LSU at UCLA odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at UCLA odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The LSU Tigers and UCLA Bruins meet Saturday night at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the LSU vs. UCLA odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

It will be the season opener for the Tigers, who were a disappointing 5-5 in last season’s COVID-19-shortened season, failing to fill big holes after the departure of QB Joe Burrow and others following the 2019 national championship season. Sophomore QB Max Johnson takes the full-time reins as starter with senior Myles Brennan waiting in the wings.

UCLA (1-0), which opened with a 44-10 rout of visiting Hawaii last Saturday, has no such quarterback issues as senior QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson is back under center and looking to take another step forward.

He averaged 285.2 total yards per game last season, and had 130 yards and 1 touchdown against Hawaii but didn’t need to do much as tailbacks Zach Charbonnet, a Michigan transfer, and Brittain Brown combined for 184 rushing yards and 4 TD.

The Bruins lost four games in 2020, but all four losses were by six or fewer points.

LSU at UCLA odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LSU -140  (bet $140 to win $100) | UCLA +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU -2.5 (-115) | UCLA +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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LSU at UCLA odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 38, UCLA 31

Money line

LSU (-140) straight up is a solid bet, and won’t cost you much more than laying the points. Just take the Bayou Bengals to win straight up, and forget about the points.

Johnson is making the start under center, and there is some concern about how he’ll fare on the road in front of fans; however, WR Kayshon Boutte will help him make big plays, and the Tigers have a pair of true freshmen who could step right in to help, too. Watch wideouts Jack Bech and Deion Smith, who are poised for big things from the get-go.

Against the spread

LSU -2.5 (-115) is a decent play laying the points. Take the Tigers on the road in the Rose Bowl, especially as they should help to shut down Dorian-Thompson. CBs Derek Stingley Jr. and Eli Ricks are one of the best combinations in the SEC, and perhaps the nation.

Over/Under

OVER 64.5 (-115) is the lean, although I’d only make a small-unit play on that. LSU has the tools to put up good points, and the defense allowed 34.9 points per game and 7.3 yards per play in 2020.

So, the opportunity is there for the Bruins to do big things on offense and hang in the game, as long as they can navigate the tricky waters with that top-notch cornerback duo trying to shut them down.

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Week 1 first look: LSU at UCLA odds and lines: Tigers, Bruins first-ever meeting

Previewing the college football Week 1 matchup between the LSU Tigers and UCLA Bruins, with odds, trends and head-to-head records.

The No. 13 LSU Tigers (0-0) open their season with an SEC-Pac-12 battle at the Rose Bowl against the host UCLA Bruins (1-0) Saturday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the LSU vs. UCLA odds and lines; check back for our college football picks and predictions.

LSU’s 2020 campaign was a massive disappointment given the expectations set by head coach Ed Orgeron and the undefeated 2019 title-winning Tigers who’s quarterback, Joe Burrow, won the Heisman Trophy and was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Last season was the first year LSU didn’t make a bowl game since 1999.

UCLA opened its 2021 season by steamrolling the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 44-10, covering the spread as 18-point home favorites and the Under cashed on the 68.5-point total. It was UCLA’s ground game that keyed the victory as the Bruins tallied 244 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Bruins junior RB Zach Charbonnet had 6 carries for 106 yards and 3 TD himself.

LSU at UCLA odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LSU -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | UCLA +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: LSU -3.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | UCLA +3.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Total (Over/Under): 66.5, O: -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | U: -112 (bet $112 to win $100)

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2020 betting stats:

  • ML: LSU 5-5 |  UCLA 3-4
  • ATS: LSU 6-4 | UCLA 4-3
  • O/U: LSU 6-4 | UCLA 4-3

LSU at UCLA head-to-head

This is the first meeting between these two 100-plus-year-old football programs. ESPN ranks UCLA second in terms of returning production and LSU 30th.

Since 2018 (UCLA head coach Chip Kelly’s first year on the job), the Bruins are 1-6 overall and 2-5 ATS with a minus-11.4 margin of victory and minus-8.6 ATS margin in non-conference games. UCLA is led by senior QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson who has been the opening game starter since his freshman season.

Over that same time span, LSU is 11-0 overall and 7-4 ATS vs. non-conference foes, with a plus-27.5 margin of victory and plus-6.3 ATS margin. Former four-star recruit, sophomore QB Max Johnson, is the starter under center after holding that role for LSU’s final six games last season and having a team-best 8 touchdown to 1 interception.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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