On Sunday morning, PSG (12 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw) will travel to Geoffroy-Guichard to take on AS Sainte-Etienne (2-6-6). Kickoff is scheduled for 7 a.m. ET. Below, we preview the AS Sainte-Etienne vs. PSG odds and lines, and make our best Ligue 1 bets, picks and predictions.
PSG has, by far, been Ligue 1’s most dominant club. However, it hasn’t seen that same strength as of late. PSG has won two of its last three games by one goal and has lost or drawn two of its last five.
Led by Lionel Messi, Neymar and Kylian Mbappe, PSG is still the clear favorite and atop Ligue 1 by 11 points through 14 games. PSG has 32 goals in 14 games and has given up 14.
Sainte-Etienne is sitting in 19th of 20 in the Ligue 1 standings. It has given up 28 goals in 14 games, so Sainte-Etienne clearly struggles to contain opposing attacks and will be facing the league’s most lethal one on Sunday.
Sainte-Etienne will be huge underdogs despite being at home.
AS Sainte-Etienne vs. PSG: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:19 p.m. ET.
- Money line: AS Sainte-Etienne +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | PSG -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Draw +470
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
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Prediction
PSG 4, AS Sainte-Etienne 1
Money line (ML)
PASS on the money line.
There’s just no value here despite PSG’s high likelihood of coming out on top in this matchup.
I’d look more towards the BET BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE prop which can be currently added at -145.
That said, see below for why betting both teams to score is a solid way to get action and value in this potential Ligue 1 blowout.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET on the OVER 3.5 (+110) as the better value. AS Sainte-Etienne defense just hasn’t been great. It has allowed two goals per game to teams far weaker than PSG.
With that in mind, PSG will be playing without Julian Daxtler and Sergio Ramos which will undoubtedly hurt its defense, one that’s already given up a goal to its opponent in three straight games.
Marco Verratti will also be sidelined, further hurting PSG’s midfield. Those injuries shouldn’t determine if PSG wins or not, but rather if Sainte-Entienne can find any type of success, which it may be able to.
Despite having just 12 points, Sainte-Entienne has notched over a goal per game which should bode well against a PSG defense that isn’t nearly as dominant as its offense.
Given the attacking power of the best three-man unit in the world, I expect PSG to get on the board many times. With that in mind, betting the Over here just makes more sense.
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