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The Long Beach State Beach (20-14) and UC Davis Aggies (20-12) meet in the Big West Tournament Championship Game Saturday at the Dollar Loan Center in Henderson. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Long Beach State vs. UC Davis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The 4th-seeded Beach stunned top overall seed UC Irvine Friday by an 83-79 count as 8-point underdogs as the Over (149.5) cashed. Long Beach State has averaged 84.5 points per game (PPG) on offense in this tourney while allowing 73 PPG, cashing the Over in both outings and 3 straight since the regular-season finale.
The 2nd-seeded Aggies eased by Hawaii 68-65 in the semifinals, covering as 2-point favorites as the Under (136) cashed. UC Davis has won and covered 4 in a row, including an 88-78 win in Long Beach as a 2.5-point underdog as the Over (151.5) connected.
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Long Beach State vs. UC Davis odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Long Beach State +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | UC Davis -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Long Beach State +1.5 (-106) | UC Davis -1.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Long Beach State vs. UC Davis picks and predictions
Prediction
UC Davis 75, Long Beach State 70
Moneyline
UC DAVIS (-125) isn’t a bad play as a moderate favorite straight up, if you’d prefer to just pick a team to win without having to deal with the points. These teams split the regular-season series, but UCD is the play due to an overall better body of work.
UC Davis has won 4 in a row, including the regular-season finale in Long Beach. On the flip side, The Beach had dropped 5 in a row to close out the regular season before coming alive in this tourney.
Against the spread
UC DAVIS -1.5 (-114) has covered 4 in a row, winning by an average of 8 points per game. The Aggies are playing well and peaking at just the right time.
Long Beach State +1.5 (-106) has had a nice 2-game run to get to the title game, but the Aggies have had just a little more success lately.
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Over/Under
OVER 143.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
While Long Beach has rolled up huge points in this tourney, and we saw 166 combined points in the most recent regular-season meeting between these teams, UC Davis has allowed 67 or fewer points in 5 of the past 7 outings.
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