The Baltimore Ravens (4-1) host the Los Angeles Chargers (4-1) Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we look at the Chargers vs. Ravens odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
L.A. beat the Cleveland Browns 47-42 as a 2-point home favorite last weekend in what was one of the more entertaining NFL games this season. The Chargers have covered four of their five games and have played to the Under four times.
QB Justin Herbert is playing at an MVP level as he’s fifth in QBR and tied with Ravens QB Lamar Jackson for the most game-winning drives and fourth-quarter comebacks in the league.
Baltimore rallied back from a 16-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Indianapolis Colts 31-25 in overtime on Monday Night Football in Week 5. Lamar went nuts, completing 37-of-43 passes for 442 yards and four TDs. The Ravens are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and 3-2 Over/Under (O/U).
Chargers at Ravens odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Chargers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Ravens -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chargers +2.5 (+100) | Ravens -2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)
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Chargers at Ravens key injuries
Chargers
- WR Mike Williams (knee) questionable
- LB Drue Tranquill (chest) out
- FS Nasir Adderley (hip) questionable
Ravens
- WR Sammy Watkins (hamstring) out
- FS DeShon Elliott (quadriceps) questionable
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Chargers at Ravens odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Ravens 33, Chargers 24
Money line
I’m going to fade a market that’s betting the Chargers at a 90% clip at the time of writing according to Pregame.com and BET 1 unit on the RAVENS (-145).
L.A. has been walking a tightrope with its win probabilities and should see some regression in fourth-down conversion rate. The Chargers converted all three fourth-down attempts against the Browns and if they failed on just one of those attempts L.A. could’ve lost by double digits last week.
Baltimore should be able to run all over L.A.’s putrid rush defense. The Chargers have either the worst or second-worst rushing defense by most metrics.
Plus Baltimore’s offensive line has the sixth-most yards before contact according to Pro Football Focus, while L.A.’s defensive line is second-to-last in yards before contact.
The Ravens are being slept on by the market in my opinion, whereas the Chargers are getting the appropriate amount of love. Lamar is playing as good as any quarterback in the league, John Harbaugh is a top-5 head coach and the Ravens have a sneaky strong home-field advantage.
GIMME the RAVENS (-145).
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the RAVENS -2.5 (-120) because I “like” Baltimore’s money line enough that I’d be willing to lay the points.
My preference is to bet the Ravens straight-up and I’d advise anyone following along to wait for a better number since a vast majority of the market is betting the Chargers.
Over/Under
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 50.5 (-117) because I’m not impressed with either team defensively and I’m expecting a superstar shootout between two of the league’s best quarterbacks.
What’s holding me back is we are getting to the party late since the Chargers-Ravens opened with a 48-point total but has been steamed up by one-way action on the Over. I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting so I’ll STAY AWAY FROM THE TOTAL.
Week 6 best bets
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