Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks odds predictions pick betting line spread

Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (8-6) and Dallas Mavericks (7-5) meet Tuesday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Clippers vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Clippers covered as 5.5-point favorites in a 122-106 win at the Houston Rockets Monday. G Paul George finished with team-highs in points (22) and rebounds (8).

Los Angeles is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 4 games.

The Mavericks failed to cover as 6.5-point home favorites in a 117-112 win vs. the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday. G Luka Doncic finished with 42 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists for his 2nd 40-point triple-double of the season.

Dallas is 0-7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.

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Clippers at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Clippers +215 (bet $100 to win $215) | Mavericks -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +6.5 (-101) | Mavericks -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Clippers at Mavericks key injuries

Clippers

Not yet submitted

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) out
F Reggie Bullock (neck) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Clippers at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 106, Clippers 101

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mavericks (-280) should win, but their ML is too expensive to bet considering the Clippers are 4-1 straight up in the last 4 head-to-head meetings in Dallas. I will only be betting on the spread and the total.

Against the spread

BET CLIPPERS +6.5 (-101).

Los Angeles has played well in Dallas lately and looked extra focused at the Rockets Monday after a horrendous 4th quarter vs. the Brooklyn Nets Saturday (allowed a 26-9 run to end the game). While the Mavericks are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 games, they’ve only won 1 game in that stretch by 7 or more points.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 212.5 (-112).

The Clippers bounce back after sub-par performances defensively. The Under is 12-3 in Los Angeles’ last 15 games after allowing 100 or more points in its previous game. While the Clippers won by 16 at Houston, Los Angeles still allowed 106 points vs. the team with the worst record in the NBA. Expect the Clippers to tighten up defensively Tuesday and help the Under hit.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (27-29) visit American Airlines Center Thursday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (32-23). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

After covering four straight games between Jan. 25-30, the Clippers have now failed to cover 4 straight. They’re 5-5 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10.

The Clippers, who have been without their two stars (SG Paul George and SF Kawhi Leonard) for most of the season, are just 26-30 ATS. The Clippers are 10-8 ATS as road underdogs.

As for the Mavs, they’re 29-26 ATS this season, including 6-4 ATS in their last 10. Dallas has thrived this season behind a strong defense, one that ranks third in defensive rating over its past 15 games.

MVP candidate PG Luka Doncic, who averages 26.2 points, 8.9 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game, has leads Dallas in all three categories.

Clippers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:29 p.m. ET.

Money line: Clippers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mavericks -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread: Clippers +6.5 (-112) | Mavericks -6.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Clippers at Mavericks key injuries

Clippers

SG Paul George (elbow) out

Mavericks

PG Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out
SF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

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Clippers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 107, Clippers 104

Money line

PASS.

At +220, the Clippers are playable, but considering they’ve lost 3 of their last 4, look to the spread for the better odds. Laying -280 on the Mavs down two key scorers isn’t smart.

Against the spread

LEAN to the CLIPPERS +6.5 (-112).

The Clippers are looking to contend, having traded for SF Norman Powell and PF Robert Covington from Portland. Powell scored 44 points in 47 minutes in his first two Clippers games and should see an uptick in minutes as he settles in with his new team.

The Clippers haven’t covered 4 straight but their last two games were against top teams in the Bucks and Grizzlies. The Mavericks should be an easier matchup. Dallas beat the Pistons by 30 in their last game. They are just 13-17-1 ATS after a win this season.

Also, while the Mavs rank 3rd in opponents’ points per game, they rank 14th in opponents’ field-goal rate. It’s their pace that’s helped bolster their defensive numbers.

Lastly, the Clippers are 14-12 ATS as underdogs. The Clippers’ spread here feels like the better option.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 214.5 (-107).

Both the Mavericks and Clippers have made their living this season on the defensive end.

The Mavericks’ opponents score the 3rd-fewest points per game. Their Under has hit in 3 straight as they’ve held their opponent to under 100 in each game. Also, the Mavs are 4-14-1 O/U as home favorites.

The Clippers are 27-28-1 O/U this season. As underdogs, they’re 12-13-1. Having added Covington, who may spend time guarding Doncic, the Clippers may be able to slow down the superstar guard as well.

Combine it all, and the Under seems like the best play in this Western Conference battle.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers hope to even their Western Conference First Round playoff series with the Dallas Mavericks Sunday at American Airlines Center before heading back to L.A. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

L.A. got back into this series by rallying back from a 19-point first-quarter deficit to beat Dallas 118-108 in Game 3. The Clippers covered as 3-point road favorites.

The Clippers’ dynamic duo crushed the Mavs Friday as SF Kawhi Leonard and SG Paul George combined for 65 points on 68.6% shooting (24-for-35).

Mavs PG Luka Doncic continued his sensational play, scoring 44 points on 53.6% shooting with 9 rebounds and 9 assists.

Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Clippers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mavericks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -3.5 (-110) | Mavericks +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Clippers at Mavericks: Key injuries

Mavericks

PF Serge Ibaka (back) questionable

Clippers

PG Luka Doncic (neck) questionable
PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) probable
SG JJ Redick (Achilles) out

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Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 114, Mavericks 104

Money line (ML)

TAKE the CLIPPERS (-160) for 1 unit because the Mavs can’t rely on anyone other than Doncic and the L.A. stars are getting whatever they want in this series.

Dallas C Kristaps Porziņģis is putting up only 14.3 points per game on 42.9% shooting and the other role players’ hot 3-point shooting is unsustainable.

Also, Leonard and George are combining for 61 points per game on 56.8% shooting and the Clippers have only one other player scoring double digits per game in this series.

Furthermore, the Clippers have been getting dragged in the media for dropping the first two games of the series but they are leading in three of the “four factors” (turnover, offensive rebounding and FT/FGA rates).

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on Clippers -3.5 (-110) and stick with L.A.’s money line despite the predicted score because I’m wary this game comes down to the final possession and prefer not to fuss with the points.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 220.5 (-105) for a half unit. The Clippers-Mavericks series is the slowest paced of the postseason and the market is overreacting to shooting that should regress back to the mean.

For example, nearly 80% of the money wagered is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, and it’s typically profitable to fade such a one-sided market in sports betting.

Based on the flow of these Clippers-Mavericks games, one bad shooting quarter for either team is enough to keep this game Under the total.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The 5-seed Dallas Mavericks (2-0) host the 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers (0-2) Friday in Game 3 as their Western Conference First Round playoff series heads to the Big D for the next two games. Tip-off at American Airlines Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The story of this series through two games has been Luka Doncic and Dallas’ hot shooting as the Mavs have six players shooting 40% or better from behind the arc and a 65.5% effective field goal shooting (eFG%) as a team.

Also, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are averaging a combined 59 points per game (PPG) this series but aren’t getting much help from the Clippers’ role players.

Forward Marcus Morris Sr. is scoring just 6.5 PPG on 29.4% shooting and PG Pat Beverley is getting abused by Doncic, posting a 130 defensive rating while adding just 6.5 PPG himself.

Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:14 p.m. ET.

Money line: Clippers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -2.5 (-110) | Mavericks +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Clippers at Mavericks: Key injuries

Mavericks

PF Serge Ibaka (back) questionable

Clippers

PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) questionable
SG J.J. Redick (Achilles) out

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Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 119, Mavericks 111

Money line (ML)

BET the CLIPPERS (-140) for 1 unit because both their terrible outside shooting and the Mavs’ red-hot outside shooting have to come back to the mean eventually in this series.

As basic as it sounds, Beverley, Morris, and Reggie Jackson cannot play any worse and there are rumors that Rajon Rondo could replace Pat Bev in the starting 5, which would be ideal in my opinion.

Also, L.A. is ahead in three of the “four factors” (turnover, rebounding and FT/FGA rates) so if Mavs’ role players like Tim Hardaway Jr. and Dorian Finney-Smith are just a smidge off Friday, the Clippers will win.

Finally, as I mentioned in this week’s Bet Slippin’ Podcast, I have a hard time believing the Mavs are getting the brooms out for the Clippers.

If they do then once this series is over let’s shop for “Kawhi Leonard’s 2021-22 team” future prices.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. I’d listen to the case for just laying it with the Clippers -2.5 (-110) if you want to be cheap but I’d prefer to stick with L.A.’s money line here given the stakes of Game 3.

Dallas has a chance to effectively end this season for the Clippers if it goes up 3-0, but if L.A. can steal this game they’ll be back in the series. I’d rather not fuss with the points because I could see this game ending on the final possession.

Over/Under (O/U)

Game 3’s total is 3 points higher than last game’s total and I still don’t think it’s high enough. The Mavs lit up the Clippers on their home floor and generally role players shoot better at home.

While I don’t think that’s necessarily the case here, Kawhi, and to a lesser extent PG, have proven they can get buckets vs. the Mavs and will at least help L.A.’s role players get open looks.

However, it’s a slight “LEAN” to the OVER 219.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because the market is barreling into the Over and I hate following crowds in sports betting while both teams played at a bottom-10 pace this season.

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