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In a 3-round women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Mackenzie Dern and Loopy Godinez meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 7 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 7: Dern vs. Godinez odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin noon ET, on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET, on ABC/ESPN.
Records: Dern (13-5-0) | Godinez (12-4-0)
Dern has lost the past 2 fights while going just 2-4 in the past 6 bouts. She suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Amanda Lemos at UFC 298 in her most recent fight. Prior to that, she suffered a Round 2 KO/TKO loss at UFC 295 against Jessica Andrade.
The fight against Andrade was a rarity, as Dern has gone the distance in 5 of the previous 6 outings.
Mexico’s Godinez suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Virna Jandiroba last time out March 30, snapping a 4-bout win streak. Like Dern, she often needs the judges to determine a winner. Since Oct. 16, 2021, Godinez has ended up going the distance 8 times in the past 9 outings.
Dern has a 2-inch reach advantage, and she is also 2 inches taller. Godinez has a 4.13-to-3.31 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and the Mexican fighter is slightly more accurate with those strikes at 53.97% to 52.97%. Godinez also has a 3.04 takedown average, while Dern has a 1.31-to-1.01 submission average advantage.
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UFC on ABC 7: Dern vs. Godinez odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Dern -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Godinez +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -260 | Under +192)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -215 | No +162)
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UFC on ABC 7: Dern vs. Godinez picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
GODINEZ (+102) is worth a look as the slight underdog. The Team RVCA fighter Dern (-120) has dropped 2 straight fights and 4 of the past 6.
Godinez throws a few more significant strikes per minute, and she is a little more accurate. In addition, she has tremendous takedown average numbers, while Dern’s only slight advantage is in the submission department.
GODINEZ BY POINTS (+135) is a little better of a value in the Method of Victory department, too, as this fight is more than likely to go the distance.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-215): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you more than 2 times your return. That’s way too much risk despite the tremendous frequency of going the distance for both of these fighters at the UFC level.
There is also no way to justify playing Over 2.5 Rounds (-260), which is even more expensive. Just focus on the 2-way line and method of victory.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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