Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers odds predictions pick betting line

The Memphis Grizzlies (27-14) plays its second straight game in Tinseltown Sunday when they meet a surging Los Angeles Lakers (21-19) at Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Lakers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis beat the Los Angeles Clippers yesterday (Saturday) 123-108 as 2-point road favorites for its eighth straight victory (7-1 ATS).

Over the past two weeks, the Grizzlies have the third-best adjusted net rating at plus-13.5 points per 100 possessions and the best spread differential at a plus-12.5 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

L.A. won its fourth consecutive game Friday by hammering the Atlanta Hawks, 134-118, as 1.5-point home favorites.

In the last 14 days, the Lakers are 5-1 overall, 5-1 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the fourth-best adjusted net rating at plus-10.8 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Memphis has won and covered two of its three meetings with L.A. this season, which includes back-to-back victories.

Grizzlies at Lakers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Lakers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +3.5 (-108) | Lakers -3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Grizzlies at Lakers key injuries

Grizzlies

PG Ja Morant (thigh) questionable
SF Dillon Brooks (ankle) doubtful
C Steven Adams (health and safety protocols) out

Lakers

F LeBron James (abdomen) probable
PF Anthony Davis (knee) out
SG Kendrick Nunn (knee) out

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Grizzlies at Lakers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Lakers 112

Money line

PASS with a “lean” towards the Grizzlies (+130) because I “lean” Memphis plus the points in this spot and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover.

However, given the unknown surrounding Memphis’s injury report—specifically Morant’s status—and how hot LeBron has been lately, I’d rather just take the points with the Grizzlies.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108), which I’d upgrade to a “like” if Morant and/or Brooks are available for this contest.

It would probably be best to wait until the official starting 5’s of both teams are announced before making a wager.

That said, Memphis has two strength-on-weakness edges in its favor in the ball security and rebounding departments.

For instance, the Grizzlies have the sixth-highest defensive turnover rate and the best offensive rebounding rate. Whereas the Lakers are 22nd in offensive turnover rate and 24th in defensive rebounding rate.

Furthermore, Memphis scores the fifth-most points off of turnovers and the fourth-most second-chance points per game. While L.A. gives up the seventh-most points off of turnovers and the seventh-most second-chance points per game.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 225.5 (-115) since L.A. plays at the fastest pace in the NBA and Memphis plays at the 11th-fastest pace. Also, the Lakers are 15-9 O/U in L.A. and have gone Over the total in six of their last seven as a favorite.

But, I’m still hesitant to give out the OVER 225.5 (-115) without knowing Morant’s game status, and the Under has cashed in the previous two Grizzlies-Lakers meetings.

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The Los Angeles Lakers (17-18) hook up with the Memphis Grizzlies (21-14) Wednesday for an 8 p.m. ET game at the FedExForum. Below, we look at the Lakers vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

L.A. snapped its five-game losing skid last night (Tuesday) by beating the Houston Rockets 132-123 as 6-point road favorites.

Over the past two weeks, the Lakers are 2-5 straight-up (SU), 2-5 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the 25th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-9.0 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Memphis has won back-to-back road games at the Sacramento Kings 127-102 Sunday and at the Phoenix Suns 114-113 Monday.

In the last 14 days, the Grizzlies are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the eighth-best adjusted net rating at plus-5.3 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

These teams are tied 1-1 in their regular-season series heading into the rubber match but the Grizzlies covered both meetings.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 29 breakdown

Lakers at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Lakers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Grizzlies -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lakers +5.5 (-108) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Lakers at Grizzlies key injuries

Lakers

PF Anthony Davis (knee) out

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (health and safety protocols) out
SG De’Anthony Melton (health and safety protocols) out
SG John Konchar (health and safety protocols) out

Lakers at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 120, Lakers 109

Money line

PASS because I’m confident enough in Memphis that I’ll just lay the points instead of pay the extra vigorish with the Grizzlies (-240).

Against the spread

GIMME 1.25 units on the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-112) for a bevy of reasons. First of all, Memphis performs well vs. teams playing the second of a back-to-back.

For instance, the Grizzlies are 5-3 SU vs. teams on zero days rest with the sixth-best adjusted net rating at plus-12.1 points per 100 possessions and the fifth-best ATS margin at plus-5.9 (CTG).

Also, there are a couple of strength-on-weakness edges in Memphis’s favor such as in the ball security and rebounding departments.

In fact, the Grizzlies score the fifth-most points off turnovers per game while the Lakers allow the fifth-most points off of turnovers per game.

Furthermore, Memphis scores the most second-chance points per game whereas L.A. is 21st in second-chance points allowed per game.

Lastly, there’s been a sharp line move in Memphis’s direction since the Grizzlies opened as 5-point favorites but have been steamed up to the current number.

The bottom line is the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-112) have a variety of ways to beat teams whereas the Lakers +5.5 (-108) really only have LeBron James getting empty stats.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 225.5 (-115) for a tiny wager, if at all, because both teams get out in transition, and the Over has been hit by sharp money hence the total being increased from the 226-point opener.

In addition, the Over has cashed in three straight Memphis games, L.A. has gone Over the total in four of the past five games, and the Over is 2-1 in the last three Lakers-Grizzlies games.

That said, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over for this game as well, and I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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