The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-15-5) visit the Vegas Golden Knights (31-22-8) Thursday at T-Mobile Arena for a 10 p.m. ET puck drop. We analyze the Lightning-Golden Knights sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Lightning at Golden Knights: Projected starting goalies
Andrei Vasilevskiy vs. Marc-Andre Fleury
Vasilevskiy gave up three goals on 33 shots Saturday against the Philadelphia Flyers, but he still earned his eighth straight win. He is 32-9-3 on the season with a .921 save percentage and 2.42 goals against average.
Fleury is 23-14-5 on the season with a .906 SV% and 2.78 GAA. He has been best on the road, however, as his home numbers slip to a .900 SV% and 2.96 GAA. He’s still 15-8-3 on home ice, as he receives better goal support at T-Mobile.
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Lightning at Golden Knights: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list.
Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Golden Knights 3, Lightning 2
Moneyline (ML)
The Lightning (-121) ride an 11-game win streak into Sin City to take on a GOLDEN KNIGHTS (+100) team entering Thursday on a three-game win streak. The home team has been off since a 3-2 win over the Washington Capitals Monday. The visitors last beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime Monday.
Vegas is 17-10-4 on home ice and Tampa Bay is 20-8-3 on the road. The Lightning earned a 4-2 victory at Amalie Arena in Tampa Tuesday, Feb. 4, in the season’s first head-to-head meeting between the cross-conference opponents. Back the hosts at even-money to square up the season series ahead of a potential head-to-head meeting in the Stanley Cup Final.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
PASS on the spread (+1.5, -278) for the Golden Knights and stick with the outright pick on the moneyline. A $10 ATS bet returns a profit of just $3.60 compared to the $10 profit on a moneyline wager.
Vegas is just 9-22 ATS at home, but that record is mostly indicative of the Golden Knights being favored and failing to win by two or more goals. Tampa Bay is just 13-18 ATS on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the UNDER 5.5 (+125) in what should be a playoff-type game at the T-Mobile Arena. Both goalies are in good form, and the Lightning are just 3-5-2 against the O/U across their last 10 games, while the Golden Knights are 4-5-1 across the same span.
Esten’s NHL betting record: 242-231
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