against the Virginia Cavaliers. Men’s basketball head coach Todd Golden previewed the SEC-ACC Challenge matchup.

Here’s everything Golden said ahead of Wednesday’s 7:45 p.m. ET tipoff.

On Virginia

“Obviously, (they play) a different style, similar to Wake Forest, a team that prefers to operate in the half-court. I think they always have been and continue to be a really good defensive team. Just got done watching them play Tennessee from a couple of weeks ago, or a week or two ago, and they guarded them with great physicality. The first 20 minutes of the game, it was really hard for Tennessee to score.

“Dictating tempo, getting the game going up and down a little bit and just being prepared for their physicality is really, really important. We can’t be caught off guard by that, we can’t be surprised by that early on in the game because that’s just how they play. That’s probably their biggest strength is their togetherness and their physicality and toughness.”

On new coaching staff for UVA

“I think Ron (Sanchez) has done a really good job. I think they’re so really well-coached. I’d say they’re maybe playing a little bit differently offensively, not much differently defensively. Coach Sanchez had been with (former coach Tony Bennett) for quite a while before getting the Charlotte job, so I don’t think his plan, when he got the opportunity a couple of months ago, was to come in and change a whole lot.

“I think he was probably trying to build off what they had done together, but this is a team that plays like a Virginia team of the past decade or so.”

On Virginia forward Blake Buchanan

“He’s a really good rim protector. He’s done a really good job playing physically, finishing around the rim, hasn’t shot it a lot — I think he’s only taking one three on the year — hasn’t shot it great from the foul line, but he has been efficient from two. He’s just strong. He had a really good game against us last year. He was a big reason as to why we were not able to beat them, and we’ve got to be prepared for his physicality. He definitely anchors them in the middle with his strength and size.”

On physical ESPN Events Invitational games

“I thought it was great for us to be able to play the way we did under those circumstances. Wake is a very physical team, obviously, really well coached and, again, a team that is trying to dictate the tempo for 40 minutes. To their credit, we were able to get away from them a little bit at the beginning of the second half and for parts of the second half, but not until the last four minutes were we really able to just kind of break away from them.

“We’re gonna have to play through the physicality early. I thought it took us off our path early in that Wake game and then we kind of got recalibrated and got going. Being at home, we don’t want to allow that to happen. If we are ready for it and if we meet their physicality and toughness, I think we’ll be in good shape.”

On attacking Virginia’s “hard hedges”

“It did bother us a lot last year. The good thing for us is Ryan Dunn’s not there anymore. That’s a good start. Beekman, as well. They had pro-level defenders, and they’re still a very good defensive team, but those guys were unique, and I think to our staff’s credit, we have a better plan to attack it.

“Last year at this point, we were really trying to get organized in our early game. Now I feel like we have a better understanding of what’s going to work against hard shows, and where we should place our ball screens and everything like that. But, it’s definitely a take-care-of-the-ball scout. We’ve got to make sure we don’t allow their hard shows and their physicality and their length to bother us, to allow us to turn the ball over, which can lead to easier baskets for them.

“Really for me, I think it’s just keeping the floor spaced, making sure we don’t over-dribble, making sure we get them moving side to side. If we can do that, we should take away a little bit of the half-court pressure both on the ball and when they’re showing on the ball screen.”

On ACC/SEC challenge series

“I think initially the idea of playing marquee games against other big-time conferences outside of league play is really good. Whether you want to play in three-game MTEs (multiple team events) or two-game MTE or not, but then having this, I think it’s good for both leagues.

“We had been, unfortunately, on the road the first two years, being at Kansas State and then being at Wake. Now, we finally get a home game. Obviously, in every other year you get an opportunity to go on the road and get what will be very close to a conference road game-type atmosphere, type setting.

“They’re just tough games, and I think to be able to play a really, really good opponent like Virginia on your home floor non-conference is awesome. We get that with Florida State also, every other year. For us, as you guys know, we like to balance our non-conference. We want to play a good amount of really quality Quad 1, Quad 2 games. We want to play a decent amount of the Quad 3, Quad 4 variety. You think of this challenge as usually a game that’s going to present a Quad 1 or Quad 2 opportunity for you.”

Was the series be better in January?

“No, not really, to be honest. Back to the Kansas State game, that was not necessarily a great time for us to get on a plane and fly to the middle of the country and play a really good team and come back. I think we played Alabama the next game or something. It just wasn’t an easy turn of events.

“The challenge is there’s not a great time to play these games. I know a lot of coaches struggle with playing this game the first game after their MTE. You look at Tennessee last year, they played really well down in Maui as far as I remember and then they had to go on the road to North Carolina, and they ran into a tough game. We had to go to Brooklyn and then come back and play at Wake Forest, so sometimes it’s hard to think of it as being a really good time, but again they’re good challenges and I think these games help prepare us for league play.”

On significant rebound advantage last week

“Yeah, we definitely rebounded really well in those two games. I think for us to be the best we can be, rebounding at a high level has to be a part of our DNA. Last year, it helped us win games we maybe shouldn’t (have), maybe we weren’t super effective from the field to win — our formula in terms of how we want to play. Getting misses back is important and not allowing second chances for opponents is really important.

“Our goal is to be plus-10 on the boards every game. (It’s) going to be a big challenge to do that against Virginia. I think they’re a solid defensive-rebounding team. They’re not a team that puts a lot of pressure on the offensive glass. I think they really focus on loading up and getting back in transition and making you operate against halfcourt defense, but being able to create second chances and more opportunities is just really important to be the best team we can be.

“When we have games where we don’t do that, it’s concerning, and it just opens up an opportunity for us to not be the best we can be. So, when we’re winning the boards by 22 or whatever it was, and then 16, we feel like we are going to give ourselves a really good chance to win if we can dominate the boards like that.”

On Rueben Chinyelu’s progression

“I think for him a big part of it is comfort. He had a great summer, he had a great fall. You can ask Alex Condon about that. I think he didn’t enjoy going up against his physicality and his toughness every day, and early on he just wasn’t as aggressive in games. I think that’s a little normal coming into a new program.

“He’s still young. He looks like a grown man, but he’s a sophomore, and basketball is relatively new to him, but what our staff was so excited about in the Wichita game he looked like he got comfortable and started getting the ball to the rim quick, was dunking everything, protecting everything at the rim, grabbing every rebound, clean rebounds. It just gave us confidence, like, alright if he can continue to build off this, we have a chance to take another jump.

“I think he had a double-double with four blocks, four assists, only one turnover, something like that. He was fantastic, and I think he was good against Wake also. He only scored one bucket, but he was really impactful in terms of winning. There was no denying his impact in the Wichita game by his production and his plus-minus. Again, he’s a guy if he continues to grow and get more comfortable and be more consistent in terms of playing how he did in the summer and early on in practice, we have a really, really good player on our hands.”

On Alex Condon and Thomas Haugh’s rebounding

“Those guys understand — those two, Rueben and Sam — know what their responsibilities are, and if they’re not active on the glass, they’re probably not going to be in the game for very long. It just comes with the territory of playing in the frontcourt for us. We give those guys a lot of freedom on the offensive end to play with the ball in their hands, to make decisions, to shoot, and with a lot of freedom comes responsibility, and rebounding and defending is a big part of that.

“They’re hard-playing dudes, and their athleticism, their quickness, consistency and their energy gives us another element that I think is really tough to match up against.”

On remaining areas of improvement

“I thought we made a big jump on the defensive end in Orlando, and so for me it’s consistency right there. First of all, it’s proving that you’re capable, and once you can do that, then proving that you can be consistent. I thought in those 80 minutes, we proved that we were capable of guarding. Both those teams were good. They run good stuff. They’re hard to guard. They’ve been efficient all year, and we snuffed them out pretty good.

“So now, we don’t have the excuse of that maybe we’re not, we can’t do it. We guarded like a top-10 team defensively in both of those games. So now just doing it consistently and being able to do it while being efficient offensively and crashing the glass. When all three of those things go together like they did for the most part in the Wichita game, I feel like our ceiling’s pretty high.”

On importance of no hiccups through November

“Really important, but it’s as important going into tomorrow as it’s been all fall. That’s the concern, is we’ve got a little momentum, we’re starting to get some recognition, starting to get ranked highly, whether it’s in the AP, the Coaches, KenPom, NET, whatever it is. When you’re No. 8 on Kempom and No. 6 in the NET, you’re fighting human nature a little bit at that point as well.

“We have a good mature group. I think our guys understand where we’re at, but what our goals are and at the same time, we have to prevent ourselves from letting ourselves off the hook, making sure we continue to guard like we did in Orlando and be physical on the glass and continue to value the basketball the way we have. It just takes one bad night to ruin all that, right? So we’re just trying to do everything we can to make sure we don’t take a step back, find a way to win tomorrow night and then we’ll have a little bit of breathing room before the Arizona State game to clean up some things. But all we got for this opponent tomorrow night is it’s going to be a really tough game.”

On Will Richard’s defense improving despite offensive struggles

“I think he’s really taking pride in being a leader for this team, and with being a leader comes the responsibility of having a good attitude regardless of how it’s going for you individually. Part of our message to Will, to Walt (Clayton), to Alijah (Martin), on a daily basis, is that those guys are the leaders of our team.

“I think that’s pretty clear, whether it’s in our locker room or you guys watching. But it’s not every night those guys are going to get 30 points. It could be Walt one night, it could be A-Mart, it could be Will, and when it’s not those guys that are scoring, are they still going to A, be great leaders, focusing on what’s important to help us win, and B, making sure their energy and enthusiasm is matched to where it is when they’re performing well.

“That’s where I’ve seen big growth from all those guys, but Will, I thought was great against Wichita. To your point, only made one field goal or two field goals, but played a great floor game with five assists, one turnover, six rebounds, and was finding joy in the success of his teammates.

“Again, I think if we can consistently do that, for the rest of the year, we’re going to have a chance of a really good year. But that’s the constant battle that you’re fighting on a day-to-day basis because it’s hard to do that. It’s hard to continue to put the team in front of yourself, especially if you get to a point where you’re struggling over a consistent period of time.

“But that’s the big fight, and that’s, I think, what separates the good teams from the great teams. Right now, we’re in a great mind space that way. I think all of our guys are on the same page. Our energy is good, but it can go bad if you don’t address it, if you don’t talk about it on a daily basis. So that’s what we’re focused on. I expect our leaders to continue to lead us that way, and they’ve done a really good job so far.”

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Florida makes big jump in ESPN BPI rankings after 8-0 start

A dominant week at the ESPN Events Invitational has the Florida Gators surging up the ESPN Basketball Power Index.

The Florida Gators men’s basketball made a statement run over Thanksgiving, taking down Wake Forest, 75-58, and Wichita State, 88-51, en route to an ESPN Events Invitational championship. As a result, the Gators jumped up to No. 18 on the ESPN Basketball Power Index.

Note: The BPI is updated daily; however Gators Wire provides weekly updates as not to overwhelm fans with constant changes.

Florida’s BPI is 15.8, further broken down as 9.1 (15th) on offense and 6.8 (35th) on defense. All three of those figures are up from our last update (13.5, 8.5 and 5.0). The Gators jumped up two spots in the offensive rankings and 30 on defense.

“The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” ESPN explains. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

ESPN BPI Projections

ESPN now projects Florida to finish the season with a 22.3-8.7 overall record (2.7 more wins than last week) and a 10.2-7.8 record in conference play (1.2 more wins) based on results to date and BPI-based projections for remaining scheduled games. The Gators have 3.2% odds to win the conference, up 2.2% a week ago.

Florida faces the 24th-toughest schedule moving forward with many of its weakest opponents in the rearview mirror. As expected, the SEC slate will be a gauntlet.

NCAA Tournament/Resume

The 8-0 start has the Gators ranked 12th overall in strength of record, which translates to a No. 3 seed if the season were to end today — up from 14th and a No. 4 seed a week ago.

Florida finally faces some decent competition in the non-conference schedule, which has the strength of schedule rankings up to No. 133 from No. 225, and it faces a trio of top-100 opponents over the next few weeks. The Gators haven’t faced a “quality opponent” (top 50 in BPI) yet.

ESPN gives Florida 0.7% odds of winning the NCAA Tournament and 2.4% odds of making it to the championship game. A Final Four appearance (7.0%) or Elite Eight appearance (15.6%) are more realistic now, as are the odds of a Sweet 16 (35.7%) and Round of 32 appearance (69.6%).

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Florida ranked inside KenPom top 10 after perfect November

Florida’s dominant run at the ESPN Events Invitational has the Gators inside the top 10, according to KenPom.

The Florida Gators have cracked the top 10 in the KenPom College Basketball Ratings after an 8-0 start to the college basketball season. The Orange and Blue check-in at No. 8 to open December.

A net rating of plus-25.33 is 3.5 points higher than a week ago, and the Gators have passed by several elite programs, including Alabama and Kentucky. Florida is now the third highest-rated SEC team, according to KenPom.

Auburn (plus-32.08, 1st) leads all SEC programs followed by Tennessee (plus-30.97, 2nd), Florida (plus-25.33, 8th), Alabama (plus-24.25, 10th) and Kentucky (plus-23.50, 12th).

Thirteen of the 16 SEC programs are ranked inside the top 50.

Texas A&M (plus-19.81, 27th) and Mississippi State (plus 19.64, 28th) have fallen out of the top 25, followed by Texas (plus-18.46, 35th), Oklahoma (plus-16.77, 40th), Ole Miss (plus-16.67, 41st), Arkansas (plus-16.37, 42nd), Georgia (plus-15.66, 46th) and LSU (plus-14.90, 50th).

Many college hoops experts and oddsmakers consider Pomeroy’s ratings the gold standard in the sport, and the reputation has held for more than 20 years.

“His ratings are derived from a proprietary algorithm, with the core centered on the Pythagorean calculation for expected winning percentage, made famous by baseball statistician Bill James,” ESPN explains.

“Pomeroy’s formula is designed to be purely predictive, with an emphasis on margin of victory. He factors in offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and even luck, but does not, however, take into consideration injuries or emotional factors.”

Breaking down the KenPom ratings

Date Nov. 12 (Week 1) Nov. 20 (Week 2) Nov. 26 (Week 3) Dec. 2 (Week 4)
W-L 3-0 5-0 6-0 8-0
NetRtg +19.83 (20) +20.74 (22) +21.86 (18) +25.33 (8)
ORtg 117.2 (13) 118.1 (11) 119.5 (8) 120.2 (9)
DRtg 97.4 (49) 97.4 (51) 97.6 (49) 94.9 (22)
AdjT 73.2 (47) 71.7 (72) 70.4 (93) 69.2 (125)
Luck +.000 (117) +.000 (182) +.000 (188) +.003 (181)
SOS Net -4.16 (237) -4.27 (239) -3.79 (252) -0.55 (189)
SOS ORtg 100.8 (265) 100.0 (293) 101.4 (303) 103.2 (269)
SOS DRtg 105.0 (198) 104.3 (167) 105.2 (164) 103.8 (62)
NCSOS Net -4.16 (237) -4.27 (239) -3.79 (252) -0.55 (189)

Since we last checked in with KenPom, Florida’s adjusted offensive efficiency rating has improved by 0.7 points (per 100 possessions) and the defense has allowed 2.7 fewer points. Thoes numbers translate to a one-spot dip in the offensive ratings and a 27-spot increase on defense brings Florida inside the top 50.

Florida won the ESPN Events Invitational over Thanksgiving week, defeating Wake Forest and Wichita State. The Gators held the Demon Deacons to 58 points, and the Shockers scored just 51 in the championship game. Florida outscored its opponents this week by a combined 54 points.

The Orange and Blue play only one game this week, a home matchup against Virginia.

Florida’s adjusted tempo continues to drop, now at 69.2 possession per 40 minutes after a preseason projection of 73.6. The Gators were one of the fastest-paced programs in the country a year ago but are now outside of the top 100.

Florida has been expected to win most of its games, but the two neutral site matchups mean that the Gator finally have a luck rating other than triple zeroes. Still, at plus-.003, the number is almost insignificant, which is a good thing. High luck can mean a lower rating and negative luck can mean underperforming.

Strength of Schedule according to KenPom

KenPom’s strength of schedule ratings only considers the games played, and Florida hasn’t played the toughest non-conference slate by any means. Still, Wake Forest and Wichita State are much better programs than the first six the Gators faced, so the ranking jumped significantly from 252nd to 189th.

The rest of the non-conference schedule isn’t too daunting, but Arizona State (57th), North Carolina (16th) and Virginia (103rd) are all decently rated. North Florida (180th) and Stetson (341st) give the Gators an easy finish to the calendar year.

Looking back at Florida’s eight wins: three have come against top 100 opponents, Florida State (59th), Wake Forest (98th), and Wichita State (90th); three have come against opponents rated in the next 100, Jacksonville (186th), South Florida (138th) and Southern Illinois (148th); and two have come against opponents rated outside of the top 200, Florida A&M (353rd) and Grambling State (223rd).

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Florida basketball debuts at No. 6 in NCAA NET rankings

December means the NCAA NET rankings are here, and Florida is a top-10 program after an 8-0 start to the 2024-25 college basketball season.

With the first month of the college basketball season in the books, the NCAA NET rankings are now available, and the Florida Gators begin December ranked No. 6 overall following an 8-0 start.

“The 2024-25 men’s basketball season marks the seventh season of the NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET) rankings, which replaced the RPI prior to the 2018-19 season as the primary sorting tool for evaluating teams,” according to the NCAA.

While Top 25 polls remain popular, it’s the NET rankings that are used by the NCAA Tournament committee to seed teams in March. The rankings rely on a quadrant system (below), where Quadrant 1 (Q1) wins and Q3/Q4 losses matter the most.

Breaking down Florida’s wins by Quadrant

Before going into Florida’s resume, it’s important to understand how the quadrants are divided. Where a game is played has as much to do with the quadrant as the quality of the opponent.

For example, Florida’s lone Q1 win this year is against Florida State. The Seminoles are ranked No. 67 in the NET, but playing the game in Tallahassee means it’s a Q1 matchup. Had the game taken place at home or at a neutral site, it would be a Q2 matchup.

It’s also important to recognize that quadrant records vary has the season progresses and the NET is updated. What is a Q1 win today might not be one tomorrow.

  • Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75
  • Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135
  • Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240
  • Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353

As mentioned above, the Florida State win is UF’s only Q1 matchup of the season, and it’s a borderline Q1 win at that. Florida also has just one Q2 matchup on the books, a neutral site victory over Wichita State (No. 93) on Friday at the ESPN Events Invitational.

The Gators have won both Q3 matchups this season, one against Wake Forest (No. 115) at the ESPN Events Invitational and the other against South Florida (No. 173) in a neutral-site season opener.

The bulk of Florida’s games have come against Q4 opponents at home, Florida A&M (No. 334), Grambling (No. 183), Jacksonville (No. 165) and Southern Illinois (No. 174).

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