The Milwaukee Bucks (24-3) host the Dallas Mavericks (17-8) Monday at Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mavericks-Bucks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Mavericks at Bucks: Key injuries
Mavericks
- SF Luka Doncic (ankle) out
Bucks
- PG Eric Bledsoe (leg) out
- PF Dragan Bender (ankle) out
Mavericks at Bucks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Monday at 1 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Bucks 109, Mavericks 103
Moneyline (ML)
The Bucks (-625) are massive home favorites and will win as the Mavericks come into the marquee matchup against the best team in the Eastern Conference without their MVP contender in Doncic. Doncic and Bucks SF Giannis Antetokounmpo are the two front-runners for the award just past the quarter poll of the season, but it’s Doncic’s absence which may help his case more Monday.
The Mavs (+450) are coming off a 122-118 overtime loss at home against the Miami Heat on Saturday. The Bucks have won 18 in a row, and while their odds are likely much lower than they should be as a result, they will do enough for the outright win. PASS on the moneyline bet and we’ll play the Mavericks against the spread.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The MAVERICKS (+11.5, -115) will stay within 11 points in their loss. Doncic has clearly been the team’s MVP this season, leading the Mavs in scoring in 20 of 25 games, but the likes of PF Kristaps Porzingis and SG Tim Hardaway Jr. are getting too much disrespect with this line.
The Mavs are 15-10 against the spread overall and 8-2 on the road. The Bucks are 15-12 overall and 8-6 at home, for much less inspiring records than their outright mark.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Mavs to stay within 11 points in a loss, or win outright, returns a profit of $8.70. The same wager for the Bucks to get the outright win on the moneyline fetches a return of just $1.60.
Over/Under (O/U)
Back the UNDER 226.5 (+105) with Doncic and his 29.3 points per game on the shelf. The Mavs will have more of a defensive focus, especially against a Bucks team averaging a league-best 121.2 PPG. This will fall comfortably short of the projection.
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Esten’s NBA betting record: 91-65
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