2023 Memorial Tournament odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Memorial Tournament, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

It’s once again a strong field teeing it up this year at the 2023 Memorial Tournament, led by the top 2 players in the world, Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm. Muirfield Village plays host to this great event, which many players use as a tune-up before the U.S. Open.

Below, we look at the 2023 Memorial Tournament odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler edges out Rahm as the favorite this week, coming in with +600 odds compared to Rahm’s +750. Patrick Cantlay and Rory McIlroy are  next at +1000, with the former being a 2-time champion in the last 4 years. Billy Horschel is the defending champion but he has long odds at +8000.

Muirfield Village, designed by Jack Nicklaus, is a staple of the PGA Tour schedule. It’s a difficult course that penalizes players for missing the fairways thanks to its thick rough, while bunkers protect the greens and make par saves difficult when missing the putting surface. It’s a par 72 and plays at 7,533 yards after being lengthened a bit 2 years ago.

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Memorial Tournament – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+1000)

Cantlay has won this tournament twice in the last 4 years and he’s also added 2 other top-5 finishes at this event since 2018. He’s got the best track record at Muirfield of any player in the field, and even at +1000, he’s worth betting to win again this week. He hasn’t finished worse than T-21 in a single start since missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February.

Jason Day (+3000)

Day is a member at Muirfield Village, but that doesn’t mean he plays it regularly. He said last year that he only played 9 holes in the previous 2 years despite living just 30 minutes from the course. At the very least, playing here will let Day be close to home, which is a little bit of an advantage. He tied for 4th in 2020 and came in 31st last year, playing well at this course in the past. Though he missed the cut at the PGA Championship, he won the AT&T Byron Nelson the week prior.

Memorial Tournament picks – Contenders

Rickie Fowler (+4000)

Fowler loves this place. In his last 6 starts here since 2017, he’s gone T-2, T-8, T-14, MC, T-11 and T-64 last year. That’s 4 top-15 finishes in the last 6 years, which is an impressive streak at a course that can play so difficult. He bounced back from a MC at the PGA Championship by finishing T-6 at the Charles Schwab Challenge last week, so I like the way he’s trending heading into this week.

Shane Lowry (+4500)

Lowry tied for 12th at the PGA Championship before taking last week off, but he’s back in the field in an event where he tied for 6th in 2021 and 32nd last year. He has the ball-striking prowess to go low on this course, which emphasizes the importance of accurate approach shots into firm greens.

Tom Kim (+5500)

Kim is making his debut at this event, which is something he does often on tour, being such a young player. That hasn’t bothered him in the past and though he’s not the longest hitter, his driving distance won’t hinder him too much this week because it’s not a course that bombers can really overpower. He’s finished in the top 25 in nearly half of his starts this season (8 of 17).

Memorial Tournament picks – Long shot(s)

Justin Suh (+12500)

Suh continues to play some good golf, adding another top 20 at Colonial last week – his 6th top-25 of the season. The only time he’s played the Memorial was in 2019 when he missed the cut, but that’s not something to worry too much about because he’s a significantly better player now than he was as a rookie.

Keith Mitchell (+10000)

Since 2019, Mitchell has played the Memorial 3 times and has finished T-48, T-22 and T-18 – which are pretty good results, especially considering he’s improved his finish each year. He’s struggled a bit recently, with back-to-back finishes outside the top 50, but he could get back on track at Muirfield.

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