Mavericks Pacers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (36-39) visit the Indiana Pacers (33-42) on Monday. Tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas fell on the road 110-104 against Charlotte on Sunday failing to cover as a 12.5-point favorite. It has now lost 4 games in a row and is just 3-7 over its last 10. In that span, the Mavericks are 4-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and are 28-44-3 ATS this season.

Indiana fell 143-130 against Atlanta failing to cover as a 10-point road underdog. It has now lost back-to-back games and has won just 1 of its last 5. The Pacers are 4-6 in their last 10 and 4-6 ATS in that stretch. This season, they are 39-36 ATS.

The Pacers beat the Mavericks 124-122 on Feb. 28 in Dallas to cover as 8.5-point underdogs while the Over 235.5 hit.

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Mavericks vs. Pacers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Pacers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +1.5 (-118) | Pacers -1.5 (-102)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Pacers key injuries

Mavericks

Not yet submitted

Pacers

SG Chris Duarte (ankle) out
PG Tyrese Haliburton (ankle) questionable
C Myles Turner (questionable) back

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 116, Mavericks 111

Moneyline

PASS.

The spread presents better value on the Pacers in this matchup.

Against the spread

BET PACERS -1.5 (-102).

The Pacers have played their best basketball at home this season with a 19-17 home record as opposed to a 14-25 road record. At home this season, they are 21-15 ATS while the Mavericks are 15-21-1 ATS on the road.

Dallas will be playing on no day’s rest and it has not done well in the past few games when that has happened, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on no day’s rest. The Mavs are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday games and are currently on a 2-game ATS skid.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 233.5 (-108).

The Under is 6-1 in the Mavs’ last 7 road games and 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game. Thr Under is also 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.

For Indiana, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game and the Under is 2-2 in its last 4 games.

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Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (11-16) host the Dallas Mavericks (12-12) Friday at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Dallas snapped a three-game losing skid Wednesday, winning 104-96 over the Memphis Grizzlies as 1.5-point road underdogs. Over the past two weeks, the Mavs are 2-5 straight-up (SU), 2-5 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the 19th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Indiana has won back-to-back games over the Washington Wizards Monday and the New York Knicks Wednesday following a four-game losing streak. The Pacers are 3-4 SU, 3-3-1 ATS and 6-1 O/U with the 12th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (CtG) in the last two weeks.

These teams split last season’s regular-season series 1-1 with the road team winning and covering both games and either side of the total cashing in each.

Also, Pacers first-year head coach Rick Carlisle is facing his former squad after spending 13 seasons on the Dallas sideline from 2008-21.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 10 breakdown

Mavericks at Pacers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Pacers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +1.5 (-107) | Pacers -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mavericks at Pacers key injuries

Mavericks

Nothing affecting the gambling odds.

Pacers

Nothing affecting the gambling odds.

Mavericks at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 112, Mavericks 107

Money line

BET PACERS (-125) because they have more ways to score than the Mavericks (+102). Indiana’s head coach is obviously familiar with Dallas’s strengths and weaknesses, and Pacers’ PG Malcolm Brogdon could make life difficult for Luka Doncic.

For instance, Luka has the highest usage rate in the Association, but Brogdon held Luka to just 13 points on 33.3% shooting in their lone head-to-head meeting last season.

Furthermore, Brogdon has the size that will make it hard for Luka to post him up, and Brogdon has the lateral quickness to stay in front of Luka.

More importantly, Indiana’s net efficiency is far better than Dallas’s despite its losing record. The Pacers also have by far the worst win differential in the NBA at minus-4.7, which essentially means Indiana has five fewer wins than it should.

Against the spread

PASS since Indiana’s money line is only 10 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Pacers -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 213.5 (-108) for a small wager because Dallas has one of the more potent pick-and-roll offenses in the league while Indiana struggles to defend the pick-and-roll. Also, the Pacers have the fourth-best offensive efficiency and 10th-best effective field goal shooting this month.

On top of that, both teams have the same roster makeup as last season, but the totals for the two Mavericks-Pacers meetings were 221 and 224.5. I project this game’s combined score to approach 220.

That said, what’s holding me back from betting the Over heavier is that Indiana ranks 19th in pace and Dallas 25th. Fewer possessions generally mean fewer points unless both sides have a hot shooting night.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (6-7) stop by Bankers Life Fieldhouse Wednesday for a 7 p.m. ET game with the Indiana Pacers (8-5). Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Pacers NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Dallas is on a three-game losing skid and is just 1-3 (2-2 against the spread) since PF Kristaps Porzingis made his season debut Jan. 13 against the Charlotte Hornets. The Mavericks were boat raced in Tampa, Fla., against the Toronto Raptors (you read that right) 116-93 Monday. They continue to struggle offensively as the Mavs shot just 37.8% from the field (25% from behind the arc) and are 22nd in offensive rating on the season.

The Pacers went into Los Angeles on a two-game win streak but were drubbed this past Sunday 129-96 by the Clippers as 8-point road underdogs. Indiana was without its defensive anchor in C Myles Turner and it showed.

Indiana was abused defensively, being outscored 56-48 by Los Angeles in the paint and allowing the Clippers to hit 55.2% of their shots (48.7% on threes). The Pacers are back in Indiana following a four-game road trip in which they were 2-2 (2-2 ATS).

These teams split last season’s series with each winning and covering the spread as a road underdog. Ironically, the matchup the Mavs won was when they were missing MVP candidate Luka Doncic (a 112-103 win in February).

Mavericks at Pacers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pacers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -1.5 (-110) | Pacers +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Pacers: Key Injuries

Mavericks

SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (groin) probable
SF Dorian Finney-Smith (COVID-19) out
PF Maxi Kleber (COVID-19) out
C Dwight Powell (COVID-19) out
SG Josh Richardson (COVID-19) out

Pacers

SG Jeremy Lamb (knee) questionable
C Myles Turner (hand) questionable
SF Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
SF T.J. Warren (foot) out

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Mavericks at Pacers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pacers 111, Mavericks 105

Money line (ML)

Mavericks-Pacers is definitely a game where you’d want to follow the injury report because if Turner cannot play, this is a PASS. A struggling Dallas offense would really benefit if Indiana doesn’t have its best defender on the floor.

Otherwise, Indiana attacks the rim more than any team in the NBA and Dallas is terrible at defending at the rim. The Mavs are going to be without two bigs in Kleber and Powell, and an above-average wing defender in Finney-Smith.

Along similar lines, the Pacers get the fifth-most points per play on putbacks in the NBA according to CleaningTheGlass.com while the Mavericks give up the third-most points per play on putbacks. And, again, the Mavs are without a couple of bigs.

I like PACERS (+100) for a half-unit to pick up a win here (pending the final injury report).

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE SPREAD, stick with the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Dallas and Indiana are two of the top-5 transition defenses in the league and both run a below-average tempo offense. While Pacers opponents are shooting the second-highest percentage from 3-point range, Indiana at least does a good job of contesting threes (third in 3-pointers allowed) and the Mavs shoot the three at the 25th-best clip.

Finally, Indiana’s bench scores the third-fewest points per game and the Pacers are dealing with injuries as well. I’m on UNDER 218.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

NBA Power Rankings: Lakers stay on top, while Nets make a big jump (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype Rumors: Mavericks | Pacers

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