Mavericks Celtics odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

NBA Finals Game 5: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks visit the Boston Celtics in Game 5 of the NBA Finals on Monday night. Tip from TD Garden is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Celtics odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Series: Celtics lead 3-1

The Mavericks snapped a 3-game losing streak and a 2-game home losing streak with a 122-84 win over the Celtics on Friday, easily covering as 1-point home underdogs while the Under 211.5 hit. G Luka Doncic scored a game-high 29 points while G Kyrie Irving added 21. Dallas shot 50.5% from the field as Dallas staved off elimination.

Boston had its 10-game playoff winning streak snapped. F Jayson Tatum scored a team-high 15 points while Boston shot only 36.3% from the field in the loss.

Game 5 best props and predictions

Mavericks at Celtics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Celtics -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +6.5 (-110) | Celtics -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Celtics key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (thoracic) probable

Celtics

C Kristaps Porzingis (posterior tibialis) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 108, Mavericks 98

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Celtics (-275) to close out the series Monday at home, where they are 45-6.

Against the spread

LEAN CELTICS -6.5 (-110).

While the possible absence of Porzingis could certainly play a role in the outcome, Boston has been virtually unbeatable on its home court with just 6 losses. And the Celtics will be looking to bounce back from an embarrassing defeat on Friday. No game in these Finals has been separated by fewer than 7 points and with a championship in sight in front of their home crowd, the Celtics will look to pile on the points and make certain the series ends Monday.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 209.5 (-110).

This is the lowest total of the series thus far, but the Under in 4-0 sofar this series. Defense has been a key factor throughout each game in this series with each game featuring a double-digit score. While both teams will be looking to make a splash early on offense, expect both sides to settle in and create discomfort allowing the Under to hit yet again.

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NBA Finals Game 2: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics Game 2 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks face the Boston Celtics in Game 2 of the NBA Finals on Sunday, trailing in the best-of-7 series 1-0. Tip-off at TD Garden in Boston is 8 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 2 odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Celtics won the series opener on Thursday 107-89. They jumped out to a 17-point 1st-quarter lead and easily covered the 6.5-point spread as home favorites with the Under (216) cashing in. Boston has only lost twice in the postseason.

The Mavericks had only G Luka Doncic score more than 14 points in the game, as he scored 30. G Kyrie Irving shot only 6-for-19 and was 0-for-5 from 3, scoring only 12 points.

Game 2 best prop bets and predictions

Mavericks at Celtics odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:06 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Celtics -255 (bet $255 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +6.5 (-114) | Celtics -6.5 (-106)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Celtics key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) probable

Celtics

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 116, Mavericks 107

Moneyline

The Celtics have won 8 straight games in the postseason and F Kristaps Porzingis has returned to the lineup, getting 20 points, 6 boards and 3 blocks in his 1st game since the 1st round of the playoffs.

The Mavs, though, have not lost consecutive games in this postseason, losing Game 1 in their first 2 series and bouncing back with a Game 2 win. However, the Celtics have beaten the Mavs 5 straight times.

Expect the Celtics to take Game 2, but that doesn’t mean you should bet them on the moneyline at -255. That isn’t worth action as a single bet.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Celtics’ last 5 wins over the Mavs are by an average of 19.4 points. However, they are only 3-5 ATS in their 8-game postseason winning streak. Also, Boston is 4-1 ATS with Porzingis in the lineup.

The Mavs have not covered the spread in a loss in the playoffs.

BET CELTICS -6.5 (-106).

Over/Under

The Celtics’ last 2 games have stayed Under the projected total, but they have not had more than 2 consecutive games with the Under hitting since March when it hit 3 times in a row.

Both regular-season matchups had totals of 229 points or more. Also, 5 of the last 7 games for the Mavs have had the Over hit.

BET OVER 214.5 (-110).

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NBA Finals Game 1: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks and the Boston Celtics meet for Game 1 of their best-of-7 NBA Finals series Thursday night. Tip-off from TD Garden in Boston is at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavs roll into the NBA Finals after disposing of the Minnesota Timberwolves in 5 games. They are 7-2 on the road in this year’s playoffs. G Luka Doncic has been bothered by a sprained right knee and a sore left ankle, but he has still averaged 28.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG and 8.8 APG in the playoffs.

The Celtics have only lost 2 games this postseason — both of which came at home in Game 2 of the series. Keep that in mind for Game 2 of this series. F Jayson Tatum is averaging 26 PPG, 10.4 RPG and 5.9 APG in the postseason. G Jaylen Brown has elevated his game with 25 PPG, 6.1 RPG and 2.6 APG as well. The big story is the health of C Kristaps Porzingis, who has been out since April 29 with a calf strain.

Game 1 best prop bets and predictions

Mavericks at Celtics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Celtics -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +6.5 (-110) | Celtics -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mavericks at Celtics key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) probable

Celtics

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 119, Mavericks 110

Moneyline

Boston won both matchups against the Mavs 119-110 and 138-110 in the regular season. They are heavy, -225 favorites to win this series, and that’s a bit laughable to me because of how good of a unit the Mavs are. Luka and G Kyrie Irving have chemistry that I don’t see between Tatum and Brown. When the game is on the line, Luka and Kyrie are each looking to make the play, but I get the feeling that Tatum and Brown could have an internal struggle over who will take the shot.

I like the Celtics in Game 1, but I will heavily consider Dallas in Game 2. Take an SGP of CELTICS ML + JAYLEN BROWN OVER 22.5 POINTS (+138). Brown had 25 and 34 against Dallas this season.

Against the spread

Boston has covered just once in the last 6 games in the postseason, but none of the spreads have been this small. They covered in each game against Dallas this season.

I like the CELTICS -6.5 (-110) here.

Over/Under

Each matchup in the regular season went Over this total. The Mavs are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and Boston is 4-6. Dallas averaged 111.4 PPG in its 5-game series against the Timberwolves, who had a stifling defense to that point.

I like the OVER 215.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (34-25) take on the Boston Celtics (46-12) Friday with tip-off from TD Garden set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Celtics odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Celtics lead 1-0

The Mavs snapped a mini, 2-game slide with a 136-125 victory over the Toronto Raptors Wednesday. G Luka Doncic had a triple-double with 30 points, 16 dimes and 11 boards, and G Kyrie Irving had 29 as well. The Mavs are 8-2 over the last 10.

Boston has won 9 in a row following a 117-99 incineration of the Philadelphia 76ers Tuesday. F Jayson Tatum had 29 points, 11 boards and 8 assists while G Jaylen Brown had 31 points to boot. The Celtics are 4-0-1 ATS over their last 5.

Mavericks at Celtics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Celtics -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +9.5 (-105) | Celtics -9.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Celtics key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable

Celtics

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Celtics and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 115, Mavericks 113

Moneyline

Here’s the conundrum: Doncic sprained his left ankle against Toronto, and there is no feeling one way or another if he’ll play. Clearly at +350, the books don’t feel like he will. Doncic plays through stuff all the time. If you have a free bet, the Mavs might be worth taking a shot on. Dallas won in this building in 2 of the last 3 meetings, but they took place in 2021 and 2022. The Celtics are a machine, and the addition of C Kristaps Porzingis makes them even more dangerous.

In a safer spectrum, I like JRUE HOLIDAY OVER 11.5 POINTS (-135). He shot 56.9% from the floor in February, and he had 17 against Dallas in a Jan. 22 meeting.

Against the spread

This one is tricky because if Doncic is out, I don’t like the Mavs’ side here. However, if he’s cleared to play, this spread is going to change dramatically. The Mavs have played well at 8-2 ATS over the last 10.

Shop around because I’ve seen them catching a full 10. I’ll take MAVERICKS +9.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Each team is 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and the Over is just 2-7-1 in the last 10 meetings. With Doncic’s status, and the underlying pull toward the Under, I think you have to take UNDER 235.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (9-7) meet the Boston Celtics (13-4) Wednesday at TD Garden in Boston. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks were edged 98-97 at home against the Denver Nuggets in the 2nd end of a back-to-back set on Sunday. The non-cover as 10-point favorites dropped Dallas to 1-10-1 ATS in the last 12 games.

The Celtics had a 9-game winning streak snapped by the Chicago Bulls on the road Monday 121-107, failing to cover as 5.5-point favorites. The 107 points scored was the lowest since Oct. 24, which was also against the Bulls. The Under is 3-0 in the past 3 for the Celtics.

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Mavericks at Celtics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:51 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Celtics -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-105) | Celtics -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Celtics key injuries

Mavericks

G Spencer Dinwiddie (shoulder) questionable
F Maxi Kleber (back) doubtful

Celtics

F Danilo Gallinari (knee) out
C Robert Williams III (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 113, Mavericks 108

Moneyline

The Celtics (-190) will cost almost 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much for a standalone wager. If you were to toss the Celtics in a parlay of 5 or more teams, that’s about the only way this bet would make any sense.

PASS.

Against the spread

MAVERICKS +4.5 (-105) is worth a look here.

The Celtics -4.5 (-115) are just 3-6 ATS in the last 9 games when favored by 5 or more points, including the last time out in Chicago.

Oddly enough, Dallas has been an underdog just once all season, and it covered as a 4-point road ‘dog in Phoenix in the regular-season opener on Oct. 19.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 218.5 (-110), but go very, very lightly.

The Under is 3-1 in the last 4 games overall for the Mavericks, while going 4-1 in their last 5 games against team with a winning overall mark.

The Under is also 3-1-1 in the last 5 games overall for the Celtics, while going 3-0-1 in the last 4 against teams with a winning record. And the Under has cashed at a 4-0-1 clip in the previous 5 meetings in this series, while going 5-1 in the last 6 battles in Boston.

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Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (24-21) drop by TD Garden Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Boston Celtics (23-24). Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Celtics odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

This is Dallas’ third game of a five-game road trip and its sixth road game in the last seven contests. The Mavericks are 4-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the last two weeks with their latest game being a 127-106 win at the Oklahoma City Thunder Monday.

Boston began its seven-game homestand with a 115-109 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans as a 3-point favorite Monday. Over the last two weeks, the Celtics are 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS, including a two-game split with the Milwaukee Bucks March 24 and 26, but they covered the spread in both of those.

The Mavs beat the Celtics 110-107 with a buzz-beater by PG Luka Doncic in their first meeting this season Feb. 23.

Mavericks at Celtics: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Celtics -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +1 (-110) | Celtics -1 (-110)
Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mavericks at Celtics: Key injuries

Mavericks

C Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
SG JJ Redick (heel) out

Celtics

SF Jaylen Brown (hip) questionable
PF Tristan Thompson (health and safety protocols) out
PF Semi Ojeleye (hip) out

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Mavericks at Celtics: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Celtics 109

Money line (ML)

As is the case with every NBA regular-season bet wagered, be sure to wait until closer to tip-off to find out exactly who’s playing because if Brown cannot go for Boston, the MAVERICKS (-105) are the right side.

Dallas has just been a better team since the All-Star break. The last two Mavs’ losses were without Doncic, who has been dynamite this month.

Also, each team’s defense has been terrible this season—the Mavericks are 23rd in defensive rating and the Celtics are 22nd—but Dallas takes better advantage of bad defenses.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Mavs are 7-5 SU with the 2nd-best points per 100 possessions differential and 3rd-best ATS margin vs. the 10 worst-rated defenses in the league while the Celtics are 7-9 SU and have the 27th-ranked ATS margin.

BET MAVERICKS (-105) for 1 unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since the money lines and spreads are nearly identical and there are not enough points in either direction for a team to cover.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight LEAN toward OVER 221.5 (-110) for one-fifth of a unit because Dallas’ offense has scored more on the road than at home this season and Boston is 27th in defensive rating in March.

There’s not a lot of room between my prediction and BetMGM‘s projected total and I’d only put a tiny wager on it.

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