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The Memphis Grizzlies (23-12) take on the Golden State Warriors (17-16) on the road Saturday. Tip-off from Chase Center is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
The Grizzlies are closing out a 5-game road trip, going 2-2 in the first 4 games. They played Friday night, losing 138-133 to the Sacramento Kings, failing to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs.
The Warriors are 2-1 on their 6-game homestand but have lost 7 of their last 10 games overall. They last played Thursday, beating the Philadelphia 76ers 139-105, covering the 3.5-point spread as favorites.
Grizzlies at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Warriors -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +2.5 (-110) | Warriors -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Grizzlies at Warriors key injuries
Grizzlies
Not yet submitted — below is from Friday’s game
- F Santi Aldama (ankle) out
- C Zach Edey (concussion) questionable
- G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
- G Marcus Smart (finger) out
- G Vince Williams (ankle) out
Warriors
- G Stephen Curry (knee) out
- G Gary Payton II (calf) out
- G Brandin Podziemski (abdominal) out
- F Andrew Wiggins (hamstring) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Grizzlies at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 116, Grizzlies 109
Moneyline
In 2 previous meetings this season, the home team has won.
The Warriors are 9-8 at home and the Grizzlies are 9-8 on the road.
This should be a big-time matchup featuring Morant vs. Curry, but neither will play.
The Grizzlies have allowed 125.6 points per game over their last 5 games. In the 7 games before the Warriors’ 139-point explosion on Thursday, they had averaged only 102.9 points per game. However, they have allowed only 107.8 points per game over their last 7.
Golden State’s defense will slow the shorthanded Grizzlies, while Memphis’ defense will allow the Warriors to score more.
Expect a Golden State win, but you get better value with the spread than the moneyline.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Grizzlies are 2-0 ATS in the 2 meetings with Golden State this season, but the Warriors are only favored by 2.5 points this time.
All but one of the Grizzlies’ 12 losses have been by at least 3 points.
All 16 of the Warriors’ wins have been by at least 3 points.
BET WARRIORS -2.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Both previous meetings had totals of at least 237 points.
While Golden State’s win Thursday had 244 total points, but their previous 6 games did not reach 237.
Five of the Grizzlies’ last 8 games have had 237 or more points.
But expecting Golden State’s defense to continue its recent good play, this game will fall short.
BET UNDER 233.5 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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