In a women’s strawweight bout in the main event, Mackenzie Dern and Yan Xiaonan meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 211 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 211: Dern vs. Yan odds, with expert picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.
In terms of stature, this is a very even fight. Both fighters are 115 pounds, with Yan standing just 1 inch taller. The two fighters have an identical 63-inch reach.
Yan checks in on a 2-bout losing skid, falling to Marina Rodriguez via split decision last time out at UFC 272 in March and to Carla Esparza by way of 2nd-round KO/TKO in May 2021. Since arriving at the UFC level, Yan has gone the distance in 7 of her 8 fights.
The Team RVCA fighter Dern posted a split-decision over Tecia Torres last time out at UFC 273 in April, washing the sour taste out of her mouth from a unanimous-decision loss to Marina Rodriguez in her previous fight in Oct. 2021. While just 3 of her past 6 fights have required the help of the judges, she has had 3 decisions in her last 4 outings.
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UFC Fight Night 211 Dern vs. Yan odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Dern -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Yan +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -145 | Under +105)
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UFC Fight Night 211 Dern vs. Xiaonan picks and predictions
Records: Dern (12-2-0) | Yan (15-3-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Dern (-250) is a little on the expensive side, costing you 2 1/2 times your potential return. While I believe the Brazilian fighter is able to get it done, that’s too much risk for not enough reward. Let’s get more specific.
Yan tends to take these fights deep into the night, requiring the judges to make a decision in 7 of the past 8. DERN BY POINTS (+410) is worth a roll of the dice, although the books expect this to be finished sooner than that.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-145) is a very good play. Yan has been involved in just 1 fight in the past 8 to finish inside the distance.
As a result, YES (+150): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE at plus-money is an absolute steal as well.
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