Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (23-47) travel to meet the San Antonio Spurs (15-54) on Friday night. Tip-off at Frost Bank Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Grizzlies lead 2-0; Memphis has won both meetings by at least 12 points, splitting 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and the Over-Under

The Grizzlies have won 13 consecutive games against the Spurs since Dec. 23, 2020, which was the opening game of the season in the COVID-shortened season. Memphis has failed to cover in 6 of the past 7 meetings, however, with the Over going 5-1 across the previous 6 battles.

Memphis has dropped its past 4 games, while going just 3-4 ATS in the past 7 outings. The Over is on a 4-0 run.

San Antonio lost 113-107 to the Dallas Mavericks at home last time out on Tuesday, but it covered as a 9-point underdog as the Under (236.5) connected. The Spurs have dropped 4 of the past 5 games, but they’ve been hot against the number, going 10-4 ATS in the past 14 outings.

Grizzlies at Spurs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Spurs -255 (bet $255 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Grizzlies +6 (-108) | Spurs -6 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 218 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Spurs key injuries

Grizzlies

  • G Desmond Bane (back) doubtful
  • G Luke Kennard (personal) out
  • G John Konchar (heel) questionable
  • G Scottie Pippen Jr. (shin) questionable

Spurs

  • C Zach Collins (concussion) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 109, Spurs 106

Moneyline

The GRIZZLIES (+210) are banged up, but worth a roll of the dice for the chance to double up. The Spurs (-255) just cannot seem to get out of their own way, and San Antonio still has just 15 wins on the season.

Memphis has dominated this series, and until San Antonio can start ticking off wins on the regular against the Grizzlies, keep backing Memphis.

Against the spread

If you’re a little on the conservative side, and just not feeling the GRIZZLIES +6 (-108) straight up, they’re a good play catching 3 buckets.

Memphis is a respectable 3-2 ATS in the past 5 games, while the Spurs -6 (-112) are 3-1 ATS in the past 4 outings. And while San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in 6 games as a favorite this season, it hasn’t been this large of a favorite all season. Since the Spurs struggle so much against the Grizzlies, San Antonio cannot be trusted.

Over/Under

UNDER 218 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under is on a 4-1 run for the Spurs, going for 107 or fewer points in 4 of the past 5 outings. The Under cashed in the most recent meeting in Memphis on Jan. 2, also, with a total of 204 points on a total of 237.

The Over has cashed in 4 in a row for the Grizzlies, mostly due to the fact Memphis has struggled defensively, including 137 points allowed at Golden State, and 121 points in an OT loss at Sacramento prior to that. Those are good offenses, unlike San Antonio.

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Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (31-44) are fighting for their playoff lives as they host the Memphis Grizzlies (53-23) Wednesday. Tip-off from AT&T Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Over the past two weeks, San Antonio is 5-1 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The Spurs have won 4 straight games with the latest being a 123-120 road win over the Houston Rockets Monday.

San Antonio is currently the 10th and the final play-in seed in the West. The Spurs own the tiebreaker against the Los Angeles Lakers, who have the same record.

Memphis is on a 5-game winning streak (5-0 ATS), all without All-Star PG Ja Morant. The Grizzlies are 18-2 SU in games Morant misses.

The Grizzlies are 3-0 SU and ATS versus the Spurs this season and have won 6 straight against San Antonio since January 2021 (5-1 ATS).

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA March 30 breakdown

Grizzlies at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:44 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Grizzlies -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Spurs +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread: Grizzlies -5.5 (-108) | Spurs +5.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under: 233.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Grizzlies at Spurs key injuries

Grizzlies

  • PF Jarren Jackson Jr. (thigh) questionable
  • PG Ja Morant (knee) out

Spurs

  • SF Doug McDermott (ankle) out
  • SG Lonnie Walker IV (back) available

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Grizzlies at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Spurs 116

Money line

PASS even though I like San Antonio plus the points and generally “sprinkle” on an underdog’s ML when betting it to cover the spread.

But I cannot get there with the Spurs (+180) because the Grizzlies (-230) have owned San Antonio in recent seasons and both teams have a similar identity. Memphis is just far more efficient.

The Grizzlies have a glaring strength-on-weakness edge on the glass. Memphis has the highest offensive-rebounding rate in the NBA and scores the most second-chance points per game (PPG). San Antonio is 24th in defensive-rebounding rate and 29th in second-chance PPG allowed.

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Against the spread

LEAN SPURS +5.5 (-112).

They’re at home and playing with max motivation since they are in the thick of the playoff race. Plus, there’s reverse-line movement in San Antonio’s direction.

According to Pregame.com and VegasInsider.com, a vast majority of the market is betting on Memphis, but the Grizzlies have been lowered from 7-point opening favorites down to the current number. It’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Lastly, despite what Memphis’ record is sans Morant, San Antonio has an edge in the backcourt. Spurs PG Dejounte Murray made his All-Star Game debut in February and he’ll ball out versus Grizzlies backup PG Tyus Jones.

It’s only a LEAN to the SPURS +5.5 (-112) since they are 6-13 ATS as home underdogs with a minus-4.0 ATS margin.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 233.5 (-115) because there isn’t a big margin between my prediction and the projected score and we’re getting the worst of the number. The look-ahead total for Grizzlies-Spurs was set at 230.5 and has been steamed up the current price by a flood of Over money.

But Memphis and San Antonio play at the fourth- and fifth-highest pace, respectively. Also, the Grizzlies are 20-16-2 O/U on the road and the Spurs are 21-15-1 O/U at home.

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Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (32-17) travel to the Alamo City for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off against the San Antonio Spurs (18-30) at the AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past six games with the latest being a 104-91 loss at the Dallas Mavericks Sunday. The Grizzlies are 3-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

San Antonio snapped a two-game slide by hammering the Rockets in Houston 134-104 last night (Tuesday). The Spurs are 3-5 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.

The Grizzlies (-5.5) beat the Spurs 118-105 in their first meeting of the season, New Year’s Eve. Memphis has won four straight versus San Antonio and covered in three of those wins.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 26 breakdown

Grizzlies at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Spurs +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -4.5 (-115) | Spurs +4.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Grizzlies at Spurs key injuries

Grizzlies

  • SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
  • SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
  • PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Spurs

  • None.

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Grizzlies at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Spurs 115

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Spurs (+160) because San Antonio plus the points is the side I’m on.

Both teams play a similar style and have a similar make-up, but the Grizzlies (-200) are just far more efficient so I cannot get behind a San Antonio upset in this spot.

Against the spread

BET the SPURS +4.5 (-107) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies -4.5 (-115) feels like a trap considering Memphis smacked around San Antonio when they first met on New Year’s Eve.

However, the Grizzlies were a lot closer to full health, and the Spurs were missing their leading scorer and assist man in PG Dejounte Murray.

While Memphis PG Ja Morant is a heavy favorite to win the NBA’s Most Improved Player award, Murray is also having a breakout season and has been dynamite this month.

Murray is averaging career highs in points, rebounds and assists per game this season. In Jan., Murray is outproducing his yearly averages by putting up 23.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 9.7 assists per in 12 games this month.

Furthermore, San Antonio has been more efficient and played better versus expectations than Memphis over the past two weeks despite having a worse record.

For instance, the Spurs have a plus-2.8 adjusted net rating (ranked 10th) and a plus-0.3 ATS margin (ranked 17th) in the last 14 days, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

But, the Grizzlies have a minus-4.4 adjusted net rating (ranked 22nd) and a minus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked 26th) during that span, per CTG.

Finally, Memphis is playing the final of a 4-game road swing and is hosting the Utah Jazz Friday. It could be a look-ahead spot for a Grizzlies team that’s facing the team that eliminated them from the playoffs last season and the Spurs could catch them snoozing.

All the trends and most of the public is on the Grizzlies but I’ll fade all that noise and BET the SPURS +4.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Over 228.5 (-112) because both teams like to force turnovers, get out in transition, crash the glass and attack the paint.

Also, the Over has cashed in 5 of the last 7 Grizzlies-Spurs meetings. That said, I agree with this total and think it’s a sharp price.

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