Mavericks Pistons odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Pistons (10-52) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (35-28) to Little Caesars Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023.

The Pistons beat the Brooklyn Nets 118-112 at home Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. They have lost 3 of their last 4 and 9 of their last 11. Detroit has covered in 6 of those 11 though. It is 32-30 against the spread (ATS) on the season. The Pistons are led by G Cade Cunningham, who is averaging 22.4 points per game.

The Mavericks beat the Miami Heat 114-108 at home Thursday, covering as a 4.5-point favorite. Dallas has lost 3 of its last 4 as well and is 1-3 ATS in that span. The Mavs have lost 5 of their last 7. They are 33-30 ATS on the season. Dallas is led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 34.6 points per game.

Mavericks at Pistons odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons +245 (bet $100 to win $245)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -7.5 (-106) | Pistons +7.5 (-114)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Pistons key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (elbow) questionable
C Dereck Lively II (personal) out

Pistons

G Quentin Grimes (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 120, Pistons 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mavericks are a far superior team but too expensive to play outright. Avoid backing the Pistons to pull off the upset as well.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -7.5 (-106).

The Mavericks have covered 3 of their last 6 games but have covered 2 of their last 3 on the road. They have a talented side and have far more scoring, notching at least 114 in 3 straight games.

While their defense has left a lot to be desired, the Pistons don’t have the weapons to make them pay. Detroit is 1-2 ATS in its last 3 games as a single-digit home underdog.

Expect the Pistons to again struggle and back MAVERICKS -7.5 (-106).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 234.5 (-110).

If there’s one thing that teams have done as of late, it is hit the Under. The Mavericks have gone Under in 6 of their last 10 games while the Pistons have gone Under in 9 of their last 11.

Detroit has scored Under 110 points per game in 4 of its last 5. It doesn’t have the firepower to help the total go Over here. That said, back UNDER 234.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (10-10) will square off against the Detroit Pistons (5-18) on Thursday at the Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks took down the Golden State Warriors 116-113 on Tuesday to cover as 1-point favorites at home. Dallas was on a 4-game losing streak before defeating Golden State.

The Pistons were blown out 140-110 on Tuesday as they fell way short of covering as 4.5-point underdogs at home against the New York Knicks. Detroit has lost 3 games in a row and 8 of its last 10.

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Mavericks at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -310 (bet $310 to win $100) | Pistons +255 (bet $100 to win $255)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -7.5 (-110) | Pistons +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Pistons key injuries

Mavericks

None

Pistons

G Cade Cunningham (shin) out
G Jaden Ivey (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 118, Pistons 108

Moneyline

Just PASS on the moneyline in this game despite the Mavericks being heavy favorites on the road. Taking Dallas to win straight up isn’t worth doing as the return would be minimal if the Mavericks secure the victory.

Against the spread

MAVERICKS -7.5 (-110) is where I’m leaning with the Pistons potentially being without their starting backcourt of Cunningham and Ivey. Also, Dallas is coming off an impressive win over Golden State on Tuesday.

The Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups against the Pistons and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road meetings with the Pistons.

Over/Under

Even with the Pistons being shorthanded, OVER 221.5 (-110) is an enticing wager in this contest. We know G Luka Doncic is going to produce plenty of points, so we just need a few other players to perform well to hit the Over.

The Mavericks hit the Over in 4 of the last 5 road meetings with the Pistons and in 4 of the last 5 meetings overall.

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Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (49-30) head to Motor City Wednesday to play the Detroit Pistons (23-56) at the Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas is 6-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the last 8 games with the most recent being a 118-112 upset win as a 6.5-point road underdog at the Milwaukee Bucks Sunday.

Detroit has won 3 straight following a 3-game losing skid. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS over that span. Their last 3 victories have been against the Philadelphia 76ers (Thursday), Oklahoma City Thunder (Friday) and Indiana Pacers (Sunday).

The Mavs crushed the Pistons 116-86 in Dallas Feb. 8 in their first head-to-head meeting this season and own a 4-game win streak against Detroit.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA April 6 breakdown

Mavericks at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Pistons +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
Against the spread: Mavericks -8.5 (-110) | Pistons +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Mavericks at Pistons key injuries

Mavericks

PF Max Kleber (ankle) out

Pistons

PF Marvin Bagley III (hip) out
SF Jerami Grant (calf) out
PG Cory Joseph (back) out
G Rodney McGruder (hip) out
PF Kelly Olynyk (rest) out

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Mavericks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 115, Pistons 102

Money line

PASS.

I’m on the Mavericks covering the spread but Dallas (-400) is way too expensive for any NBA regular-season favorite. Detroit (+300) actually has a better adjusted net rating over the past two weeks than Dallas, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

But the Mavs are 14-4 SU as road favorites and the Pistons are 11-22 SU as home underdogs.

I’m anticipating Dallas being motivated here and Detroit is missing four key contributors.

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Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -8.5 (-110) because Dallas All-Star PG Luka Doncic will be motivated to get on the MVP ballot and ball out versus No. 1 overall pick, Detroit PG Cade Cunningham.

Since the All-Star break, Luka has been sensational, averaging 30.2 points on 60.4% true shooting (.474/.389/.774), 9.0 rebounds and 7.9 assists with a plus-11 net rating. Cunningham has played very well, but Luka will make a statement Wednesday.

The Mavs may want to finish the regular season strong after a slow start under first-year head Jason Kidd. Dallas is still jostling for playoff seeding and should be motivated to make the playoffs as the No. 3 seed out West.

Plus, Dallas’ newly acquired role players PG Spencer Dinwiddie and SF Davis Bertans have given the Mavs good minutes and can feast on Detroit’s depleted second-unit. Dinwiddie and Bertans should be giving 110% effort to earn playoff rotation minutes.

Finally, this feels like a trap line for the Pistons, who have played very well lately. Most semi-casual NBA bettors will look at Detroit’s recent impressive ATS trends and think “well, Pistons +8.5 is too many points.”

To be honest, I sort of do too, but plug your nose and BET MAVERICKS -8.5 (-110).

Over/Under

PASS.

This is a sharp total and there’s no value here based on my numbers.

For what it’s worth, Dallas is 29-48-2 O/U but 9-8-1 O/U as a road favorite, while Detroit is 38-39-2 O/U and 13-19-1 O/U as a home underdog.

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Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Detroit Pistons (19-43) attempt to win back-to-back games for the first time since March 17 and 19. They play host the Dallas Mavericks (34-27), who have won four of their last five games. Tip-off at Little Caesars Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET Thursday. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Pistons odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks split their last 10 games, and they covered the spread in only three of those outings. They’re coming off a 30-point win over the Golden State Warriors Tuesday but have several players listed as questionable for Thursday – including PG Luka Doncic and PF Kristaps Porzingis.

The Pistons beat the Atlanta Hawks Monday and have had two days off to prepare for this matchup. They’re seeking consecutive wins for the first time since March, but they don’t seem motivated to do so. Many key players will be held out to rest, while PG Dennis Smith Jr., remains out due to a knee injury.

Mavericks at Pistons: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

Money line: Mavericks -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Pistons +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -8.5 (-110) | Pistons +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mavericks at Pistons: Key injuries

Mavericks

SG Josh Richardson (hamstring) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (ankle) questionable
SG JJ Redick (heel) questionable
PF Maxi Kleber (back) available
PG Luka Doncic (elbow) questionable

Pistons

SG Wayne Ellington (calf, rest) out
PG Cory Joseph (ankle, rest) out
SF Jerami Grant (knee, rest) out
C Mason Plumlee (rest) out
PG Dennis Smith Jr. (knee) out

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Mavericks at Pistons: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Pistons 106

Money line (ML)

The Mavericks are heavily favored in this matchup despite some of their top players being questionable to play. I’d rather PASS on the money line, especially with how many players may not suit up for them tonight.

I would wait to find out who’s playing and then consider a wager on the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Dallas covered the spread easily against the Warriors Tuesday, winning by 30 points as a 4-point underdog. Though the Mavericks covered only three times in their last 10 games, all three of those ATS wins came in their last four outings.

The Pistons are resting a lot of players and could punt this game. Take the MAVERICKS -8.5 (-110), as long as Porzingis or Doncic are playing.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over/Under is only 214.5 points and is the second-lowest total in the Mavericks’ last 11 games. If Porzingis and Doncic are both sidelined, the final score could be on the lower side but as long as one of them is able to play, I like the OVER 214.5 (-115).

The total went Over in four of the last six head-to-head meetings.

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