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The Liberty Flames (8-2, 5-2 Conference USA) visit the Sam Houston State Bearkats (8-3, 5-2) on Friday. Kickoff from Elliott T. Bowers Stadium is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Liberty vs. Sam Houston odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Liberty has won 3 games in a row after taking down the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 38-21 on Saturday as a 1-point home favorite. QB Kaidon Salter went 6 of 11 for 108 yards and a TD while the Flames had 419 yards and 4 TDs on the ground.
Sam Houston had a 3-game winning streak snapped Saturday with a 21-11 loss against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks while failing to cover as a 5-point road underdog. QB Hunter Watson went 13 of 25 for only 84 yards, but led the team in rushing with 21 carries for 105 yards and a TD.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Liberty at Sam Houston odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:34 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Sam Houston +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -2.5 (-110) | Sam Houston +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at Sam Houston picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 27, Sam Houston 19
Moneyline
PASS.
There is better value on the Flames to cover the spread.
Against the spread
BET LIBERTY -2.5 (-110).
Liberty is 8-2 in its last 10 games with 7 of those wins coming by 7 points or more. Sam Houston has failed to cover 5 straight games while going 1-1 ATS in its last 2 home games. The Flames ability to run the ball effectively will provide them with the points needed for a tough road win.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 47.5 (-110).
Liberty has hit the Under in 2 of its last 4 games while allowing 21 or fewer points in 2 of its last 3 contests. Sam Houston has hit the Under in each of its last 5 games while scoring 14 or fewer points in 4 of its last 5 games. With a run-heavy offense on both sides, the Under is a great play.
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