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Virginia Tech at Louisville odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Virginia Tech Hokies at Louisville Cardinals sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Virginia Tech Hokies (3-2 overall, 3-2 ACC) visit the Louisville Cardinals (2-4, 1-4) Saturday at 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Virginia Tech-Louisville college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Virginia Tech at Louisville: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Virginia Tech -162 (bet $162 to win $100) | Louisville +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Virginia Tech -3.5 (-110) | Louisville +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 67.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Virginia Tech at Louisville: Three things to know

  1. Virginia Tech was its own worst enemy in last week’s 23-16 loss to Wake Forest. QB Hendon Hooker threw three interceptions and the Hokies committed 10 penalties for 112 penalty yards. The loss dropped Virginia Tech out of the Top 25 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

  2. Louisville ended a four-game skid by pummeling Florida State 48-16. The Cardinals outgained the Seminoles 569-406 in total yards and rushed for 291 yards and four touchdowns.

  3. The Cardinals have been in the ACC since 2014 and this is its first game vs. Virginia Tech as a conference foe. The last time these teams met was in the 2006 Gator Bowl, which Virginia Tech won 35-24.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with a legal, online bet at BetMGM in CO, IN, NJ and WV. Risk-free first bet up to $500, paid in free bets. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Virginia Tech at Louisville: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Virginia Tech 33, Louisville 24

Money line (ML)

This is a spot where last week’s terrible performances from both sides make VIRGINIA TECH (-162) cheaper to bet against Louisville (+135). The Hokies outgained Wake Forest by 117 yards and had 11 more first downs but hurt themselves with turnovers and penalties. Those things will wash out as the season progresses.

Louisville boat raced a bad Florida State team, which can’t attack the Cardinals like the Hokies can. Virginia Tech’s ground game should trample Louisville because the Hokies average a third-highest 6.5 yards per carry and Cardinals defense ranks 79th in yards per carry (4.9).

The Cardinals not being able to defend what Virginia Tech excels at makes them a good bet. The money line is a little expensive, so I’d entertain putting this in a parlay but VIRGINIA TECH (-162) is a winner.

Against the spread (ATS)

Virginia Tech’s defense is starting to play better after a quirky start to the season. The Hokies suffered injuries and COVID complications over their first few games but are 33rd in defensive SP+ ratings (per ESPN).

Their defensive line has been bad this season but the Cardinals have been tackled for a loss 53 times this season. Also, Louisville is -8 in turnover differential. Virginia Tech’s defense will make enough plays to help it cover this spread. BET HOKIES -3.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

I don’t like the total here (67.5) but I am leaning to the Under.

Virginia Tech is 13th in the ACC in plays run per game and Louisville is 14th. The Hokies will control the ball and eat the clock. However, the combined Over/Under record of Virginia Tech-Louisville is 7-4 and Louisville’s offense plays a lot better at home.

A lean is not a bet. Proceed at your own caution.

Want some action on this game? Place a legal, online bet in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Florida State at Louisville odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Florida State Seminoles (2-3 overall, 1-3 ACC) travel to the Ohio River Valley to take on the Louisville Cardinals (1-4, 0-4) at Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Ky. The ‘Noles and Cards will tee it up Saturday at noon ET. Below, we analyze the Florida State-Louisville college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Florida State at Louisville: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Florida State +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Louisville -189 (bet $189 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Florida State +5 (-115) | Louisville -5 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Florida State at Louisville: Three things to know

  1. Louisville returns home after three straight road games. All three – and the home game vs. Miami preceding them – were losses. Turnovers have been a big problem for the Cardinals. UL has logged just three takeaways against 11 giveaways. So, the Cards head into this contest with a minus-8 in turnover margin. Only four FBS teams have a worse per game mark.
  2. A once-proud Seminole defense has been picked apart in 2020. Florida State enters ranked 66th of 77 teams in allowing 474.8 yards per game. FSU has played Miami, Notre Dame and North Carolina, three tough opponents that account for some of the defensive woes. But Miami’s offense is about average, so far. There’s a game against another Florida team that was perhaps more concerning. After falling behind FCS Jacksonville State 7-0 on a pick-six, the ‘Noles defense allowed two intermediate-length touchdown drives in falling behind 21-7 – FSU recovered and won 41-24.
  3. The Cardinals show balance on offense, and junior QB Malik Cunningham has a hand in both the passing and running games. Cunningham is a 62.2% passer (89-of-143), who has a pair of 300-yard games this season. He’s thrown 10 TD passes (against five picks) and he’s rushed for three more as part of a 133-yard total on the season.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with a legal, online bet at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks, in CO, IN, NJ and WV. Risk-free first bet up to $500, paid in free bets. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Florida State at Louisville: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Louisville 35, Florida State 28

Money line (ML)

AVOID. The Cardinals (-189) are the lean, and better value can be found in spotting the ‘Noles a handful of points.

Against the spread (ATS)

Florida State (+5, -115) hasn’t looked particularly sharp on the road this fall and in the bigger picture is 2-4 ATS over its last half-dozen games away from Tallahassee. LOUISVILLE (-5, -106) is a solid 5-3 ATS over its last eight at home, and one of those losses was to juggernaut Clemson a year ago.

From an analytics standpoint, both of these teams can struggle in keeping foes off schedule on downs. The Cardinals have an above-average offense, and a late-stages lead of 7-14 points – in what figures as a testy battle between two teams with a combined 1-7 ACC mark – is a reasonable expectation. Lay the points. Back the CARDINALS (-5, -106).

Over/Under (O/U)

There is nothing in the surface numbers or the support metrics underpinning them to suggest either side can consistently keep an opponent out of the red zone. Take the OVER 60.5.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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