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The Los Angeles Dodgers (59-30) and Los Angeles Angels (39-52) close out the “Freeway Series” Saturday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is slated for 10:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-0, outscoring the Angels 15-2
Dodgers SP Clayton Kershaw flirted with a perfect game before allowing an 8th-inning, leadoff double in the Dodgers’ 9-1 win Friday.
C Will Smith went 4-for-4 with a double, triple and 1 RBI and 3B Justin Turner was 3-for-5 with 4 RBIs.
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Dodgers at Angels projected starters
LHP Julio Urias vs. LHP Jose Suarez
Urias is 7-6 with a 3.01 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 89 2/3 IP across 17 starts.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-9 home win vs. Chicago Cubs Sunday
- 2021 vs. the Angels: 0-1, 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 9 K in 2 starts
Suarez is 1-3 with a 4.79 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP over 8 starts and 2 relief appearances.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 9-5 setback at the Baltimore Orioles Sunday
- 2022 home splits: 1-1, 4.12 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 18 H, 2 HR, 8 BB, 19 K in 3 starts and 1 bullpen outing
Dodgers at Angels odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:53 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Angels +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-117) | Angels +1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Dodgers at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Angels 2
Money line
LEAN DODGERS (-200) because we are getting the worst of the number since they opened up as -169 favorites.
The Dodgers are 18-11 against lefty starters, while the Angels are 11-14 against lefties. The Dodgers outrank the Angels vs. left-handed pitching in wRC+ (109-87), wOBA (.321-.290), ISO (.158-.121), BB/K rate (0.45-0.38) and hard-hit rate (32.4-30.7%), according to FanGraphs.
I’d only BET A HALF UNIT on the DODGERS (-200) if at all since we are late to the party. If your standard unit is $100, then risk $50 to earn a $25 profit.
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (-115) only because I hate paying a tax for RL favorites, but this is one of the few spots I’m OK with it.
The Dodgers have a 3-phase edge over the Angels and the Dodgers’ lineup and bullpen are significantly better.
This is my preferred play in this game because all 3 of the Dodgers’ wins vs. the Angels have been by at least 2 runs.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115) only because the O/U situational trends don’t provide much of a clue and the Dodgers’ RL is my favorite bet in this game.
There’s a “pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market for the total since more than 60% of the money is on the Under whereas roughly 80% of the bets placed are on Over 8.5 (-107), per Pregame.com. It’s wise to follow the money since sharps wager a lot bigger units than you or I.
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