Liberty Aces odds picks predictions spread over/under betting line

New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (11-2) and Las Vegas Aces (6-5) meet Saturday at the Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Split 2-2 in regular season

Last season, New York and Las Vegas split their 4-game regular-season series. In the Commissioner’s Cup title game, which didn’t count in the regular-season series or the standings, the Liberty rolled to an 82-63 road win as 7.5-point underdogs.

The Aces, however, would get the final bragging rights as they beat the Liberty 3 games to 1 in the best-of-5 WNBA Finals. The Aces won all but Game 3 and covered the spread in all 3 of their wins.

The Liberty enter this one on a 7-game win streak since dropping 2 in a row against the visiting Chicago Sky May 23, and at the Minnesota Lynx May 25. New York had covered 4 in a row until only beating the Washington Mystics 93-88 as a 15-point favorite Sunday in its most recent game. The Liberty are also 4-1 ATS in their past 5 road outings, while the Over has cashed in 4 of their past 6 games.

The Aces snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 103-99 road win Thursday at the Phoenix Mercury. It was the first time Las Vegas lost 3 in a row since the 2019 season. While Las Vegas won at Phoenix, the Aces didn’t cover as 6-point favorites. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 and 1-5 ATS in the last 6. As for the O/U, the Over has cashed in 3 in a row, and 7 of the previous 10 outings.

Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Aces -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
Against the spread: Liberty +2.5 (-112) | Aces -2.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 171.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 90, Aces 86

Moneyline

NEW YORK (+110) is worth a look as a slight road ‘dog.

As mentioned, Las Vegas (-134) beat New York in the WNBA Finals in 4 games, but instead of pocket Aces, this team has been performing like a 2 and a 7 lately. Yes, the Aces won at the Mercury last time out, but they still struggled defensively, allowing 99 points.

New York has rattled off 7 in a row, which included an 81-78 win over the Mercury and an 82-75 victory last Saturday at Connecticut — it was the Sun’s 1st loss of the season.

Against the spread

If you’re not interested betting on an outright win and would rather take the little bit of points, New York +2.5 (-112) is worth a play.

Las Vegas is just 1-5 ATS in 6 games at home this season, so playing the New York isn’t a bad idea. If f you like the Liberty, you should just play them straight up on the moneyline for a better value.

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Over/Under

OVER 171.5 (-110) is a strong play whenever the Aces are associated lately.

The Over has cashed in 3 in a row for the Aces, while they also allowed 96 or more points in 3 straight games and an average of 98.3 PPG. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games at home for the Aces, too.

For New York, the Over has cashed in 2 in a row, and in 4 of the past 6 games. The total has gone Over just once in the past 5 road games, though, so be careful.

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WNBA Finals Game 2: New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet Wednesday for Game 2 of their WNBA Finals best-of-5 playoff matchup. Tip-off from Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces Game 2 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty was a huge thorn in the side of the Aces during the regular season, but Las Vegas fired out to a 1-0 series lead with a 99-82 victory over New York in Game 1 on Sunday.

The Liberty hit 46.4% (32 of 69) from the field, while going 31.0% (9 of 29) from behind the arc. They turned it over 11 times. F Jonquel Jones went for 16 points and 10 rebounds in her 34 minutes, misfiring all 3 times on treys. F Breanna Stewart hit 21 points with 9 boards and 2 assists.

Liberty G Sabrina Ionescu continued to struggle in the postseason, going just 2 of 7 from the floor, ending up with 7 points in 34 minutes. She is 5 of 15 (33.3%) from the field, averaging just 8.0 PPG in the past 2 games.

The Aces were an impressive 54.7% (35 of 64) from the floor, while knocking down 40.9% (9 of 22) from behind the 3-point line. And Las Vegas got it done at the free-throw line, hitting 87.0% (20 of 23). The Aces also turned it over 11 times.

Aces F A’ja Wilson was actually the 4th-highest scorer for Vegas with 19 points, as G Chelsea Gray, G Kelsey Plum and G Jackie Young each went for 20 or more points and 5 or more rebounds, while combining for 9 triples.

Game 2: Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:44 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Aces -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +5.5 (-114) | Aces -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 171.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)

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Game 2: Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 93, Liberty 84

Moneyline

The Aces (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return in Game 2, as Vegas looks to push the Liberty (+180) to the brink of elimination. However, as solid as Las Vegas is on its home floor, you can’t risk this much for so little.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES -5.5 (-105) are a strong play in Game 2 after racking up the 17-point win in the series opener.

Vegas is on a roll in the postseason, going a perfect 6-0 straight up, while covering the number in 4 of the past 6 outings. The Aces are hitting on all cylinders offensively, too, going for 87 or more points in 5 of the 6 playoff games to date.

The Liberty +5.5 (-114) are one of the only teams in the WNBA to hang with Vegas, but it needs all hands on deck, and Ionescu, one of the team’s biggest weapons, has struggled lately.

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Over/Under

The OVER 171.5 (-113) is the lean. It easily cashed in Game 1, with 181 combined points on a total of 170. As a result, the books have slid the number up slightly.

The Over is 2-1-1 in the past 4 playoff games for the Aces, while going 4-for-4 in the past 4 postseason outings for the Liberty. Look for both teams to get it done offensively and put on a show.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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WNBA Finals Game 1: New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday for Game 1 of their WNBA Finals best-of-5 playoff matchup. Tip-off from Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces Game 1 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty and Aces produced the 2 best records in the regular season, so it’s no real surprise these teams meet for all of the WNBA marbles.

New York was a thorn in the side of Las Vegas this season, with the teams splitting 4 regular-season battles, while the Liberty also won 82-63 on the floor of the Aces to take the Commissioner’s Cup Aug. 15. The home team was 4-0 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the 4 regular-season meetings.

The Liberty was tripped up in 78-63 in Game 1 of the WNBA semi-final round against the Connecticut Sun. It quickly rectified the situation, rattling off 3 straight wins, while scoring 84 or more points. The Over has cashed in 3 in a row, and 5 of 6 playoff games overall. However, the Lib is just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 playoff games.

The Aces have an unblemished 5-0 SU record in these playoffs, although Las Vegas failed to cover the past 2 contests in its 3-game sweep of the Dallas Wings in the semis. Vegas is 3-2 ATS in the postseason, with the Under going 3-1-1.

Aces C A’ja Wilson leads the team with 25.8 points per game (PPG) and 11.2 rebounds per game (RPG) in 5 postseason games, hitting 59.5% from the floor. Gs Chelsea Gray and Kelsey Plum are each 2nd with 16.0 PPG.

Liberty F Breanna Stewart leads the way with 19.8 PPG and 9.0 RPG in the postseason, while posting 2.8 blocked shots per game (BPG) in 6 outings. New York also sports 4 players averaging better than 16.3 PPG, including G Sabrina Ionescu, who has shot just 43.2% from the field in the postseason.

Game 1: Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +172 (bet $100 to win $172) | Aces -215 (bet $215 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +4.5 (-105) | Aces -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 171.5 (O: -111 | U: -115)

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Game 1: Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 92, Liberty 85

Moneyline

The Aces (-215) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return. With the way the Liberty (+172) have played them so tough this season, that’s a risky proposition. Look to the spread instead.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES -4.5 (-115) are the play in the series opener, but be cautious. The Liberty +4.5 (-105) won on this floor in the Commissioner’s Cup in a high-stakes game, and New York was 3-2 SU/ATS in 5 meetings overall since the start of the season.

However, I don’t like how the Liberty started their series against the Sun, faltering in Game 1. The Aces are on their home floor and should hit blackjack in the series opener.

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Over/Under

The OVER 171.5 (-111) is the lean, but again, err on the side of caution and don’t get too carried away.

These teams split 1-1 on the Over-Under in each regular-season home game, and the Under cashed in the Commissioner’s Cup game in mid-August in Vegas, too.

However, the Over is the lean based on the offensive performances of both teams overall, and the Liberty will look to run early.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (24-6) and the Las Vegas Aces (27-3) resume the regular season Thursday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty throttled the Aces 99-61 in Brooklyn Aug. 6, and posted a resounding 82-63 win in Las Vegas Tuesday to take the Commissioner’s Cup. Officially, the result was not applied to the regular-season standings, but unofficially it was the first home loss for Las Vegas this season.

The Liberty have won 6 straight regular-season games and the Commissioner’s Cup final, while covering 5 consecutive outings. That includes the outright win in Vegas Tuesday as 7.5-point underdogs. The Under is on a 6-1 run for New York, including the past 2 meetings with Las Vegas.

The Aces topped the Liberty 98-81 back on June 29, covering as 6.5-point home favorites as the Over (176) cashed, but New York has won and covered 2 in a row as an underdog in the head-to-head series, cashing the Under in each game.

The Liberty held the Aces to just 62.0 points per game (PPG) in those pair of losses, well below the Las Vegas’ league-leading 94.0 PPG.

Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:01 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Aces -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +6.5 (-105) | Aces -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 174.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 89, Liberty 84

Moneyline

It’s rather tempting to take the Liberty (+220), and that’s where the value is, should you opt to make a moneyline play.

However, I expect Las Vegas (-275) to bounce back and finally solve New York. Am I willing to put up nearly 2.75 times my initial investment? No, and you shouldn’t either.

PASS.

Against the spread

NEW YORK +6.5 (-105) has not only beaten Vegas twice in the past 12 days, the Liberty bludgeoned the Aces by an average of 28.5 PPG. There is little reason to believe the Aces are suddenly going to snap back into form when they’ve been dominated in those 2 games.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 174.5 (-110) is the lean in this showdown rematch on The Strip.

The past 2 victories by New York in this series were Under results. The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall for the Liberty, while going 4-1 in the previous 5 games on the road. The Under has cashed in 5 in a row against Western Conference foes, too.

For the Aces, while the Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 against teams with a winning record, the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 against the East, including the previous 2 outings vs. the Liberty.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Liberty (24-6) play the 2nd contest of a 5-game road trip when they visit the Las Vegas Aces (27-3) Tuesday at Michelob Ultra Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty opened a 5-game journey Sunday with a 100-89 victory over the Indiana Fever, narrowly covering a 10-point spread as the Over (166) cashed. After a 2-9 ATS skid in 11 games from July 5-Aug. 1, the Liberty have covered 4 in a row, including 3 times as a favorite of 9 or more points.

The Aces were humbled 99-61 in Brooklyn by the Liberty last Sunday. That rout served as a wake-up call, as Las Vegas has won and covered 3 in a row, winning each outing by 20 or more points.

The home team is 2-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the 2 previous meetings between these teams this season, splitting the Over and Under.

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Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:09 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Aces -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread: Liberty +7.5 (-110) | Aces -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 177.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 94, Liberty 89

Moneyline

The Aces (-350) are a little on the expensive side. Vegas looks to exact a little revenge after an embarrassing 38-point blowout loss at Barclays Center Aug. 6 against the Liberty (+260). If anything, with the way New York hammered Las Vegas last week, it is tempting to play the Lib.

Both of these teams have been playing well, and it’s going to be a fun one in the rubber match.

PASS, and look to the line instead.

Against the spread

The LIBERTY +7.5 (-110) are worth a look, based mostly on their rout of the Aces just last week.

Vegas didn’t hit snooze on the alarm after their blowout loss to the Liberty. That loss awakened the monster, and that’s bad for the rest of the WNBA, including New York in the rematch on Tuesday. Vegas should grab the win, as it has covered 5 in a row at home and is 6-0 ATS in the past 6 when playing on a day of rest.

The Aces are also 5-1 ATS in the past 6 against winning teams, although that lone non-cover is against the Liberty. Vegas wins and New York covers in an entertaining affair.

Over/Under

OVER 177.5 (-105) is the play in Game 3 between these teams this season.

Aces F A’ja Wilson dropped a career-high 40 points with 12 rebounds in Friday’s 113-89 win over the Washington Mystics.

Meanwhile, Liberty F Breanna Stewart stepped up in response as she scored 42 points against the Fever last time out, going for 40 or more in 3 straight outings.

Wilson and Stewart aren’t the only ones filling up the bucket for their respective teams, either. This prospective WNBA Finals preview should look like an All-Star Game with plenty of scoring.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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