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The Toronto Maple Leafs (4-4-0) travel to meet the Boston Bruins (3-4-1) at TD Garden Saturday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Bruins won 4-0 in regular season in 2023-24, and 4-3 in postseason
The Maple Leafs were trounced 5-1 by the St. Louis Blues at home Thursday, and they’ve been outscored 11-3 in the past 2 games, both losses. Toronto has cashed the Over at a 2-0-1 clip in the previous 3 outings, while going 3-1-1 in the past 5 games.
The Bruins have had a power outage on offense lately, going 0-2-1 in the past 3 outings. Boston has scored just 3 total goals in the winless span, while allowing 11 markers. The B’s have allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of 8 games this season, too. The Over is 5-3 in 8 outings.
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Maple Leafs at Bruins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Bruins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200) | Bruins +1.5 (-250)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Maple Leafs at Bruins projected goalies
Anthony Stolarz (3-2-0, 1.83 GAA, .938 SV%) vs. Jeremy Swayman (2-3-1, 2.99 GAA, .904 SV%)
Stolarz has won 3 of his past 4 starts, while allowing 2 or fewer goals in each of his 5 outings to date. That including 32 saves on 34 shots in a 5-2 victory against the Tampa Bay Lightning Monday. He has never faced the Boston Bruins in his NHL career.
Swayman is winless in his past 4 starts, going 0-3-1 since his last win Oct. 12 against the Los Angeles Kings. That including 27 saves on 31 shots in a 5-3 loss against the Dallas Stars Thursday. He was a perfect 3-0-0 with a 1.30 GAA and .959 SV% in 3 starts against the Maple Leafs in 2023-24.
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Maple Leafs at Bruins picks and predictions
Prediction
Bruins 3, Maple Leafs 1
Moneyline
The BRUINS (+100) are a strong play as short ‘dogs at home. Boston is 0-2-1 in the past 3 games, and it has managed just 3 goals in the span. However, facing the Maple Leafs (-120) should be the elixir to cure Boston’s scoring ills.
Boston dominates Toronto year in and year out, and Swayman was a perfect 3-for-3 in the regular season against the Maple Leafs.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Bruins +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return as an underdog on the puck line. If you’re a conservative bettor, and you’re looking for a little insurance, that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
The Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200) can’t be trusted, as they’ve lost 3 of the past 4 games, each by 3 or more goals.
PASS.
Over/Under
UNDER 6 (-115) is a tremendous play in this Atlantic Division battle.
While the Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 games for the Maple Leafs, but the Under has a 4-3-1 edge in 8 outings this season.
For the Bruins, the Under is 2-1 in the past 3 outings, with Boston averaging just 1.0 GPG in the span, while allowing 3.7 PPG.
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