The Liberty Flames (8-0) visit the NC State Wolfpack (5-3) in a Saturday night non-conference tilt Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Liberty-NC State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Liberty is No. 22 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Liberty at NC State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Liberty +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | NC State -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Liberty +5 (-110) | NC State -5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 65.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at NC State: Three things to know
- NC State is the third Atlantic Coast Conference foe Liberty has taken on this fall. The Hugh Freeze-led Flames defeated Syracuse 38-21 Oct. 17, and Virginia Tech 38-35 Nov. 7. Those two games are sandwiched in a five-game stretch (Oct. 10-Nov. 14) that has seen LU average 46 points per contest. For the season, the Flames have averaged 40.5 points per game (16th FBS).
- Liberty marks the third straight ranked opponent (UNC, Miami) NC State has played. Overall, the Wolfpack are 1-3 straight-up and 2-2 against the spread in four games against ranked foes this fall.
- Flames QB Malik Willis — a transfer from Auburn — has thrown 15 touchdown passes while running in 9 scores. Willis has a team-high 700 rushing yards on the year, and that run game figures to be key against an NC State squad which has yielded 178.5 rushing yards per game. In two of the ‘Pack’s three losses (Virginia Tech, Miami), running quarterbacks torched NC State for a combined 198 yards on 34 carries.
Liberty at NC State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
NC State 28, Liberty 24
Money line (ML)
Too much gray area: PASS ON PRICE.
Against the spread (ATS)
The Wolfpack have played the much tougher schedule, and their most recent misstep — a 48-21 loss to North Carolina on Oct. 24 — was very much colored by four giveaways (NC State is a minus-3 in turnover margin for the season). The ATS line makes for a PASS — it brackets the odds of a 1-7 point Wolfpack win on both sides.
Over/Under (O/U)
The strongest play here is on shading a lower scoring game between two teams that run more than the average FBS team does in 2020. Laying out all the game-flow scenarios, a mid-50s-to-low-60s total comes out more often than a figure in the 70s. The Under has hit each of the last six times NC State has been favored in a home game. BACK THE UNDER 65.5 (-110).
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