Mavericks Suns odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (1-0) are on the road Saturday taking on the Phoenix Suns (1-1) in their home opener. Tip-off from Footprint Center is at 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting, Mavericks won 2-1 last season.

The Mavericks opened the season on Thursday with a 120-109 home win over the San Antonio Spurs, covering the 8.5-point spread as favorites. G Luka Doncic had 28 points, 10 boards and 8 assists, while F Klay Thompson had 22 in his Mavericks debut.

The Suns beat the L.A. Clippers 116-113 in overtime Wednesday on the road but lost Friday night 123-116 to the Lakers, failing to cover the 1.5-point spread as underdogs.

Mavericks at Suns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Suns +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-115) | Suns +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

None

Suns (official report not yet submitted)

G Grayson Allen (personal) questionable
G Josh Okogie (hamstring) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 128, Mavericks 120

Moneyline

This is the Suns’ home opener, and despite playing for the 2nd straight night, we can expect them to be up for this game and to get a boost from being home and in front of their own fans.

The Mavs have won 6 of the last 10 meetings and the last 2 in Phoenix.

Both teams are considered title candidates this season so it should be a great game.

If for anything else, with the home opener energy, the Suns should get the W.

BET SUNS (+120).

Against the spread

The Suns have not covered the spread in either game this season they have played.

All 3 meetings last year were double-digit wins for the victors.

So where you can make a little extra money with the alternate spread. Take the moneyline for plus odds and then ladder it with a little on the Suns to win by more than 5 points.

BET SUNS ALTERNATE SPREAD -5.5 (+230).

Over/Under

The Suns’ loss Friday had a total of 239. Their opener’s total was 229. Dallas’ season-opening total was 229.

All 3 of their meetings last season cleared 240 total points.

BET OVER 230.5 (-115).

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 7 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 7 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (3-3) host the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (3-3) Sunday for Game 7 of their Western Conference playoff series at the Footprint Center with tip-off scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas tied this series by crushing Phoenix 113-86 in Game 6 at home Thursday. The Mavs outperformed the Suns in three of the “four factors” and outscored Phoenix in all 4 quarters.

Mavericks All-Star Luka Doncic had game-highs in points (33) and assists (8) and added 11 rebounds. Phoenix’s ball security has become an issue in this series and the Suns had an 18-to-22 assist-to-turnover ratio in Game 6.

These teams have split the “four factors” for this series and the home team has won and covered each game and the total is 2-4 Over/Under (O/U).

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Suns -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +6.5 (-110) | Suns -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 204.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

None

Suns

None

[tipico]

Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 103, Suns 100

Money line

SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+225), if at all, because their spread is the much sharper play but Dallas’s ML has some value here. Luka is by far the best player in this series and his playoff career numbers are insane through his first 3 postseasons.

Doncic’s dribble penetration has collapsed Phoenix’s perimeter defense and has led to wide-open 3-pointers for the Mavs in this series, which explains Dallas’s absurd 49.9% 3-point attempt rate in the playoffs.

This is concerning because the Suns are neither “making Luka beat them” nor shutting down Luka. If Doncic is “getting his” and finding open teammates on 3-pointers then Dallas could end Phoenix’s season earlier than expected.

Also, the Mavs figure to control the pace of Game 7 since Dallas has the second-best offensive turnover rate in the postseason. Possessions will be even more important in his win-or-go-home Game 7 and the Suns have been careless with the rock in this series.

Again, I’d only SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+225) with the plan of hitting Dallas’s spread harder.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the MAVERICKS +6.5 (-110) instead of or heavier than their ML because these teams are neck-and-neck in this series with the Suns -6.5 (-110) only scoring 1.9 more points per 100 possessions and 1.8 more points per game.

The spread hasn’t been a factor through the first 6 games of this series but, from an efficiency standpoint, there’s not a lot separating these teams and Game 7 should come down to the wire.

Lastly, the “backdoor cover” is wide-open in this game because Dallas obviously will be fighting until the final whistle and a late-game 3-point barrage could cash a MAVERICKS +6.5 (-110) ticket.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 204.5 (-110) because Game 7s typically play Under the total and the Mavericks-Suns series is playing at a slower pace than the NBA postseason average. In fact, Dallas played at the slowest pace during the regular season.

However, the oddsmakers already assumed the Mavericks-Suns Game 7 would be more of a rock-fight because the total is 11 points lower than the Game 5 total set at 215.5.

There isn’t a lot of value in this number, but the UNDER 204.5 (-110) is the only side of the total I’d play.

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 5 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (2-2) host the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (2-2) Tuesday for Game 5 of their Western Conference semifinals playoff series. Tip-off at Footprint Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns Game 5 odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas evened the series with a 111-101 Game 4 victory Sunday despite Phoenix shooting better from the field, grabbing more rebounds and throwing more assists. Three-point shooting was the difference in Game 4 as the Mavs outshot the Suns 45.5-36.0% from behind the arc and sunk 11 more threes.

Phoenix All-Star PG Chris Paul struggled while the series was in Dallas, averaging just 8.5 points with 5.5 assists and 4.5 turnovers and he fouled out of Game 4. Mavs All-Star PG Luka Doncic has been the best player in this series, scoring 33.0 points with 9.3 rebounds and 8.8 assists.

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Suns -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +6.5 (-112) | Suns -6.5 (-108)
Over/Under: 213.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

None

Suns

None

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Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 110, Mavericks 106

Money line

PASS with a lean to the Mavericks (+220) because I like Dallas’s spread and typically will sprinkle on an underdog’s ML when betting them to cover.

However, the Suns averaged 125.0 points in the first 2 games of this series while in Phoenix and they are outperforming the Mavs in three of the “four factors” for the series.

Phoenix’s adjusted series price is -250 even though this series is tied 2-2 and the Suns’ most likely path to a series victory is to win both of their remaining home games (Game 5 and 7).

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Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS +6.5 (-112) because they have the best player in this series and Dallas is shooting 40.5% on 3-pointers and is making 16.5 threes per game through the first 4 games. I don’t trust the Suns to win by margin with the Mavs shooting this well from behind the arc.

The Mavs also have committed 18 fewer turnovers in the series and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio than the Suns. By winning the turnover battle, Luka and Dallas can control the tempo, which is the best way to beat a CP3-led team.

More than 80% of the cash is on Phoenix, according to Tipico Sportsbook, and it’s generally profitable to fade such lopsided betting markets in major sporting events.

BET the MAVERICKS +6.5 (-112).

Over/Under

PASS because both teams like to play half-court basketball but each team is shooting better than 40.0% from 3-point land and the combined offensive efficiency in this series is through the roof.

Plus this Mavericks-Suns series is playing nearly 3 possessions per 48 minutes slower (92.9) than the playoff average (95.8).

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 2 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (1-0) host the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (0-1) Wednesday for Game 2 in the Western Conference semifinals at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix held off a late Dallas surge to win 121-114 in Game 1 and cover as 6-point home favorites. The Suns bodied the Mavs on the glass, grabbing 15 more rebounds (51-36), and had 11 more assists (27-16).

Mavs All-Star Luka Doncic dropped 45 points on 50.0% shooting (15 of 30) with 12 rebounds and 8 assists. Suns All-Star SG Devin Booker nearly notched a triple-double with a 23-9-8 stats line while Suns big Deandre Ayton had a team-high 25 points on 60.0% shooting (12 of 20).

The Suns have beaten the Mavs in 7 straight meetings dating back to the beginning of last season, including the playoffs, and are 5-2 against the spread (ATS) in those games.

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Suns -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +6.5 (-120) | Suns -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

None

Suns

None

[tipico]

Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 110, Mavericks 101

Money line

PASS although I like the Suns (-260) to take a 2-0 series lead over the Mavericks (+205) before heading to Dallas.

On paper, Game 1 looked a lot closer than it was but almost all of the fourth quarter was garbage time and the Suns completely took their foot off the gas.

More importantly, Phoenix’s pick-and-roll (PnR) action is a nightmare matchup for Dallas. The Suns have the highest PnR efficiency through ball handlers in these playoffs while the Mavs have the fourth-worst PnR defensive efficiency against ball handlers.

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Against the spread

BET the SUNS -6.5 (-105) because they created so many easy looks in Game 1 and their defense is way too good for Dallas’s predictable offense.

The Suns would’ve beaten the Mavericks +6.5 (-120) by at least 15 points if it weren’t for Dallas PF Maxi Kleber coming off the bench to sink 5 of 8 on 3-point attempts.

Phoenix’s defensive strategy in Game 1 was to allow Luka to play iso-ball while limiting Dallas role players. Luka had a 42.8% usage rate but a minus-6 net rating and Mavs PG Jalen Brunson struggled versus Phoenix’s elite perimeter defense.

Also, Dallas’s defense has no answer for Suns big Deandre Ayton on defense and cannot play Ayton off the floor as the Mavs did with Utah Jazz C Rudy Gobert in the first round. Phoenix’s perimeter defense isn’t Swiss cheese so Dallas won’t get the same quality of shots it did versus the Jazz last round.

TAKE THE SUNS -6.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 215.5 (-110) because both teams have a below-average pace and free-throw attempt rate in these playoffs and neither turn the ball over much so there shouldn’t be easy points off of turnovers.

On top of that, there’s reverse line movement headed South of the total since the Mavericks-Suns opened with a 216.5-point total and has been lowered even though nearly 90% of the money is on the Over, per Tipico Sportsbook.

Lastly, if the Suns run away with Game 2 as they did with the series opener, which I think they will, then Phoenix will kill the tempo in the fourth quarter and there will be fewer possessions.

For the record, the UNDER 215.5 (-110) is my favorite wager in Game 2 because it feels like the least popular bet in this game and, typically, the road less traveled is where you find profit betting sports.

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Game 1 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1-seed Phoenix Suns open their 2nd-round Western Conference playoff series Monday at home against the No. 4-seed Dallas Mavericks. Tip-off from Footprint Center is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns Game 1 odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks eliminated the Utah Jazz in the first round of the playoffs in 6 games. G Luka Doncic missed the first 3 games of that series but averaged 29.0 points in games 4-6. G Jalen Brunson averaged 27.8 points per game in the series.

The Suns also came out of the first round of the playoffs in six games, eliminating the New Orleans Pelicans. They overcame a hamstring injury to G Devin Booker, who missed three games before returning to play in the series clincher. G Chris Paul shot a perfect 14-of-14 from the field and 4-for-4 from the free-throw line for 33 points in the final game.

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Suns -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +5.5 (-107) | Suns -5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

G Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

Suns

None

[tipico]

Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 110, Mavericks 103

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Suns are healthy and had the league’s best home record during the regular season. They did lose 1 game at home in the first round against the Pelicans, but the Pelicans were able to battle with size and rebounding.

The Suns have won their last 9 matchups against the Mavericks.

The Mavericks were only 23-18 on the road this season.

I like the Suns (-240) to win but the odds aren’t suitable for a single wager. PASS.

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Against the spread

The Mavericks are 51-36-1 ATS including the playoffs and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.

The Suns are 48-40 ATS and 21-23 ATS at home. They are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

Each team went 2-2 ATS against each other this season, but Dallas covered the spread in the 2 games in Phoenix.

The Suns are 7-3 ATS against the Mavericks in their last 10 matchups.

Take SUNS -5.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Two of the games between the Mavericks and Suns this season had totals of more than 214 points, but the Under hit in 3 of the 4 meetings.

Only 1 of the Mavericks’ 6 games in the last series had a total higher than 214 points.

Four of the Suns’ 6 games in the first round had more than 214 points.

I LEAN UNDER 214.5 (-107).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-5) face the Phoenix Suns (11-3) at Footprint Center for the second time in three nights Friday. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Suns defeated the Mavericks 105-98 Wednesday night for their 10th consecutive victory. Dallas led by five points entering the final quarter before the Suns outscored them 37-25 in that frame. G Devin Booker led the Suns with 24 points and C Deandre Ayton added 19 points and 13 boards.

The Mavs were without G Luka Doncic Wednesday and were led by G Tim Hardaway’s 22 points while C Kristaps Porzingis added 21 and 8 boards. The Mavericks had won two straight, and five of six, games before the loss to the Suns.

Mavericks at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:26 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Suns -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +7.5 (-115) | Suns -7.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle, knee) doubtful
F Maxi Kleber (oblique) out

Suns

C Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
F Dario Saric (knee) out

Mavericks at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 115, Mavericks 100

Money line

The money line is priced such that the only way it is worth betting is to expect the Mavericks to come away with an outright win.

The Mavericks have not lost consecutive games all season. In fact, they have not lost two consecutive regular-season games since April 16 and 18 last season.

However, two games in a row against the same team often has one close game and one game that goes a little sideways. The Mavs had their close game without Doncic Wednesday.

I don’t think they have an upset in them without Doncic again Friday. PASS on the money line.

Against the spread

The Mavs had their close game — they were in the lead much of the game before the Suns caught fire in the fourth quarter. The Mavs covered the 8-point spread by 1 point.

It was the third time in their last four games that the Mavs covered the spread while the Suns failed to cover in a win for the second straight game. Phoenix is 7-3 ATS during its 10 game win streak.

With Doncic likely out for the second straight game and the Suns basically at full health, and with the fourth quarter going the way it did in the last game, I expect that more from the start.

Take the SUNS -7.5 (-107).

Over/Under

Wednesday’s game stayed Under the projected total.

It was the fourth straight game for the Suns, and the fifth game out of six, that went Under.

It was the first time in four games the Mavs had a game stay Under the projected total.

I expect some offensive carryover from the fourth quarter, when the teams combined for 62 points.

Take OVER 211.5 (-110).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-4) face the Phoenix Suns (10-3) on the road for the first two consecutive games. Wednesday’s game tips off at 10 p.m. ET at Footprint Center. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks lead the Southwest Division, having won five of their last six games. They are coming off a 111-101 home win over the Denver Nuggets. Their offensive attack is led by G Luka Doncic who averages 24.9 points, 8.3 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game. However, he will miss this game with sprains in his knee and ankle. They are 3-3 on the road.

The Suns have won nine straight games. They have the league’s No. 4 offense, averaging 111.0 points per game and, over their last three games, are only allowing 93.0 points per game. C Deandre Ayton returned to the lineup Monday after missing five straight games with a leg contusion.

Mavericks at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Suns -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +7.5 (-110) | Suns -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle, knee) out
F Max Kleber (oblique) out

Suns

C Frank Kaminsky (knee) questionable
F Dario Saric (knee) out

Mavericks at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 113, Mavericks 98

Money line

PASS on the money line. It is priced the way it is because of the injury to Doncic. This would otherwise be a great matchup of two teams seemingly well on their way to the playoffs. However, a full-strength Suns unit is expected to take care of business tonight against a Mavericks team missing its best player and the focal point of their offense.

Against the spread

The Suns are 8-5 ATS on the season overall. They did not cover the spread in their win Monday but did in their previous seven games. They are 4-3 ATS at home.

The Mavericks are 5-8 ATS this season. They have not won or covered the spread this season in any game in which they were underdogs.

Take the SUNS -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Despite the Suns having the No. 2 scoring offense in the league, the Under has hit in four of their last five games because of their defense. They have allowed an average of 93.0 points in their last three games.

The Mavs had their last three games go Over the projected total, but they are only 4-7-2 O/U this season. And without Doncic, they won’t have the firepower to keep up with G Devin Booker and G Chris Paul.

Take UNDER 215.5 (-107).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Phoenix Suns welcome the Dallas Mavericks to Phoenix Arena for a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off Wednesday. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Suns NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Mavericks at Suns: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:55 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Suns -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +1.5 (-110) | Suns -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Suns: Key Injuries

Mavericks

C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
PF Maxi Kleber (knee) probable

Suns

PG Chris Paul (ankle) probable
PF Frank Kaminsky (health and safety protocols) out
SF Abdel Nader (concussion protocol) out
PF Dario Saric (quadriceps) out

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Mavericks at Suns: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Suns 115, Mavericks 112

Money line (ML)

This has to be the most excited Phoenix has been about the Suns since the Mike D’Antoni and Steve Nash era.

The Suns acquiring PG Chris Paul this offseason was one of the biggest moves made and it’s an indication Phoenix is ready to make a playoff push. Let’s not forget how close they were last season after going a perfect 8-0 in the bubble with two of those wins coming against Dallas.

The Mavericks have even higher hopes and are being led by the odds on favorite to win the 2020-21 NBA MVP in PG Luka Doncic. Phoenix has its own up and coming superstar in SG Devin Booker, who lit up the Mavericks for an efficient 30 and 27 points in their two bubble meetings.

Where I’m focused in this Mavericks-Suns handicap is the matchup history between the two point guards. In their four head-to-head meetings, Luka is shooting below his average from the field and behind the arc against CP3 and the Mavericks are just 1-3 in those contests, according to LandOfBasketball.com.

While CP3 is known as the Point God for his uncanny ability to get anywhere on the floor against defenses, Paul has also been named to the NBA’s All-Defense team nine times and is a six-time NBA steals leader. His biggest focus in this game should be limiting (not stopping) the damage done by Luka.

Furthermore, the Oklahoma City Thunder had the best clutch rating in the NBA last season and it’s primarily because of CP3’s success in closing out victories. Candidly speaking, I worked for the Los Angeles Clippers the first season after they acquired Paul and I’ve witnessed with my own eyes this dude steal opponents’ souls at the end of games.

If BetMGM is projecting a close game, I have to ride it out with CP3 and BET SUNS (-115) for 1.5 units.

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. I’ll pay the extra 5 cents on the dollar for an outright Suns win rather than fuss with the spread.

Over/Under (O/U)

I lean UNDER 234.5 (-110) since I blindly wrote down the score before peeping BetMGM‘s projected total. I’m higher on both teams’ offenses compared to the defenses but my feeling is this total is too high. CP3’s floor general style is more surgical than fast-paced.

Officially, I’ll PASS because I just prefer sides over totals.

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