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The No. 19 Michigan State Spartans (8-2) take on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies (3-5) on Tuesday. Tip-off from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Michigan State vs. Oakland odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Michigan State rolled to its third straight win on Saturday, crushing the Nebraska Cornhuskers 89-52. The Spartans easily covered as 7.5-point favorites and the Under 147 hit. MSU owned the boards, outrebounding the Cornhuskers 48-19. G Jaden Akins scored a game-high 18 points.
Oakland had a rough outing on Saturday, losing to the Youngstown State Penguins 66-50 as 2-point road underdogs while the Under 132.5 hit. The Golden Grizzlies struggled from beyond the arc, shooting just 2-of-16 (12.5%). Forward Allen Mukeba tried to keep them in it with 17 points, 5 rebounds, an assist and a block, but it was not enough.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Michigan State vs. Oakland odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 5:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Michigan State -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100) | Oakland +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
- Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State -16.5 (-110) | Oakland +16.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Michigan State vs. Oakland picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan State 74, Oakland 61
Moneyline
PASS.
The Spartans (-1600) will get the win on Tuesday night, but I’ve got the Golden Grizzlies keeping it competitive. I’ll take my wager to the spread.
Against the spread
BET OAKLAND +16.5 (-110).
Give Oakland credit—they’ve really stepped up their non-conference schedule this season, taking on tough teams like the Kansas Jayhawks, Illinois Fighting Illini, Boise State Broncos, and now Michigan State. The Spartans have won every matchup against Oakland since 2014, but the Golden Grizzlies have kept it close, covering the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Oakland averages just 10 turnovers per game, good for 54th in the country. On the other side, Michigan State has been hit or miss ATS this year, sitting at 5-4. When favored by 16.5 points or more, they’ve only covered once in 3 games.
The Spartans’ biggest issue is 3-point shooting. They’re hitting just 27.7% from deep, which ranks a brutal 339th in the country. It’s hard to trust them to cover a big number when they struggle so much from long range.
Michigan State has also lost their last 4 night games at neutral sites, while Oakland has won 5 of their last 6 in those spots.
The Golden Grizzlies don’t make a lot of mistakes, and Michigan State’s shooting woes could make it tough for them to pull away. Oakland has a knack for hanging around in games like this, and there’s a good chance they keep it closer than the spread.
Over/Under
Oakland has hit the Under in 7 straight games, while Michigan State has gone Over in 2 of their last 3. Both teams struggle from deep, and they hold opponents under 70 points per game, so the Under feels like the safer lean.
I’ll PASS and concentrate on the spread,.
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