In a women’s flyweight bout on Saturday’s preliminary card, Lauren Murphy and Joanne Calderwood meet at UFC 263 at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Below, we analyze the UFC 263 Murphy vs. Calderwood odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.
UFC 263 Murphy vs. Calderwood: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Murphy +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Calderwood -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -350 | Under +280)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -300 | No +250)
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UFC 263 Murphy vs. Calderwood: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Murphy 14-4-0 | Calderwood 15-5-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
CALDERWOOD (-135) is the slight favorite here despite the fact she has alternated wins and losses in her past four fights, and she is just 4-4 across her past eight fights at the UFC level.
Still, Calderwood has fought the best in the division, and she is coming off an impressive unanimous-decision victory over Jessica Eye last time out at UFC 257.
For Murphy, she enters on a four-game win streak, but really only the win over Roxanne Modafferi was impressive. She is coming off a submission win over Liliya Shakirova at UFC 254 last time out, but Calderwood is a huge step up in competition.
Calderwood has 6.59 significant strikes landed per minute to just 3.80 for Murphy, and she is more accurate with the strikes. She also leads the takedown and submission average categories, too.
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Over/Under (O/U)
This fight is expected to go the distance. In fact, Yes (-300): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you three times your potential return. That’s just too expensive. Instead, get more specific.
CALDERWOOD ON POINTS (+120) is a much better play at plus-money. Murphy will be able to hang in there and get to the decision, but she’ll be on the wrong side. Calderwood will impress the judges with her punching power and frequency.
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