Tag: Los Angeles Dodgers odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (37-47) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (53-33) Wednesday at loanDepot park for the third game of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Miami won the first two games of the series, each by a single run and Marlins reliever RHP David Hess was credited with the win in both outings.

Season series: Marlins lead 3-2.

RHP Jake Reed makes his first career start for the Dodgers. He has 2/3 IP under his belt, in which he allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits with 1 walk and 1 strikeout in his only other appearance in L.A.’s 2-1 loss to Miami Tuesday.

  • In Triple-A for two different teams this season, Reed was 0-0 with a 5.57 ERA (21 IP, 13 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 across 17 relief appearances.

LHP Ross Detwiler is on the rubber for the Marlins. He is 1-0 with a 3.23 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 across two starts and 28 relief outings.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 1 K in Miami’s 1-0 loss at the Atlanta Braves Friday.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 26 at-bats with .115/.207/.154 slash line, 8/3 K/BB, 0 HR and 4 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Marlins +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Marlins 6, Dodgers 4

Money line (ML)

Since it’s a “bullpen day” for both ball clubs and Miami’s bullpen ranks higher in WAR, I have a slight “LEAN” toward the MARLINS (+135) for a quarter unit, if at all, especially because I “like” Miami’s run line in this spot.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the MARLINS +1.5 (-120) heavier than or instead of Miami’s money line since the Marlins are 9-5 ATS as home underdogs and the Dodgers are just 20-23 ATS as road favorites this season.

Furthermore, the last three Dodgers-Marlins meetings were decided by a single run with Miami winning each contest.

Also, each team has played in several one-run games already this season; the Dodgers are 11-16 in one-run games and the Marlins are 9-19 in one-run games, so I’ll happily take Miami plus 1.5 runs at a reasonable price.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit since both bullpens have pitched a ton over the past three days so there should be several less effective relievers on the bump throughout the game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (51-31) meet the Washington Nationals (40-40) Saturday in the third game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers rallied against the Nationals for the second consecutive game with a nine-run top of the 7th to key their 10-5 victory Friday. L.A. has won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 16-7.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-0.

LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his 18th start for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 9-7 with a 3.25 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-1, with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 13 K Sunday against the Chicago Cubs.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including playoffs): 220 at-bats with a .241/.277/.341 slash line, 60/9 K/BB, 4 HR and 11 RBIs.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the mound for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.02 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 over three starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-4, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K Monday against the New York Mets.
  • No career appearances vs. current Dodgers hitters.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (+100) | Nationals +2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

The only play here is to BET the DODGERS (-250) for 1 unit (not to win 1 unit) because July has been Kershaw’s best month of the year throughout his career and we’ve seen “sharp” line movement toward the Dodgers.

For instance, Kershaw has his best winning percentage, ERA, WHIP and K/BB rate in July compared to any other month in the MLB regular season.

Also, the market has already steamed L.A. up from a -165 opening line favorite to the current price point of DODGERS (-250).

If oddsmakers were comfortable with their original price they wouldn’t have moved the number 85 cents on the dollar. Plus MLB regular-season games don’t get as much action as the NBA or NFL so this live movement is jarring.

To explain the “not to win 1 unit” above: if your standard unit in sports betting is $100 then just risk that on L.A.’s money line to earn a $40 profit instead of going out of your comfort zone and betting $250 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since we are paying a hefty price for L.A.’s money line and even if the Dodgers -2.5 (+100) get out to a five or six-run lead then we’d still have to be concerned the Nationals could “sneak in the backdoor” if L.A. uses its less effective relievers in a blowout.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit because L.A. is 10-6 O/U when Kershaw starts and if he doesn’t give the Dodgers seven or more innings then maybe the scenario described in the run line section is what cashes the Over.

Furthermore, Espino is more or less an “opener” for the Nationals leading to a “bullpen day” and, while his home splits are very impressive, Espino hasn’t started against a lineup nearly as dangerous as the Dodgers.

We’ve seen L.A.’s lineup rake Washington’s bullpen in the first two games of this series and if Espino isn’t sharp early, the Dodgers might drill the Nationals.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (40-39) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (50-31) Friday in the second game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. rallied down 2-1 in the top of the 5th to score five runs and steal the first game of the series, 6-2, after the game was called following the 5th inning due to rain.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-0.

LHP Julio Urias is making his 17th start for the Dodgers. Urias is 9-3 with a 3.95 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 12 K Saturday in L.A.’s 3-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs.
  • Urias picked up a win April 10 vs. the Nationals, 9-5, in 5 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including the playoffs): 60 at-bats with a .350/.361/.433 slash line, 8/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer is on the hill for the Nationals. Scherzer is 7-4 with a 2.14 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Miami Marlins.
  • Scherzer lost April 11 vs. the Dodgers with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 K in L.A.’s 3-0 win.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster (including the playoffs): 111 at-bats with a .162/.260/.351 slash line, 40/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

BET the NATIONALS (+100) for 1 unit because Washington’s lineup is one of the best vs. left-handed pitching and Scherzer is an ace who still has electric stuff whereas Urias is more of a “middle of the rotation” starter.

For instance, the Nationals hitters are top-10 in both wRC+ and wOBA against LHP. Also, Scherzer has nine quality starts and has given up two or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 15 starts while Urias has seven quality starts and has given up three or more runs in seven of his 16 outings.

Furthermore, I’d prefer to “fade the market” rather than follow it with L.A. being steamed up 30 cents on the dollar from +110 opening line underdog to the current price, according to Pregame.com.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS -1.5 (+200) ALTERNATE RUN LINE for a quarter unit – if at all – because Urias didn’t have his best stuff last month and I think this Washington lineup can get to him early.

In June, Urias gave up more than two home runs per nine innings, had a lower K-BB% than his 2021 average and 4.74 FIP (3.49 FIP for the season).

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for a one-third unit because the presumed “sharp” money is barreling into the Over while a majority of the “public” action is on the Under with most of the situational trends suggesting a lower-scoring affair.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered on the Dodgers-Nationals total is on the Over whereas more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Under. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction of the public.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (48-31) host the San Francisco Giants (50-28) Tuesday at Dodger Stadium for the second game of their two-game miniseries. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers beat the Giants 3-2 Monday by outslugging them. L.A. hit three home runs to San Francisco’s two homers while Trevor Bauer outdueled Anthony DeSclafani by giving up one fewer long ball.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-3.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 16th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-1 with a 1.49 ERA (96 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No decision with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 9 K Wednesday in San Francisco’s 9-3 win at the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Gausman beat the Dodgers in L.A. May 30 by pitching 6 scoreless frames, allowing only 2 hits and striking out 7 batters with 0 walks in San Francisco’s 5-4 victory.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 150 at-bats with a .280/.355/.453 slash line, 35/18 K/BB, 6 HR and 20 RBIs.

RHP Walker Buehler is on the mound for the Dodgers. Buehler is 7-1 with a 2.51 ERA (96 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-0, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 6 K Thursday against the Chicago Cubs.
  • Buehler is 1-0 this season vs. the Giants with 13 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 4 BB and 8 K over two starts.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 110 at-bats with a .200/.280/.273 slash line, 32/12 K/BB, 1 HR and 8 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:52 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-155) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Giants 1

Money line (ML)

GIMME the DODGERS (-160) for 1 unit because L.A. has the edge in the three most important phases of the game: starting pitching, relief pitching and hitting.

First of all, both starters are having an All-Star caliber season but Buehler’s advanced pitching numbers vs. active Giants hitters are far better than Gausman’s against current Dodgers batters.

For instance, Buehler has a 3.06 FIP against these San Francisco hitters with a .275 expected wOBA, .314 expected slugging percentage, 86.8 mph exit velocity and a 24.2% strikeout rate.

Gausman has a 4.87 FIP vs. the Dodgers with a .349 expected wOBA, .454 expected slugging percentage, 89.3 mph exit velocity and 20.8% strikeout rate.

Moreover, for my money, Buehler is the ace of this Dodgers rotation and I expect him to bounce back from a subpar, losing effort in his last outing.

Buehler has pitched in at least six innings in every start and has only given up more than three earned runs in two of those starts.

Also, L.A.’s lineup is slightly more productive vs. right-handed pitching (the Dodgers have a 118 wRC+ and the Giants have a 112 wRC+).

Furthermore, the Dodgers bullpen is 12th in WAR with the fourth-lowest home runs allowed per nine innings while the Giants’ bullpen is 23rd in WAR and 16th in HR/9.

Lastly, the Dodgers are getting “sharp” line movement after opening as -150 favorites but they’ve been bet up to the current number.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because San Francisco has an MLB-high 91.7% cover rate as a road underdog this season (22-2 ATS) with a plus-3.4 run line margin and four of the eight Giants-Dodgers meetings this year have been decided by a run.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) for a half unit since both teams have “top of the rotation” starters on the hill Tuesday and most of the situational trends point to the Under.

However, a vast majority of the market is taking the Under in Giants-Dodgers and I hate following a crowd of people in sports gambling.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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