Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals Week 13 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) host the Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) Sunday for their Week 13 showdown at Paul Brown Stadium. The kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Chargers vs. Bengals odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

L.A. has alternated between winning and losing over its past five games (1-4 ATS) with the latest being a 28-13 loss to the Denver Broncos as 2.5-point road favorites in Week 12. The Chargers are 5-6 ATS, 4-7 O/U and in playoff position at seventh in the AFC standings.

Cincy has won and covered in back-to-back games over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 11 and the Pittsburgh Steelers this past Sunday. The Bengals are 6-5 ATS, 5-6 O/U and would be the first AFC Wild Card seed if the playoffs started today.

The Chargers beat the Bengals 16-13 as 2.5-point road favorites in Week 1 last season in what was the only game L.A. QB Justin Herbert didn’t start for the Chargers.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 13 picks and predictions

Chargers at Bengals odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chargers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Bengals -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chargers +3.5 (-130) | Bengals -3.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Chargers at Bengals key injuries

Chargers

  • LG Matt Feiler (ankle) questionable
  • DT Linval Joseph (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • CB Asante Samuel Jr. (concussion) questionable

Bengals

  • Trey Hopkins (knee) questionable
  • RT Riley Reiff (ankle) questionable

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Chargers at Bengals odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bengals 29, Chargers 20

Money line

BET the BENGALS (-160) because the Chargers (+130) cannot play complementary football. I go into further detail about this in the NFL Week 13 Bet Slippin’ Podcast featuring myself and Nathan Beighle.

However, Cincy is eighth in offensive success rate and fifth in defensive success rate. Whereas L.A. is 10th in offensive success rate and 30th in defensive success rate.

In fact, the Chargers have the worst rushing defense across several metrics and Bengals QB Joe Burrow is going to dice up L.A.’s defense is RB Joe Mixon has a good rushing game.

Furthermore, I could see both offenses moving the ball but Cincy is a way better red zone team.

For instance, the Bengals are second in red zone offensive success rate and top-10 in red zone success rate vs. the rush and pass (according to Warren Sharp). On the other hand, the Chargers are just 23rd in red zone offensive success rate and 19th or worse in red zone success rate vs. the run and pass.

Even though I project Cincy to win this game handily, I’d rather just lay it with BENGALS (-160) instead of fussing with the points.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the BENGALS -3.5 (+100) because of my aforementioned logic but we are getting the worst of the number so I’d prefer Cincy’s money line.

This game opened with the Bengals laying 2.5 points but Cincy’s spread has been steamed up past the key number of 3.

Again, the BENGALS -3.5 (+100) should cash but I’m just confident enough in Cincy outright that I’d spend more for the money line.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 49.5 (-105) because a vast majority of the market is betting the Over and I think this game gets played at Cincy’s pace since the Bengals should dominate the line of scrimmage.

In addition, Cincy play at the third-slowest neutral situation pace (second per snap) and second-slowest total pace. Also, L.A.’s offense can be one-dimensional. The Chargers gain the fewest yards per game in the NFL.

That said, my favorite wager in this game is Cincy’s money line.

Also see: All Week 13 odds and lines

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter and SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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First look: Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals Week 13 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) travel to “Queen City” Sunday for their Week 13 showdown with the Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) at Paul Brown Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Chargers vs. Bengals odds and lines; check back for our NFL picks and predictions.

L.A. fell 28-13 to the Denver Broncos as a 3-point road favorite Sunday. The Chargers ground game only gained 72 rushing yards and QB Justin Herbert was intercepted twice, which includes a fourth-quarter pick-six by Broncos CB Patrick Surtain II. L.A. has alternated between winning and losing each of its last five games.

Also see: All Week 13 odds and lines

Cincy beat up its longtime bully, the Pittsburgh Steelers, 41-10 in Week 12, easily covering as a 3.5-point home favorite.

The Bengals possessed the ball 10 minutes longer, converted nine more first downs and had a plus-two turnover margin against the Steelers. Cincy RB Joe Mixon ran for a career-high 165 yards on 28 carries with two touchdowns.

Chargers at Bengals odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chargers +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Bengals -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chargers +2.5, +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Bengals -2.5, -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5, O: -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | U: -112 (bet $112 to win $100)

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2021 betting stats:

  • ML: Chargers 6-5 | Bengals 7-4
  • ATS: Chargers 5-6 | Bengals 6-5
  • O/U: Chargers 4-7 | Bengals 5-6

WIN YOUR FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE!

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Use code SBW21 to take 20% OFF a new subscription. Join now!

Chargers at Bengals head-to-head

This will be the first meeting between Cincy’s 2020 No. 1 overall pick QB Joe Burrow and L.A.’s 2020 No. 6 overall pick and 2020 Rookie of the Year QB Justin Herbert.

The Chargers beat the Bengals 16-13 as 2.5-point road favorites in Week 1 last year in what was the only game Herbert did not play in 2020. Burrow completed 23 of 36 passes for 193 yards with a 0:1 TD:INT ratio and a 66.1 QB Rating.

The Bengals are 7-6 ATS at home and 4-3 ATS as a favorite over the last two seasons. The Chargers are 8-5 ATS on the road and 6-4 as an underdog across the same span.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWireTitansWire | VikingsWire | WashingtonFootballWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | TheListWire

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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