LSU vs. Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 22 LSU Tigers (6-3, 3-2 SEC) meet the Florida Gators (4-5, 2-4)  at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we look at LSU vs. Florida odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

LSU has lost back-to-back games against ranked opponents, most recently losing 42-13 to the No. 9 Alabama Crimson Tide. They failed to cover as 3-point road underdogs while the Under 59.5 hit. The Tigers committed 3 turnovers, including 2 INTs by QB Garrett Nussmeier.

Florida has lost 3 of its last 4 games, all to Top-10 teams, most recently losing 49-17 to the No. 3 Texas Longhorns. They failed to cover as 23-point road underdogs and the Over 49.5 hit. The Gators turned the ball over 3 times, including 2 INTs by QB Aiden Warner. The Gators defends allowed Texas to piled up 562 total yards (352 passing, 210 rushing).

– RankingsUS LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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LSU vs. Florida odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): LSU -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Florida +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU -4.5 (-110) | Florida +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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LSU vs. Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 35, Florida 31

Moneyline

PASS.

I considered taking Florida (+155), but I’ll play it safer and take the points.

Against the spread

BET FLORIDA +4.5 (-110).

This line feels off considering LSU’s recent struggles and inability to defend a mobile QB. Florida, on the other hand, has been much more competitive, including giving Georgia a scare with several backups.

LSU has dropped 4 of its last 5 road games in November, while Florida has covered the spread in 5 of its last 6. The underdog has won LSU’s last 3 visits to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

With highly-touted freshman QB DJ Lagway possibly back, Florida has a real chance to take advantage of LSU’s weak secondary. I’m grabbing the points with the Gators.

Over/Under

BET OVER 55.5 (-105).

LSU’s games have averaged 55.4 points, with an Over/Under line of 58.9. The Tigers are 2-5 O/U.

LSU’s offense, led by their passing game, ranks 7th in the nation with 322.8 yards per game, and they’re 9th in both passing attempts (42.3) and completions (26.8). They average 30.4 points per game.

Florida’s offense averages 28.1 points per game and has gone over in their last 3 games. However, the Gators’ defense allowed 563 total yards in a recent 49-17 loss to Texas.

The last 6 meetings between LSU and Florida have gone Over the total points line, and 12 of LSU’s last 15 conference games have followed suit.

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LSU at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The LSU Tigers (4-2, 2-1 SEC) and the Florida Gators (4-2, 1-2) meet in a conference game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the LSU vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Tigers saw their 4-game winning streak come to a crashing halt last week in Death Valley, as Tennessee came down to Baton Rouge and rocked the Bayou Bengals 40-13. The Under has now cashed in 4 straight for LSU.

The Gators eased by Missouri last week, 24-17, but they failed to cover the 11-point number. Florida is 4-1 in 5 games at home, going 2-3 ATS.

The defense has been on the rise for UF, allowing just 17 points in each of the past 2 outings after yielding 26 or more points in each of the first 4 contests.

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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LSU at Florida odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): LSU +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Florida -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU +2.5 (-112) | Florida -2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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LSU at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida 23, LSU 20

Moneyline

FLORIDA (-130) is worth playing straight up, as this one should be a very close game. To be honest, there isn’t a ton of difference between these 2 sides. You have to expect this will be a 1-score game, perhaps coming right down to the very end in a defensive fight.

Against the spread

FLORIDA -2.5 (-108) is a good play as long as the line stays below a flat 3 or a 3-and-a-hook, but still play it lightly.

The Gators are just 3-10 ATS in the past 13 games overall, while cashing just twice in the previous 9 in The Swamp. In addition, Florida is 1-6 ATS in the past 7 SEC outings.

The Tigers have some ugly numbers, too, going 1-4 ATS in the past 5 on the road. While the underdog has cashed in 6 straight in this series, the line has been a lot higher than this tiny number.

Over/Under

UNDER 50.5 (-105) is a decent play despite the series trends, which point to the Over. In fact, the Over is 4-0 in the past 4 meetings overall, but that’s when we had much better offenses for each of these teams.

The Under has cashed in 4 in a row for LSU, and that trend is much more important than the historical H2H trends above. The Under is also 6-1 in LSU’s past 7 inside the conference, while the Under is 7-3 in Florida’s past 10 SEC games and 8-3 in the past 11 at home.

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LSU at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s LSU at Florida odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 12 LSU Tigers (14-1, 2-1 SEC) tussle with the Florida Gators (9-5, 0-2) in a Wednesday evening SEC contest in Gainesville, Fla. Tip-off at the O’Connell Center is slated for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the LSU vs. Florida odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

LSU rocketed up nine spots in the top-25 poll after defeating then-No. 13 Kentucky and then-No. 18 Tennessee last week. The Tigers held both foes under 40% from the field. For the season, Louisiana State has held opposing teams to 56.4 points per game this season (seventh NCAA-I).

The Gators have fallen off since starting the season 6-0. Florida is just 3-5 since. UF has shot a woeful 28.6% from 3-point range over that eight-game sideways spell. The Gators head into this game off back-to-back losses.

LSU at Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LSU +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Florida -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU +2.5 (-105) | Florida -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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LSU at Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 72, Florida 70

Money line

The Tigers are awfully tough on defense, and Florida is turnover-prone. LSU also figures to have an edge on the offensive glass.

Tigers senior G Xavier Pinson is out with a foot injury, and LSU will miss his passing and defense. But the road team has performed well in series games of recent vintage. LSU (+130) is a worthy call.

Against the spread

PASS. The best values in this contest can be found on the money line and total.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-0 in Florida’s last six games against winning teams.

The UF defense has been on a general downturn of late. LSU will miss Pinson’s 2.1 steals per game. Florida does well to frequently get to the free-throw stripe, and that has been an area of recent improvement for LSU.

TAKE THE OVER 138.5 (-115).

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