The Orlando Magic (21-26) visit the Miami Heat (31-14) Monday at AmericanAirlines Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Magic-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Magic at Heat: Key injuries
Magic
- PG D.J. Augustin (knee) out
- SF Jonathan Isaac (knee) out
- SF Al-Farouq Aminu (knee) out
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (ankle) probable
- SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable
- PG Kendrick Nunn (Achilles) questionable
- PG Goran Dragic (calf) questionable
- SF Justise Winslow (back) out
Magic at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Magic 103, Heat 97
Moneyline (ML)
The Magic pasted the Heat 105-85 in their first meeting of the season, Jan. 3, and they have won three straight in Miami. C Nikola Vučević has killed the Heat winning eight of his last nine games with six double-doubles. The Heat are among the best home teams in the NBA, going 20-2 in Miami so far this year. Orlando is just 8-15 on the road, so it’s a longshot for the Magic to extend their Miami win streak to four games.
Also, the Heat are 9-1 straight up when playing with a rest advantage and the Magic are 1-6 outright in the second game of back-to-backs. The Magic (+190) aren’t getting a good enough price but there’s a good chance Orlando wins so the Heat (-238) is a no-go as well.
PASS ON THE MONEYLINE in favor of betting the spread in Magic-Heat.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Given the Magic’s success, plus the Heat’s current injury report, the Magic are the play. If Butler, Dragic and Nunn cannot play Monday then you’d be better off passing this game altogether. Butler has struggled in recent meetings with the Magic, as his teams have lost four of their previous five games and he has scored fewer than 15 points in three of those contests.
Despite their win/loss road struggles, the Magic have good ATS trends as it pertains to this matchup. Orlando is 12-10-1 ATS on the road and 4-4-1 ATS on the road against teams above .500. Finally, the Heat are 2-4-1 ATS when laying 5-7 points.
TAKE MAGIC (+4.5, +105) to stay within 4 points in a loss or win outright.
Over/Under (O/U)
I LEAN UNDER 212.5 (-129) since the Heat are banged up in their starting five and both teams are good defensively. The Magic aren’t a good offensive team—ranked 29th in points per game and field-goal percentage—and the Heat are an above-average defensive team, ranked 12th in opponent PPG, seventh in opponent field-goal percentage, and first in opponent 3-point percentage. Orlando allows the fewest points per game to opponents and Magic games have the highest Under percentage in the NBA with a 19-26-2 O/U record.
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