Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (47-29) head to the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse Wednesday to play the Cleveland Cavaliers (42-33) at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas has won 4 of the last 5 games — 4-1 against the spread (ATS) — including back-to-back double-digit home victories versus the Utah Jazz Sunday and the Los Angeles Lakers on March 22.

Cleveland snapped a 3-game losing streak by beating the Orlando Magic 107-101 at home Monday. But the Cavs failed to cover as 8-point favorites and are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games (2-3 overall).

The Cavs crushed the Mavs 114-96 in Dallas Nov. 29. But Cleveland was at full strength while Mavs All-Star PG Luka Doncic was still playing his way into shape and Dallas was still learning first-year coach Jason Kidd’s system.

Mavericks at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mavericks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Cavaliers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread: Mavericks -2.5 (-107) | Cavaliers +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 212.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Mavericks at Cavaliers key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Spencer Dinwiddle (knee) out

Cavaliers

  • Jarrett Allen (finger) out
  • PF Evan Mobley (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 113, Cavaliers 107

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Maverick because I’d much rather need Dallas outright than have to sweat a cover.

My buy-price for the Mavs’ ML is -140, at which point I’d pass on Dallas’s spread. That said, the Mavs are 13-3 straight up (SU) as road favorites and the Cavs are 4-9 SU as home underdogs.

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Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS -2.5 (-107)  for 1 unit because they already had a much better backcourt and the Cavaliers +2.5 (-115) are missing several bigs so Dallas should own the glass Wednesday.

For instance, the absence of Allen, Mobley and PF Dean Wade means Cleveland will rely on a 3-guard lineup featuring All-Star PG Darius Garland, newly acquired SG Caris LeVert and second-year SG Issac Okoro.

Dallas can counter with Luka and combo guard Jalen Brunson but will be without newly acquired Spencer Dinwiddie. The Mavs’ recently formed 3-guard lineup had been more efficient thus far than Cleveland’s.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Dallas has a plus-5.8 adjusted net rating with Luka, Brunson and Dinwiddie on the floor, which would grade in the 81st percentile of all 5-man lineups. Cleveland’s 3-guard lineup with Garland, LeVert and Okoro has a plus-3.9 adjusted net rating (73rd percentile of all 5-man lineups), per CTG.

Furthermore, this is a better spot for the Mavs who are 10-6 ATS as road favorites with a plus-4.9 ATS margin and 8-4 ATS as 3-to-4.5-point favorites.

Finally, the market could be overreacting to Dallas being in the second of a back-to-back. The Mavs throttled the Lakers Sunday and Luka didn’t even play in the fourth quarter so Dallas isn’t exactly on tired legs.

BET the MAVERICKS -2.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS  even though my prediction is well Over the projected score because there’s reverse line movement heading south of the total and these teams have a combined 28-42 O/U record when playing teams with a winning record.

According to Pregame.com, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over but the total has been lowered from the 214-point total down to the current number. It’s a red flag when sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper so this total feels like a trap line.

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Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (39-28) play the second end of a home-and-home with the Cleveland Cavaliers (21-46) Sunday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks rolled the Cavaliers by a 110-90 count in Dallas Friday night, easily covering a 10.5-point number as the Under (217) connected.

Dallas has won three straight, and six of the past seven while going 5-2 against the spread during the span.

The Cavaliers are on a nine-game slide, and they haven’t covered in any of the outings, either. Each of the past five losses for Cleveland has been by 16 or more points.

Mavericks at Cavaliers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Cavaliers +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -11 (-110) | Cavaliers +11 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Cavaliers: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) doubtful
  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

Cavaliers

  • PF Kevin Love (knee) questionable
  • PG Matthew Dellavedova (neck) out
  • PG Darius Garland (ankle) out
  • PF Larry Nance Jr. (thumb) out
  • SF Taurean Prince (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Cavaliers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 119, Cavaliers 104

Money line (ML)

The Mavericks (-600) will cost you six times your potential return. And while the Cavaliers (+425) have shown no signs of life lately, you cannot risk that kind of money for such a small payoff. Look to the spread instead.

AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The MAVERICKS -11 (-110) come with some risk, as playing double-digit favorites on the road is not a slam-dunk play.

But the Cavaliers +11 (-110) have had no heart lately, and they look very disinterested in winning again this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 217.5 (-110) is the lean here. The Over has cashed in four of the past five for the Mavericks on the road, and the Over is 10-3 in their past 13 on the road against teams with a losing home mark.

The Over is also 5-1 in Cleveland’s past six at home, and 4-1 in the past five as a home underdog.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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