Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (24-47) travel to meet the Denver Nuggets (50-21) on Monday. Tip-off at the Ball Arena is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Nuggets lead 2-0; home team is 2-0 against the spread (ATS), with Over-Under splitting 1-1

The Grizzlies picked up a 99-97 win on the road against the San Antonio Spurs on Friday as a 6.5-point underdog as the Under (216.5) cashed. While Memphis has dropped 4 of the past 5 games, the Grizzlies are 3-1 ATS in the past 4 outings. The Over has cashed at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games, too.

The Nuggets have won 3 in a row, averaging 114.0 points per game (PPG), while allowing 107.7 PPG in the 3-game win streak, cashing the Over in all 3 outings. Denver has won 8 of the past 9 outings, and 14 of the past 16 contests.

Grizzlies at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +810 (bet $100 to win $810) | Nuggets -1350 (bet $1,350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Grizzlies +14.5 (-110) | Nuggets -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Nuggets key injuries

Grizzlies

  • G Desmond Bane (back) questionable
  • G Luke Kennard (personal) out
  • G John Konchar (heel) doubtful
  • F Jake LaRavia (illness) questionable

Nuggets

  • C Nikola Jokic (back) questionable
  • G Jamal Murray (ankle) questionable
  • F Zeke Nnaji (back) out
  • G Jalen Pickett (personal) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 113, Grizzlies 106

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-1350) will cost you 13 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s never a good idea to bet such a heavy favorite. It’s an especially bad idea when both Jokic and Murray are listed on the injury report while carrying questionable tags.

And if you think it might be tempting to take the Grizzlies (+810), they’re banged up, too, and cannot be trusted.

PASS, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

The GRIZZLIES +14.5 (-110) is worth a look, as the Nuggets -14.5 (-110) have a lot of uncertainty with Joker and the Blue Arrow carrying a 50-50 tag.

Now, if both Jokic and Murray are green-lighted to play, it would be a good idea to go a little lighter on Memphis. The Grizzlies are a respectable 2-1 ATS in the past 3 outings as a double-digit underdog, while going 8-2 ATS in the past 10 games as an underdog of 9 or more points.

Over/Under

OVER 212.5 (-110) is a strong play in the Mile High City.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Grizzlies, going for a respectable 111 or more points in 3 of the past 4 outings, while allowing 118 or more points in 3 of the past 4 contests.

For the Nuggets, they have had a surge of Over results, going 3-0 in the past 3 contests. However, again, wait as long as you can until more is learned about whether or not Jokic and/or Murray will play. It should be known 90 or so minutes before the game tips off. If one or both play, go a little harder on the Over. If both are out, it’s still worth playing, just go lighter.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzles (19-10) battle the Denver Nuggets (18-11) Tuesday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets defeated the Charlotte Hornets 119-115 Sunday, using a 39-point 3rd quarter to pull ahead although they failed to cover as 9-point home favorites. Denver is 9-3 straight up at home but it is just 1-7 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8 games and has fallen to 12-17 ATS on the season.

The Grizzlies are sitting atop the Western Conference and are 14-14-1 ATS this season. They lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 115-109 Saturday, failing to cover as 11-point road favorites. Memphis is 6-1-1 ATS over their last 8 games and ranks No. 1 in opponents’ field goal percentage (44.7%) for the season.

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Grizzlies at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Nuggets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +1.5 (-120) | Nuggets -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Grizzlies at Nuggets key injuries

Grizzlies

  • G Desmond Bane (toe) out

Nuggets

  • G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (lower leg) questionable
  • Jeff Green (back) questionable
  • C Nikola Jokic (knee) probable
  • G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
  • F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Grizzlies 118

Moneyline

BET NUGGETS (-110).

The Nuggets have won 4 of their last 5 games, and while the Grizzlies sit atop the Western Conference, their best play has come at home. Memphis is 13-2 at home but is just 6-8 on the road. It will also be without one of its more consistent offensive threats in Bane.

The Nuggets have two-time MVP Jokic listed as probable, and his presence is the driving force as he’s averaging 25.2 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 9.0 assists per game.

Denver has ample scoring with G Bruce Brown and G Bones Hyland to make up for what it loses if Murray and Porter Jr. are forced to miss the game. The Nuggets have been too good at home to bet against.

Against the spread

PASS.

I’d rather play the Nuggets to win outright here instead of taking the 1.5-point spread.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 235.5 (-115).

The Nuggets have efficiency, and the Grizzlies bring the tempo.

Memphis and its 10th quickest pace is aided by G Ja Morant, who is among the quickest players in the NBA. Denver is 3rd in the NBA in true shooting efficiency, so it should score with relative ease.

The Grizzlies are 2-1 O/U in their last 3 games and 5-5 O/U in their last 10. The Nuggets are also 5-5 O/U in their last 10 games. Due to the efficiency and tempo, play the OVER 235.5 (-110) for a partial unit.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (31-16) travel to the Mile High City Friday to play the Denver Nuggets (23-20) at the Ball Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis (+6.5) got drubbed 126-114 at the Milwaukee Bucks Wednesday for its second loss in the past three games. But, the Grizzlies have been red-hot this month.

In January, Memphis is 8-2 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against the spread (ATS) with a plus.6-7 adjusted net rating (ranked sixth) and a plus-5.4 ATS margin (ranked fourth), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Denver (-8.5) squeaked past the Los Angeles Clippers 130-128 in overtime Wednesday for its third win in the past three games.

The Nuggets are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS this month with a plus-5.8 adjusted net rating (ranked seventh) and a plus-0.9 ATS margin (ranked 13th), per CTG.

The Grizzlies are 2-0 SU and ATS versus the Nuggets this season, both in Memphis and five of their past six meetings have gone Under the total, including three straight.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 21 breakdown

Grizzlies at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Nuggets -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +3.5 (-110) | Nuggets -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Nuggets key injuries

Grizzlies

  • SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
  • PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

  • PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
  • PF JaMychal Green (health and safety protocols) out

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Grizzlies at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 118, Grizzlies 110

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Nuggets (-165) since this is on the fringe of my price range, and I’d much rather have a Nuggets SU ticket than sweat Denver covering the spread.

Against the spread

BET the NUGGETS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit because it feels like the sportsbooks are laying a trap with the Grizzlies +3.5 (-110).

Most of the market is hammering Memphis plus the points since the Grizzlies have been one of the best teams with an MVP candidate (Ja Morant). Also, most of the trends point to Memphis being the right side.

And despite the lopsided pro-Grizzlies action, there’s a line freeze and oddsmakers haven’t moved this number from the opener.

However, I would wait closer to tip-off before placing a wager since money is pouring on Memphis, and eventually the oddsmakers will respond accordingly.

More importantly, Denver has the reigning MVP—Nikola Jokic—who’s arguably playing better this season and has balled out in recent meetings with Memphis big Steven Adams.

For instance, Jokic is averaging 30.4 points per game (PPG) on 61.3% shooting (44.9% from 3-point land) with 9.9 rebounds and 7.9 assists in his last 10 games versus Adams.

Also, Memphis is top-five in both second-chance PPG and fast-break PPG. But, Denver’s defense ranks first in second-chance PPG allowed and ninth in fast-break PPG allowed.

BET the NUGGETS -3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 224.5 (-107) for a one-third unit because I’m much more confident in the Nuggets winning SU than the total.

But, Denver can get hot from deep, and Memphis tends to get a little lost when playing perimeter defense. The Nuggets are ninth in 3-point attempt rate, and the Grizzlies are 26th in defensive 3-point shooting percentage.

Plus both teams play more to the Over slightly in their respective location-based splits. Memphis is 10-9-2 O/U in away games and Denver is 11-9 O/U in home games.

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