Lions Falcons odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Detroit Lions (2-11-1) travel to meet the Atlanta Falcons (6-8) for a Week 16 game Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Lions vs. Falcons odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Lions pulled off one of the more surprising wins of the season, spanking the 10-win Arizona Cardinals by a 30-12 count last Sunday. Detroit has won two of the past three, while covering five of the previous six outings.

The Falcons have picked up two wins in the past four outings, going 2-2 ATS during the stretch. The Under has hit in five of the previous six games for the Falcons, thanks mostly due an average of just 13.8 PPG on offense during the run.

Lions at Falcons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Lions +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Falcons -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lions +6.5 (-110) | Falcons -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Lions at Falcons key injuries

Lions

WR Trinity Benson (reserve/COVID) out
WR Quintez Cephus (reserve/COVID) questionable
QB Jared Goff (reserve/COVID) doubtful
WR Kalif Raymond (shoulder) questionable
WR Josh Reynolds (thigh) questionable
RB D’Andre Swift (shoulder) questionable

Falcons

WR Tajae Sharpe (foot) doubtful

Let’s Make This Interesting

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Lions at Falcons odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Falcons 23, Lions 12

Money line

The Falcons (-290) are too expensive to play laying nearly three times your potential return. After all, they’re the Falcons. Plus, the Lions (+225) have been playing hard for head coach Dan Campbell down the stretch.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The FALCONS -6.5 (-110) are worth playing lightly, mainly because Campbell said Friday that it is “highly unlikely” Goff comes off the COVID list, meaning QB Tim Boyle is likely to start. With the receivers room decimated by COVID and injury, and Swift a question mark to play in the backfield, Detroit could be missing quite a few parts on offense.

Over/Under

The UNDER 42.5 (-108) is the way to go here. The Atlanta offense has been struggling quite a bit in recent games, and the Detroit offense will be a shell of itself without Goff, some of the receivers and perhaps Swift. This could be a very low-scoring battle.

Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines

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Lions at Falcons game notes

The Falcons dismantled the Minnesota Vikings 40-23 on the road in Week 6. QB Matt Ryan threw for 371 yards and 4 touchdowns. WR Julio Jones had 8 catches for 137 yards and 2 TDs. The defense forced three interceptions.

The Lions are coming off a 34-16 road win over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6 off of a Week 5 bye. Rookie RB D’Andre Swift was the breakout star of that game with 116 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

Atlanta puts up 403.2 yards of offense per game to rank fourth in the NFL but its 27.0 points per game ranks 13th. Detroit totals 347.8 yards of offense per game (24th) but with 26.6 PPG (15th).

Both teams are in the bottom third of the league in points allowed per game. The Falcons give up 30.7 PPG to the Lions’ 28.6 opponent average.

Detroit is 2-3 against the spread and Atlanta is 2-4. They both have negative point differentials on the year. Both have played to more Overs than Unders with Atlanta 4-2 O/U and Detroit 3-2 O/U.

Lions at Falcons: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction

Prediction

Falcons 34, Lions 30

Money line (?)

The FALCONS (-136) are only slight favorites at home in their second game under interim head coach Raheem Morris. Lions head coach Matt Patricia continues to fight for his job but will have a much tougher time in Week 6 against the rejuvenated Falcons than he did against the lowly Jags.

Atlanta has more weapons in the passing game and has been solid in stopping the run. The Falcons and can limit the Lions’ three-headed rushing attack. Side with the home team to win a second straight.

Against the spread (?)

Back the FALCONS -2.5 (-110) again as a slightly better value while needing to win by at least 3 points. Atlanta is plus-3 in turnover differential to Detroit’s plus-2.

Winning the turnover differential will be the key in a game where both team figure to go shot-for-shot for the end zone.

Over/Under (?)

The OVER 56 (-110) is the highest-confidence play in this game with both teams loaded on the offensive side of the ball and prone to defensive lapses. There’ll be plenty of big plays in this game and those will help get both teams a few more possessions.

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Tag: Lions Falcons odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and prediction

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Lions at Falcons: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction

Prediction

Money line (?)

Against the spread (?)

Over/Under (?)