In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Maurice Greene meet at UFC on ESPN 24 – also known as UFC Vegas 26 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 24 de Lima vs. Greene odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 8 p.m. ET.
UFC on ESPN 24 de Lima vs. Greene: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): De Lima -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Greene +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +125 | Under -150)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +300 | No -375)
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UFC on ESPN 24 de Lima vs. Greene: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: De Lima 17-8-1 | Greene 9-6-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
The Brazilian de Lima (-200) is a heavy favorite who will cost you two times your potential return. Physically, he is much smaller than his counterpart Greene (+170), entering with a five-inch reach disadvantage and six-inch height disadvantage against the 6-foot-7 American.
De Lima is coming off a submission loss to Alexandr Romanov Nov. 7, 2020. He hasn’t lost consecutive fights in his professional career since Sept. 10, 2011 and April 26, 2012 when he was fighting in the Strikeforce and Shooto companies.
While that doesn’t sound like de Lima is a slam-dunk play, he sounds a lot better with Greene coming off a Round 2 KO/TKO loss to Greg Hardy. Greene lost three of his last four fights and might be fighting for his UFC career. He cannot afford a loss, but it’s coming.
Play DE LIMA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-120) on the 5-way line as the best bet.
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Over/Under (O/U)
There is absolutely no value playing No (-375): Will the fight go the distance? This one should finish by stoppage, but you cannot lay nearly four times your potential return.
I like OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (+125), as I don’t think this one will end until at least the latter part of Round 2, or even Round 3.
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