Memphis Grizzlies vs. Philadelphia 76ers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (21-41) visit the Philadelphia 76ers (35-26) Wednesday. Tip from Wells Fargo Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. 76ers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 1-1

The Grizzlies snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 106-102 win over the Brooklyn Nets Monday to cover as 10-point road underdogs. G Luke Kennard scored a game-high and season-high 25 points on 6-of-9 shooting from 3 while 6 Memphis players scored in double digits. The team shot 46.3% from the field in the win.

Philadelphia snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 112-107 loss against the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday while failing to cover as a 1-point road underdog. G Kelly Oubre Jr. scored a game-high 30 points off the bench while 5 Philly players scored in double figures. The 76ers shot 48.8% from the field in the loss.

Grizzlies at 76ers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | 76ers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +6.5 (-115) | 76ers -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at 76ers key injuries

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
F Jaren Jackson Jr. (quad) questionable
G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
G Derrick Rose (groin) out
G Marcus Smart (finger) out
F Ziaire Williams (back) out

76ers

(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)

C Joel Embiid (knee) out
G Tyrese Maxey (concussion) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at 76ers picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 111, Grizzlies 107

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Philadelphia (-250) to beat this injury-ridden Memphis squad that is 3-7 in its last 10 games.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES +6.5 (-115).

Memphis is 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games, including 2-1 ATS in its last 3 on the road. While it is dealing with injuries to a majority of the team, Memphis has played a high level of defense, which will help keep it within striking distance of Philadelphia.

Philly is 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games, including 0-4 ATS in its last 4 as a favorite. It’s 1-4 ATS in its last 5 overall and has covered at the same clip in its last 5 home games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 211.5 (-110).

While both teams have struggled offensively and play strong defense, 211.5 is too low of a line to be confident in the Under. The Grizzlies have allowed 107 or more points in 7 of their last 10 games, while the 76ers have scored at least 120 in 2 of their last 3 and allowed at least 109 in 9 of their last 10.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (35-17) are in the City of Brotherly Love Monday to play the Philadelphia 76ers (30-19). Tip-off at the Wells Fargo Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has won five of its past six games including four straight with the latest being a 20-point beatdown of the Wizards as 6-point home favorites Saturday. The Grizzlies are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games.

Philly is also the winner of four consecutive games, but the Sixers squeaked past the Kings, 103-101, Saturday as 10.5-point home favorites in their last outing. The 76ers are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games as well.

A Ja Morant-less Grizzlies squad hammered a Joel Embiid-less Sixers 126-91 in their first meeting this season, Dec. 13. Memphis has won and covered three straight in the head-to-head series with Philly.

Grizzlies at 76ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | 76ers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread: Grizzlies +3.5 (-108) | 76ers -3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at 76ers key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

76ers

None.

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Grizzlies at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 120, 76ers 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the GRIZZLIES (+133) with the plan of hitting Memphis’ spread harder. The Grizzlies have two strength-on-weakness edges over the Sixers on the glass and in transition.

For instance, Memphis has the highest offensive rebounding rate in the NBA, which results in the Grizzlies averaging the most second-chance points per game (PPG). Whereas Philly is 22nd in defensive rebounding rate and 18th in second-chance PPG allowed.

On top of that, the Grizzlies have an epic mismatch over the Sixers in transition. Memphis plays the second-highest frequency of transition offense and scores the MOST fast-break PPG. Philly is 28th in transition defensive efficiency and 29th in fast-break PPG allowed.

Again, just SPRINKLE on the GRIZZLIES (+133) because Memphis’ spread is the sharper play.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108) heavier than or instead of their money line (ML). This is a much better spot for Memphis because Philly struggles versus teams in the top 10 of efficiency differential.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Philly is 4-7 SU versus top-10 teams with a minus-7.3 adjusted net rating (ranked 22nd) and a minus-5.5 ATS margin (ranked 26th).

Also, the Sixers are 9-13 ATS versus teams with a winning record (3-7 ATS at home) and the Grizzlies are 13-8 ATS versus winning teams (7-3 ATS on the road).

Furthermore, Memphis is seventh in adjusted offensive rating and Philly is just 8-9 SU versus top-10 offenses with a minus-2.7 adjusted net rating and minus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked 29th), per CTG.

For the record, the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS ON THE TOTAL.

On one hand, Memphis’s offense should get a lot of easy second-chance and fast-break points. On the other hand, both teams rank 10th or better in defensive rating and Philly plays the fourth-slowest pace.

The bottom line is I don’t have a strong enough grasp on the total for Grizzlies-76ers and prefer to stick with the Memphis sides.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Philadelphia 76ers (34-15) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-23) Sunday at Wells Fargo Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-76ers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Since March 20, Memphis is 5-3 straight up (SU) and 7-1 against the spread (ATS). The three losses all came against the first-place Utah Jazz and Memphis covered in two of those games.

Philadelphia took down the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-113 last night in C Joel Embiid’s return to action after a 10-game absence due to a knee injury. The Sixers couldn’t cover as 13.5-point favorites.

Memphis beat Philly 106-104 as a 1.5-point home favorite in the first meeting of the season Jan. 16, but Embiid didn’t play.

Grizzlies at 76ers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | 76ers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +4 (-110) | 76ers -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at 76ers: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
SF Justise Winslow (quadriceps) out

76ers

C Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
SG George Hill (thumb) out

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Grizzlies at 76ers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 113, 76ers 110

Money line (ML)

Based on the current price of this game, I’d assume Embiid’s game status is closer to doubtful than questionable, otherwise, Philly would be more expensive here.

Wait until as close to tip-off as possible before making a wager, but GRIZZLIES (+145) is definitely the play if Embiid is out, otherwise just stick with Memphis plus the points.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The most effective part of Embiid’s game is his ability to get to the foul line and he leads the NBA in free-throw attempts per game. In Philly’s win last night over Minnesota, Embiid connected on only 42.9% of his shots but he was 12-for-17 from the charity stripe.

Memphis C Jonas Valančiūnas is in the 96th percentile of bigs for on-off court defensive FT-rate, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, so even if Embiid is playing, he might not get to the line as much as he’s accustomed to.

Finally, the Sixers are second in defensive rating but struggle defensively in transition—last in fast-break points allowed per game—while the Grizzlies lead the Association in fast-break points per game.

Again, hold off on making a bet until closer to game time, but for now I “LIKE” GRIZZLIES +4 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” toward UNDER 226.5 (-110) for a half-unit because my thought is Embiid will not play and the first Grizzlies-76ers game without Embiid went Under the total by 12 points.

Also, the market has steamed this total up from the 224.5-point opener to the current total and I’d rather “fade” the market than follow it in this spot.

Philly played to the Under in seven of its last 10 games and Memphis has gone Under in two straight.

I prefer the Grizzlies +4 (-110) more than the total but if you must, TAKE UNDER 226.5 (-110) for a small wager.

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